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05-02-2019, 11:18 AM
#241
$12 million impairment NPAT $76-$80 mill.Looks ok to me considering where the s/p has sunk to.Mkt cap re$471 mill.
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05-02-2019, 11:47 AM
#242
Originally Posted by Joshuatree
$12 million impairment NPAT $76-$80 mill.Looks ok to me considering where the s/p has sunk to.Mkt cap re$471 mill.
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Downgrade from $95m to $100m though ...that’s 20% down from the warm fuzzies of a confirmation of the $95m to $100m just over 2 months ago
FXL becoming one of these gunna stocks.
Last year’s number was $88m ...$76m a bit lower eh.
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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05-02-2019, 11:49 AM
#243
Love it when companies do strategic reviews and tell us to look forward to the new group strategy.
Last edited by winner69; 05-02-2019 at 11:51 AM.
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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05-02-2019, 12:11 PM
#244
Originally Posted by winner69
Downgrade from $95m to $100m though ...that’s 20% down from the warm fuzzies of a confirmation of the $95m to $100m just over 2 months ago
FXL becoming one of these gunna stocks.
Last year’s number was $88m ...$76m a bit lower eh.
This is really not a good update, but what is worse is the way they announced (when, how, and after Mr Market had clearly known for weeks, arguably months - that is what FXL is being punished for this morning). Less than 6 months ago things were all good to go and the share price was at 230% higher...The reaction this morning is very much emotional and totally overdone but borderline understandable given there seems to be far to many 'one off' impacts (which, yet again, has resulted in most of the downgrade) so understandably the market (and myself) are infuriated. A fancy preso isn't going to help much this time and I suppose we'll find out more in a few weeks.
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05-02-2019, 12:22 PM
#245
Does a $12m provision impact Cash NPAT? Is it just one of the adjusting items between Statutory NPAT and this thing called Cash NPAT?
Last edited by winner69; 05-02-2019 at 12:24 PM.
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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05-02-2019, 12:28 PM
#246
Bit ominious when they use words like ‘below budget expectations’ and ‘slower than forecast’
You not losing the faith are you t_j?
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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05-02-2019, 12:49 PM
#247
Originally Posted by winner69
Does a $12m provision impact Cash NPAT? Is it just one of the adjusting items between Statutory NPAT and this thing called Cash NPAT?
I'm not quite sure... I am thinking this 12m is part of the 20ish m downgrade, but will soon see.
Faith is dented and running very thin now, but I'm not out yet.
You buy more at 97c? you'd be up 10% already if you did
A friend of mine left for lunch and missed out on making a quick doubt digit return, but hey, maybe in the longer/bigger picture it was good he left for lunch... time will tell
Maybe I should have left for lunch at 11:30am and not come back to the office
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05-02-2019, 01:06 PM
#248
Originally Posted by trader_jackson
I'm not quite sure... I am thinking this 12m is part of the 20ish m downgrade, but will soon see.
Faith is dented and running very thin now, but I'm not out yet.
You buy more at 97c? you'd be up 10% already if you did
A friend of mine left for lunch and missed out on making a quick doubt digit return, but hey, maybe in the longer/bigger picture it was good he left for lunch... time will tell
Maybe I should have left for lunch at 11:30am and not come back to the office
All a bit vague, especially the use of underlying Cash NPAT .....need to get into the normalising game when things not good eh.
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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05-02-2019, 04:11 PM
#249
Not that much damage to the share price today .....probably close not much differentl from yesterday’s close
But some made big bucks today ...and some no doubt crystallised big losses.
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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05-02-2019, 04:28 PM
#250
Originally Posted by winner69
Not that much damage to the share price today .....probably close not much differentl from yesterday’s close
But some made big bucks today ...and some no doubt crystallised big losses.
Certainly is shaping up to be a game of two halves... although I was in neither half.
I thought anything above $1.10 would be good... it is worth far in excess of $1.10 even after todays regrettable announcement, but I can understand the fury and swiftly negative reaction against FXL in the way and nature it was announced.
One thing is for sure, Private Equity will be swirling more than ever before around this former market darling at a 6 month forward PE of less than 6.
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