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  1. #211
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    Not all advisors in FNZC agree

  2. #212
    Legend Balance's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by horus1 View Post
    Not all advisors in FNZC agree
    That is actually very gratifying to know.

    Makes for a real market.

  3. #213
    Legend minimoke's Avatar
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    I am loathe to use that old saying " a fish rots from the head" but. B&I a complete failure. Fletcher EQR a total failure for a company supposedly "customer first" and Fletcher Living One Central (east Frame) numbers not appearing to stack up. Time for a fine tooth comb to be taken to the whole business.
    (Disc: I've been Fletechered so have little sympathy for the state this company finds itself in)

  4. #214
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    MorningStar have just put a valuation of $7.50 and a hold rec..Two things of interest that they mention...

    "..Negotiations are still ongoing with the holders of the NZD 1.14 billion in U.S. private placement notes, which still poses a risk..." and "..we anticipate the divestiture of assets, especially those earning low returns with no synergies across the rest of the business. These should be the focus as long as they can be realised at attractive prices. In our opinion, Formica fits the bill on both these criteria...."

    Unfortunately I seem to own quite a few FBU... not directly but through Smartshares... and with FBU accounting for almost 10% of NZDividend (DIV) I guess we'll see an almost 10% reduction in this years dividend.

    Last edited by BlackCross; 15-02-2018 at 12:08 PM.

  5. #215
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackCross View Post
    MorningStar have just put a valuation of $7.50 and a hold rec..Two things of interest that they mention...

    "..Negotiations are still ongoing with the holders of the NZD 1.14 billion in U.S. private placement notes, which still poses a risk..." and "..we anticipate the divestiture of assets, especially those earning low returns with no synergies across the rest of the business. These should be the focus as long as they can be realised at attractive prices. In our opinion, Formica fits the bill on both these criteria...."

    Unfortunately I seem to own quite a few FBU... not directly but through Smartshares... and with FBU accounting for almost 10% of NZDividend (NZD) I guess we'll see an almost 10% reduction in this years dividend.

    Holders of these private placement notes have never been known to spit the dummy and demand their money back early...oh wait they certainly have !!!
    I see the potential for a very large capital raise and FCNZ are setting themselves up to be the lead broker / arranger.
    Barge pole material. Front row seats to watching the biggest construction cost overrun fiasco of your lifetime are available at the Fortuna Buffet restaurant daily with a requested window seat....its a fascinating watch while enjoying a very nice meal at reasonable cost...I know, I am a recidivist offender and can't help watching train crashes unfold. This morbid fascination has proved unhelpful to the hounds waistline though lol.
    This convention center is only 22% complete and is already looking like destroying ~ $500m in shareholder value. With only just one fifth of that project complete and the fiasco of such gargantuan proportions why would anyone trust their latest "guess" at the total project overrun ?
    Last edited by Beagle; 15-02-2018 at 11:37 AM.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  6. #216
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    And holders of these private placement notes have never been known to spit the dummy and demand their money back early...oh wait they have !!!
    I see the potential for a very large capital raise and FCNZ are setting themselves up to be the lead broker / arranger.
    Under the rules, Fletcher can do a $500m placement supplemented by a $15k SPP to all shareholders.

    Watch for it.

  7. #217
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    Holders of these private placement notes have never been known to spit the dummy and demand their money back early...oh wait they certainly have !!!
    I see the potential for a very large capital raise and FCNZ are setting themselves up to be the lead broker / arranger.
    Barge pole material. Front row seats to watching the biggest construction cost overrun fiasco of your lifetime are available at the Fortuna Buffet restaurant daily with a requested window seat.
    This convention center is only 22% complete and is already looking like destroying ~ $500m in shareholder value. With only just one fifth of that project complete and the fiasco of such gargantuan proportions why would anyone trust their latest "guess" at the total project overrun ?
    Government won’t be getting much tax out FBU this financial year ....so sort of subsidising this Sky project

    And didn’t Sky get more gaming licenses for almost nothing
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  8. #218
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Government won’t be getting much tax out FBU this financial year ....so sort of subsidising this Sky project

    And didn’t Sky get more gaming licenses for almost nothing
    Its hard to be a winner betting against the house isn't it !
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  9. #219
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    I'm with Beagle on this. Love a good train wreck me, when it is from the sidelines and have no vested interest (phew).

    Struggle to see why the share price isn't lower. But if I was the recently appointed CEO, I'd be trying to throw everything into it so have the potential to come out looking good out the other side. I'd also be taking a large broom through the division.

  10. #220
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sideshow Bob View Post
    But if I was the recently appointed CEO, I'd be trying to throw everything into it so have the potential to come out looking good out the other side. I'd also be taking a large broom through the division.
    Alternatively let the SP get hammered, allow previous CEOs to take the blame and then take credit for inevitable SP increase. At best he can now expect to maintain current levels. It ought not be going up any stage in the future.

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