-
2017 the year in review.
http://www.sharechat.co.nz/article/d...in-in-2017html
What a year for the construction sector eh...FBU and MPG posting huge losses amidst a booming building industry backdrop and a booming NZX.
ATM what a year, could we see a repeat in 2018 ? THL what a little gem that's turned out to be. FPH a big surprise for me this year, haven't held, always seen as too expensive but another stellar year. Disappointed with SUM but expecting big things for 2018... Very pleased with AIR going up over 50% seeing as so many people were calling it a basket case or words to that effect in late 2016. Not expecting much (if anything or maybe negative returns) from AIR for 2018 though for reasons shared on that thread.
Feel free to share your thoughts reviewing 2017.
Last edited by Beagle; 29-12-2017 at 03:12 PM.
Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.”
Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine
-
Yes, hard to go wrong on the NZX this year - unless heavily into FBU, MPG and the odd other stock. I've also gone through life thinking FPH was always too expensive but finally bit the bullet in 2016 and bought a few. Added some more during 2017 so more than pleased with that particular decision.
Too much to expect anything better than a fair to average year for the market in 2018?
-
Originally Posted by macduffy
Yes, hard to go wrong on the NZX this year - unless heavily into FBU, MPG and the odd other stock. I've also gone through life thinking FPH was always too expensive but finally bit the bullet in 2016 and bought a few. Added some more during 2017 so more than pleased with that particular decision.
Too much to expect anything better than a fair to average year for the market in 2018?
That's the $64,000 question ! I finally got around to reading John Ryder's final 2017 globally focused newsletter the other day in which interestingly he talked about their strategy of buying an equal weight of the ten dogs of the Dow each year. The theory being that the worst ten performers in any one year have historically outperformed in the following year. Very interestingly the ten DOW dogs they have earmarked for investment for 2018 have an average forward PE of 27 !! (That is not a typo) I got to reflecting as you do at this time of year, with interest rates set to remain at generation lows perhaps PE's in the mid 20's or so are not too expensive as long as they have sound growth prospects and perhaps they still have excellent prospects going forward ?
Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.”
Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine
-
I hate to think what the ten worst dogs of 2017 were on the NZX! At least the Dow Industrials have E's to calculate PE's from!
-
Originally Posted by macduffy
I hate to think what the ten worst dogs of 2017 were on the NZX! At least the Dow Industrials have E's to calculate PE's from!
The DOW [DJI] is only made up of 30 companies.
And yes this year has not required any skill on the NZX .
Two mistakes I made this year OIC and TIL, resulted in a 90% gain with one,and a 12.5% gain with the other?..Crazy.
Last edited by percy; 29-12-2017 at 05:48 PM.
-
Originally Posted by percy
The DOW [DJI] is only made up of 30 companies.
And yes this year has not required any skill on the NZX .
Two mistakes I made this year OIC and TIL, resulted in a 90% gain with one,and a 12.5% gain with the other?..Crazy.
What about TNR?
-
Originally Posted by JeremyALD
What about TNR?
TRA is one of two stocks,the other is PAZ on the unlisted market,that I have been fortunate enough to have added to my already large holdings,this year at reasonable prices,placing me "well positioned" for 2018,although PAZ may not shine until 2019.Both are very high conviction stocks for me,and they are my second and third largest holdings after HBL.TRA is paying good divies,while PAZ will not be in a position to pay divies for awhile,[as they have spent a great deal on their factory expansion and more equipment.May take all next year ramping up production.].
I am expecting one to rise 50% to 70% over the next two years, while the other may double,or triple ,or quadruple?.
High conviction is a stock I have brought a small parcel of shares,and as management have kept doing what they have said they would do,I have kept buying more shares.
Last edited by percy; 29-12-2017 at 07:34 PM.
-
NTL WAS A STAND OUT FOR ME Bought most at 0.006 and sold most at 0.027 .Now at 0.017
not sure what this year will bring from this one though . I made a 56% profit over all, so very comfortable with that. Probably never to be repeated ....
I made a good paper gain on PIL,but then didnt sell them quick enough .....
best of luck to all, and thank you for all your comments on each site, of course we all do our own form of research but it is good to have this forum.
Some of the time i am frustrated that i sold to early, other times that i sold too late , and just sometimes, i get it right ....
-
First year on the NZX ( US/AUS since 2014 ) and it has been a cracker... disappointed with the mammoth amount of missed opportunities that were basically in the shopping bag throughout the year.
SKO/JWI/AIR/XRO to name a few :/
Last edited by hardt; 30-12-2017 at 05:17 AM.
-
Posting Permissions
- You may not post new threads
- You may not post replies
- You may not post attachments
- You may not edit your posts
-
Forum Rules
|
|
Bookmarks