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Thread: AIR - Air NZ.

  1. #13531
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Another infamous Investor Day for institutional gurus

    Wonder what little gems will be hidden away in the presentation this time around
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  2. #13532
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Another infamous Investor Day for institutional gurus

    Wonder what little gems will be hidden away in the presentation this time around
    Remember 2 years ago mate when they had one and it included a slight downgrade and executives were selling left right and centre leading into the investor day including one large sale of several hundred thousand shares the very day before ! Of course we didn't get to see those disclosure notices until after the event.

    This time around the SP has been quite weak since the start of this month and there is now a clear break down through the 100 day MA...join the dots...
    If she blows through the previous recent support at about $3.13 it could test support at $3.00 fairly quickly in my opinion.

    You're right in regard to those engines...where there's smoke there's fire. More issues, I wish I could say I was surprised. Dreamliner now officially a nightmareliner for AIR ?
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.”
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  3. #13533
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    Well, update this morning is that 'all is good'.... still need to go through the presentation though.

    - the Company has reaffirmed the outlook for the 2018 financial year, stating "Based upon the current market conditions and despite the increased price of jet fuel, the Company continues to expect 2018 earnings before taxation to exceed the prior year"


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    just had a quick flick. couldn't see any mention about the RR engine issues? fuel headwinds in FY19?

  5. #13535
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    Quote Originally Posted by Filthy View Post
    Well, update this morning is that 'all is good'.... still need to go through the presentation though.

    - the Company has reaffirmed the outlook for the 2018 financial year, stating "Based upon the current market conditions and despite the increased price of jet fuel, the Company continues to expect 2018 earnings before taxation to exceed the prior year"

    990 million, that's bullish considering the difficulties faced, onward and upward it is.

  6. #13536
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by couta1 View Post
    990 million, that's bullish considering the difficulties faced, onward and upward it is.
    So they’ve absorbed $110m more than expected to make a few more bob than last year

    See .....fuel costs and yield are inextricably linked .....and keep RASK undercontrol and it’s all honky dory
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  7. #13537
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    Quote Originally Posted by Filthy View Post
    just had a quick flick. couldn't see any mention about the RR engine issues? fuel headwinds in FY19?
    thought there was plenty in there on the fuel outlook, and a good bit on fleet strategies (including RR cover). Good to see the hedge position protecting them at a US$71 average until December this year - that explains why they still see themselves as doing alright in FY2019. And the other takeaway for me was the fleet investment capex forecast - ongoign steady investment, with no horrendous lumps. Maintains the average of $600m pa.

    Fantastic update.

  8. #13538
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    http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...297/280962.pdf

    Lazy hound slept in and hasn't read it yet. Plenty in there to digest.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.”
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  9. #13539
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    Quote Originally Posted by couta1 View Post
    990 million, that's bullish considering the difficulties faced, onward and upward it is.
    Jonesy will love it , he might have both barrels firing today ...

  10. #13540
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by stoploss View Post
    Jonesy will love it , he might have both barrels firing today ...
    The $990m is the fuel bill ...not the profit
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

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