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16-12-2019, 09:33 AM
#15111
Fair enough Iceman. I'm not fortunate enough to travel on AIR very often and never in their business class so I am happy to concede you would have a far greater knowledge than I of whether AIR's product and service offer is up to the mark. Perhaps I misinterpreted your post but I remain of the view those elite upgrade prices are on extremely favourable terms. More too it than just inflight service eh mate. I see AIR looking after you and other valuable Koru club members https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/...+December+2019
From where I sit today there's always something to worry about with airlines, its such a dog eat dog business with very skinny margins and they're all ostensibly using the same product, just configured different ways and with staff at various cost level's.
What worries me the most about AIR to be quite honest with you and others is the relentless cost pressure from human resources costs and the endless (last year + 2.5-3%) wage settlements. This compounds away steadily over the years and I fear the airline is getting close to no longer being in a position to offer a world class product and service because they're no longer competitive due to their cost base.
The never ending Rolls Royce fiasco is a serious worry and I wonder if that ever gets resolved properly ?
At one point Qantas and AIR's share price and earnings were the same, a few years ago. They took a much stronger approach towards cost containment and look how well that's worked for them.
Shareholders would have been far better off holding Qantas shares over the last 5 years and that makes me sad.
I only have a 2% portfolio position and its only for dividend yield and I have no expectations whatsoever of capital gains going forward so I don't worry about AIR so much these days anymore. I'm not really inclined towards adding to my very modest position either.
Maybe the new CEO can do some work on cost reduction but the head of the union "Savage", (probably not his / her real name), has chosen a very apt pseudonym in my opinion. While workers get the lions share of the rewards and a culture on entitlement prevails, its hard to get especially excited about future shareholder rewards.
Last edited by Beagle; 16-12-2019 at 11:40 AM.
Ecclesiastes 11:2: Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine
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16-12-2019, 05:54 PM
#15112
Originally Posted by Beagle
Maybe the new CEO can do some work on cost reduction but the head of the union "Savage", (probably not his / her real name), has chosen a very apt pseudonym in my opinion. While workers get the lions share of the rewards and a culture on entitlement prevails, its hard to get especially excited about future shareholder rewards.
I think you will find, wage inflation and the culture of entitlement highest among top management from the CEO down over the last 5-10 years.
A culture of cost reduction should start at the top.
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16-12-2019, 06:01 PM
#15113
Originally Posted by Jaa
I think you will find, wage inflation and the culture of entitlement highest among top management from the CEO down over the last 5-10 years.
A culture of cost reduction should start at the top.
Agree 100%. Just take 20% off everyone earning over $120,000 and the airline would be more competitive. Even that Savage union rep probably earning too much.
Ecclesiastes 11:2: Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine
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16-12-2019, 06:27 PM
#15114
Originally Posted by Beagle
Agree 100%. Just take 20% off everyone earning over $120,000 and the airline would be more competitive. Even that Savage union rep probably earning too much.
Yep the company is full of Troughers.
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17-12-2019, 08:53 AM
#15115
Well that tenure didnt last long. Another sign AIR aint what it used to be and getting too hard for some.
http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...106/314125.pdf
At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.
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17-12-2019, 08:56 AM
#15116
Originally Posted by couta1
Yep the company is full of Troughers.
One trougher leaving ...probably the job did for him what he wanted
http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...106/314125.pdf
At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.
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17-12-2019, 09:26 AM
#15117
That's quite a loss. Him and Chris probably great mates and since Chris has gone...
"committed to delivering outstanding uniquely Kiwi experiences every day.” Suppose that's code for their (frequently quite bizarre), safety video's.
Ecclesiastes 11:2: Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine
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17-12-2019, 09:30 AM
#15118
Originally Posted by winner69
In the past it looks like he was pretty good in timing his departures ... holders might ignore this indicator at their own peril.
Never forget - AIR is a cyclical ...
----
"Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)
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17-12-2019, 10:03 AM
#15119
Originally Posted by BlackPeter
In the past it looks like he was pretty good in timing his departures ... holders might ignore this indicator at their own peril.
Never forget - AIR is a cyclical ...
Yup - that's been his key to success. All in the timing.
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17-12-2019, 10:11 AM
#15120
Key said
"Air New Zealand is a world class company that all Kiwis can be proud of. The fortunes of the airline and our nation are inextricably linked."
Oh dear. I hope not. Went under once.
Last edited by peat; 17-12-2019 at 10:12 AM.
For clarity, nothing I say is advice....
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