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13-10-2015, 04:45 PM
#3591
PT - pretty volatile returns on a year by year basis eh
But a few more years of +50% and all be honky dory and all shareholders will be happy as
No bad years coming up by the looks of it
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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14-10-2015, 09:48 AM
#3592
Oil down again overnight
AIR to get to 280 today methinks
Punters slowly waking up ....just need to see more instos topping up so they can outperform (but hen they generally not real active investors anyway)
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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14-10-2015, 10:30 AM
#3593
Originally Posted by winner69
PT - pretty volatile returns on a year by year basis eh
But a few more years of +50% and all be honky dory and all shareholders will be happy as
No bad years coming up by the looks of it
I predict a party atmosphere at next years annual meeting. Last time they predicted profit would double in 2012 it nearly tripled, (up 174% 2012 to 2013 on the back of a 100% prediction).
$496m plus 174% = $1,359m before tax...based on their conservative record of predicting profit and the fact that the other day they said they were on track to EXCEED $400m in the first half perhaps my $1,000m forecast for the full year has some upside prospects ?
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14-10-2015, 11:10 AM
#3594
Originally Posted by Roger
I predict a party atmosphere at next years annual meeting. Last time they predicted profit would double in 2012 it nearly tripled, (up 174% 2012 to 2013 on the back of a 100% prediction).
$496m plus 174% = $1,359m before tax...based on their conservative record of predicting profit and the fact that the other day they said they were on track to EXCEED $400m in the first half perhaps my $1,000m forecast for the full year has some upside prospects ?
Upside prospects - definitely
Maybe you better revisit your numbers .... after all you are a conservative accountant
Maybe $4 target is a bit pessimistic - but hey winner show patience
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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14-10-2015, 11:15 AM
#3595
Hey roger - you forgot to add that after that big increase th following year was +50% and then the following again was huge.
Looks like we alright through to 2018
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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14-10-2015, 12:06 PM
#3596
Craigs analyst Chris Byrne said in a research note that given the airline has consistently achieved well above guidance over the past three years when it has given guidance this early, he assumes the airline is anticipating earnings of at least 10 percent above the minimum or at least $440 million for the first half, which would be up 90 percent year on year.
Byrne also expects Virgin Australia to contribute positively to the national carrier’s earnings this year so its profit could be even higher. His revised full-year forecast for earnings before tax is $839 million, up from $738 million.
Happy with $1 Billion at this stage mate (inclusive of positive Virgin contribution). Notice that this analyst says AIR has consistently achieved well above guidance.
Last edited by Beagle; 14-10-2015 at 12:07 PM.
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14-10-2015, 12:11 PM
#3597
Originally Posted by winner69
AIR to get to 280 today methinks
First it needs to get past 275 mark, seems a bit of resistance to break thro' that number atm.
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14-10-2015, 12:37 PM
#3598
Originally Posted by sb9
First it needs to get past 275 mark, seems a bit of resistance to break thro' that number atm.
Happening as we speak, buyers lining up for an arvo spend
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14-10-2015, 01:29 PM
#3599
Yeah, looking positive now 276.5
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14-10-2015, 01:29 PM
#3600
Originally Posted by couta1
Happening as we speak, buyers lining up for an arvo spend
Well mate I have scoured the market and can't find anything that's better buying than AIR in terms of its incredible value and great prospects so I've lined up and bought more today.
Last edited by Beagle; 14-10-2015 at 01:39 PM.
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