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Thread: AIR - Air NZ.

  1. #3591
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    PT - pretty volatile returns on a year by year basis eh

    But a few more years of +50% and all be honky dory and all shareholders will be happy as

    No bad years coming up by the looks of it
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  2. #3592
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Oil down again overnight

    AIR to get to 280 today methinks

    Punters slowly waking up ....just need to see more instos topping up so they can outperform (but hen they generally not real active investors anyway)
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  3. #3593
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    PT - pretty volatile returns on a year by year basis eh

    But a few more years of +50% and all be honky dory and all shareholders will be happy as
    No bad years coming up by the looks of it
    I predict a party atmosphere at next years annual meeting. Last time they predicted profit would double in 2012 it nearly tripled, (up 174% 2012 to 2013 on the back of a 100% prediction).
    $496m plus 174% = $1,359m before tax...based on their conservative record of predicting profit and the fact that the other day they said they were on track to EXCEED $400m in the first half perhaps my $1,000m forecast for the full year has some upside prospects ?

  4. #3594
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Roger View Post
    I predict a party atmosphere at next years annual meeting. Last time they predicted profit would double in 2012 it nearly tripled, (up 174% 2012 to 2013 on the back of a 100% prediction).
    $496m plus 174% = $1,359m before tax...based on their conservative record of predicting profit and the fact that the other day they said they were on track to EXCEED $400m in the first half perhaps my $1,000m forecast for the full year has some upside prospects ?
    Upside prospects - definitely

    Maybe you better revisit your numbers .... after all you are a conservative accountant

    Maybe $4 target is a bit pessimistic - but hey winner show patience
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  5. #3595
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Hey roger - you forgot to add that after that big increase th following year was +50% and then the following again was huge.

    Looks like we alright through to 2018
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  6. #3596
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Craigs analyst Chris Byrne said in a research note that given the airline has consistently achieved well above guidance over the past three years when it has given guidance this early, he assumes the airline is anticipating earnings of at least 10 percent above the minimum or at least $440 million for the first half, which would be up 90 percent year on year.

    Byrne also expects Virgin Australia to contribute positively to the national carrier’s earnings this year so its profit could be even higher. His revised full-year forecast for earnings before tax is $839 million, up from $738 million.
    Happy with $1 Billion at this stage mate (inclusive of positive Virgin contribution). Notice that this analyst says AIR has consistently achieved well above guidance.
    Last edited by Beagle; 14-10-2015 at 12:07 PM.

  7. #3597
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post

    AIR to get to 280 today methinks
    First it needs to get past 275 mark, seems a bit of resistance to break thro' that number atm.

  8. #3598
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    Quote Originally Posted by sb9 View Post
    First it needs to get past 275 mark, seems a bit of resistance to break thro' that number atm.
    Happening as we speak, buyers lining up for an arvo spend

  9. #3599
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    Yeah, looking positive now 276.5

  10. #3600
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    Quote Originally Posted by couta1 View Post
    Happening as we speak, buyers lining up for an arvo spend
    Well mate I have scoured the market and can't find anything that's better buying than AIR in terms of its incredible value and great prospects so I've lined up and bought more today.
    Last edited by Beagle; 14-10-2015 at 01:39 PM.

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