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Thread: AIR - Air NZ.

  1. #3601
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    Quote Originally Posted by Roger View Post
    Well mate I have scoured the market and can't find anything that's better buying than AIR in terms of its incredible value and great prospects so I've lined up and bought more today.
    With you Roger, bought a heap more two days ago and already 10.5c per share better off. Way too heavy on AIR but nothing better out there at the moment although I'm pretty happy with SKL as well. Well positioned you might say!

  2. #3602
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    Quote Originally Posted by Robomo View Post
    With you Roger, bought a heap more two days ago and already 10.5c per share better off. Way too heavy on AIR but nothing better out there at the moment although I'm pretty happy with SKL as well. Well positioned you might say!
    Absolutely mate. I wonder if I should admit out loud that I've now quadrupled my holding since the annual meeting

    I think the new border levy at ~ $20 seems reasonable. At the end of the day why should regular Kiwi taxpayers fund overseas tourists border costs ? Compares very favourably with the Australian Levy of $A55 and the U.K.'s levy of a whopping 71 pounds. I can't see anyone travelling long haul being put off by a mere extra $20 and as for our neighbours coming from Aussie for their ski holiday, well they might be a little less rowdy at the pub about their skiing prowess after a day on the slopes because they drink two fewer beers, would that be a bad thing
    Last edited by Beagle; 14-10-2015 at 04:07 PM. Reason: Add comment about new border levy

  3. #3603
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    Quote Originally Posted by Roger View Post
    .. can't find anything that's better buying than AIR...
    Me either - table below shows my top 20 stocks.
    They are ranked by forecast internal rate of return (tax paid) using the median market PE since 2007.
    Also shown is the IRR if each stock were valued on a PE of 15.
    And the extent to which the share price is below or above the forecast 2016 earnings x median market PE - i.e. what the price should be once that result's announced.

    AIR is top.

    Stocks
    MidPtPE IRR MPPE IRR PE15 1 yr UV/OV Growth% DivYield
    AIR.NZ 10.2 26% 32% 117% 10.0% 8.1%
    STU.NZ 13.7 25% 26% 80% 11.0% 9.7%
    TWR.NZ 10.2 23% 26% 45% 12.0% 8.7%
    nzr.nz 18.2 22% 19% 216% 2.0% 8.5%
    SKL.NZ 12.8 21% 23% 83% 6.0% 9.6%
    awf.nz 10.4 19% 23% 18% 12.0% 10.0%
    HNZ.NZ 11.5 18% 22% 18% 11.0% 8.8%
    IFT.NZ 14.7 18% 18% 10% 14.0% 5.8%
    FRE.NZ 15.7 17% 16% 10% 13.0% 6.6%
    CNU.NZ 9.1 16% 22% -40% 8.0% 0.0%
    mel.NZ 10.7 16% 19% 14% 8.0% 8.6%
    thl.nz 11.2 16% 19% 12% 10.0% 8.6%
    pgw.nz 9.6 15% 20% 16% 5.0% 13.5%
    hby.nz 10.5 15% 18% 17% 7.0% 12.1%
    ANZ.ax 12.3 15% 18% 32% 6.5% 8.8%
    ZEL.NZ 11.9 14% 17% -28% 11.5% 5.8%
    arv.nz 13.3 14% 16% 9% 11.0% 6.8%
    MRP.NZ 27.7 14% 8% 34% 6.0% 9.5%
    TPW.NZ 20.3 14% 10% 20% 7.5% 7.0%
    Mid pt PE Market median PE since 2007
    IRR MPPE Forecast internal rate of return next 7 years, using market median PE
    IRR PE15 Forecast internal rate of return next 7 years, using PE of 15
    Growth Estimated growth factor next 7 years
    Div yield Current gross dividend yield

    1 yr UV/OV - Percent undervalued or overvalued one year out - the percent a stock has to gain or lose to reach the forecast price based on eps 2016 * market median PE
    Last edited by banter; 14-10-2015 at 10:33 PM.

  4. #3604
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Suppose 3 1/2 cent rise yesterday wasnt too bad

    Another 2 1/2 today and $2.80

    Then on to $3 by end of month for this super star.

    See Delta report was good in the US overnight ....can't lose on airlines eh
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  5. #3605
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Suppose 3 1/2 cent rise yesterday wasnt too bad

    Another 2 1/2 today and $2.80

    Then on to $3 by end of month for this super star.

    See Delta report was good in the US overnight ....can't lose on airlines eh
    I hope your not superstitious

  6. #3606
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Suppose 3 1/2 cent rise yesterday wasnt too bad

    Another 2 1/2 today and $2.80

    Then on to $3 by end of month for this super star.

    See Delta report was good in the US overnight ....can't lose on airlines eh
    Be careful Winner. The wheels can easily come off in this airline business !! http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/n...ectid=11527443
    Last edited by iceman; 15-10-2015 at 10:01 AM. Reason: spelling

  7. #3607
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    Haha, putting the fear into him! Sell me your shares winner ^^

  8. #3608
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    OMG - Air is on the loser's board today
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  9. #3609
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    OMG - Air is on the loser's board today
    Light volume so far...don't read much into that, bargain hunters would be on the hunt soon.

  10. #3610
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    Just Roger alone is enough to boost the SP if he carries on

    Roger--Did you notice KWs last post on the Black Monday thread --could this be the case with AIR? ( If its already been covered apologies)

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