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Thread: AIR - Air NZ.

  1. #15171
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mogul View Post
    I see this as a blip not a change in business fundamentals which will still be a long term low single digit growth trend and yield stock. Continue to like brand strength and strong market share/economics for NZ domestic flights. Will continue to hold long term and potentially top up if share price over reacts.
    I'm of the same opinion and can't be bothered selling out of a high yielding stock every time there's a scare ...........

  2. #15172
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Time to play the “Significant Items’ trick again.

    Some $50m worth this year

    The disestablishment of these hedges really expensive eh ...so previous years profits have been ‘overstated’ under of guise of lowering earnings volatility

    And most of the proceeds from selling the slot at Heathrow going into restructuring the cost base ...lol

    Everybody will say the $30m of restructuring will say non-recurring / abnormal but not really as they are always doing this stuff



    http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...578/315770.pdf
    Last edited by winner69; 28-01-2020 at 09:22 AM.
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  3. #15173
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Time to play the “Significant Items’ trick again.

    Some $50m worth this year

    The disestablishment of these hedges really expensive eh ...so previous years profits have been ‘overstated’ under of guise of lowering earnings volatility

    And most of the proceeds from selling the slot at Heathrow going into restructuring the cost base ...lol

    Everybody will say the $30m of restructuring will say non-recurring / abnormal but not really as they are always doing this stuff



    http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...578/315770.pdf

    novel way of doing a profit downgrade. next one will be when they downgrade earnings for yr 21 due to corona virus
    one step ahead of the herd

  4. #15174
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    novel way of doing a profit downgrade. next one will be when they downgrade earnings for yr 21 due to corona virus
    Guidance unchanged at $350m to $450m (last year $374m)

    But year ends June so plenty of time for virus impacts to hit

    Mind you December looked like it was a very good month for them
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  5. #15175
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Guidance unchanged at $350m to $450m (last year $374m)

    But year ends June so plenty of time for virus impacts to hit

    Mind you December looked like it was a very good month for them
    inevitable if virus contagion spreads more to other countries , travel will be impacted, hence air earnings
    one step ahead of the herd

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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    inevitable if virus contagion spreads more to other countries , travel will be impacted, hence air earnings
    Yeap...a fairly high percentage of people tell me they catch something on a long haul flight due to the way airlines recirculate the air within the cabin. I can see this virus really putting people off flying in quite a big way.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  7. #15177
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    Yeap...a fairly high percentage of people tell me they catch something on a long haul flight due to the way airlines recirculate the air within the cabin. I can see this virus really putting people off flying in quite a big way.
    too true so unhealthy to fly with all those circulating bugs
    one step ahead of the herd

  8. #15178
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    I'm quite surprised this stock hasnt dropped below $2.50 on sentiment alone, shows the strength of the business.

  9. #15179
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    Quote Originally Posted by couta1 View Post
    I'm quite surprised this stock hasnt dropped below $2.50 on sentiment alone, shows the strength of the business.
    give it time , aus isnt open yet.
    one step ahead of the herd

  10. #15180
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Guidance unchanged at $350m to $450m (last year $374m)

    But year ends June so plenty of time for virus impacts to hit

    Mind you December looked like it was a very good month for them
    Doubt the $20-$25m reorganisation costs will be the end of it by any means. Wait till Greg Foran gets on board, has his meetings with 1200 senior staff in the first 100 days and we'll see what reorganisation costs come out in FY21.

    Coutts, I reckon this virus is going to hit them like a sledgehammer. I wouldn't get on an aircraft for any reason to go anywhere at present.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

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