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  1. #1
    Advanced Member Valuegrowth's Avatar
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    Default The 1987 crash - could it happen again?

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/n...ectid=11932723

    For me this time is not different but it is better be cautious than regret later. I have experience with finance companies how they went to receiverships. Best places to put money now are outstanding companies with long term business model, defensive areas and value opportunities. Do you think so? Thanks.

    http://www.smh.com.au/business/marke...08-gywti6.html

  2. #2
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    Quote Originally Posted by MARKETWINNER View Post
    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/n...ectid=11932723

    For me this time is not different but it is better be cautious than regret later. I have experience with finance companies how they went to receiverships. Best places to put money now are outstanding companies with long term business model, defensive areas and value opportunities. Do you think so? Thanks.

    http://www.smh.com.au/business/marke...08-gywti6.html
    No, but a war could change things. I think this bull run still has some legs

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by MARKETWINNER View Post
    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/n...ectid=11932723

    For me this time is not different but it is better be cautious than regret later. I have experience with finance companies how they went to receiverships. Best places to put money now are outstanding companies with long term business model, defensive areas and value opportunities. Do you think so? Thanks.

    http://www.smh.com.au/business/marke...08-gywti6.html
    Totally agree.Portfolio value went down around 70 % in 87 but it recovered all its value within 2 yrs by reinvesting in solid companies . Crashes are just another opportunity.

  4. #4
    Ignorant. Just ignorant.
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    It's different every time, so no, we won't see a repeat of 1987. But given that there's some sort of crisis every ten years or so, it's tempting to speculate what it'll be this time

  5. #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by GTM 3442 View Post
    It's different every time, so no, we won't see a repeat of 1987. But given that there's some sort of crisis every ten years or so, it's tempting to speculate what it'll be this time
    WW3 would probably fit the bill.

  6. #6
    Advanced Member Valuegrowth's Avatar
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    http://www.marketriders.com/investin...ent-this-time/

    It's not different this time.

    https://www.businessinsider.com.au/s...7-10?r=US&IR=T

    US investors are running out of cash -- and that's terrible news for the stock market
    Last edited by Valuegrowth; 30-10-2017 at 04:18 PM.

  7. #7
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    There's a lot of uncertainty at the moment, and I'm not entirely sure what the right move to make is.

    Asset prices are at extraordinarily high levels, NZ house prices are some of the highest in the world (in relation to local incomes) having seen near vertical gains in recent years. The new government's policies, in my opinion, are highly inflationary, the NZD is already reacting accordingly against most major currency pairs. Even overseas markets appear to be developing cracks (US, China, Australian financial sector)..

    Do I keep my money in cash and have it devalue? Do I put it into stocks and risk losing a significant amount when the 'mother of all bubbles' bursts? Do i put it into bonds/term deposits and lock in those really low returns of around 3-4% per annum?

    Who knows. Things were much easier when all I had to decide was what to watch on TV.

  8. #8
    Hunting for Heuristic trends
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    Quote Originally Posted by MARKETWINNER View Post
    http://www.marketriders.com/investin...ent-this-time/

    It's not different this time.

    https://www.businessinsider.com.au/s...7-10?r=US&IR=T

    US investors are running out of cash -- and that's terrible news for the stock market
    I agree.
    Most US households are already carrying large debt loads. Most US businesses are either running on fumes or recycling borrowings.
    "When" the correction comes, it wont be pretty.

  9. #9
    Advanced Member Valuegrowth's Avatar
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    Yes Arc I am also wary about debt load, easy money and leverages taken place in global markets.

    https://www.investopedia.com/news/bi...s-wells-fargo/

    Is it going to be true this time?

    https://www.coindesk.com/crypto-market-50-time-highs/

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-u...-idUSKBN1EU1YR

  10. #10
    IMO
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    You are all in cash and manifesting a crash MW?

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