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View Poll Results: Two years from now will OCA's share price be more or less than three times MPG ?

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  • OCA 3 times or more than MPG

    19 79.17%
  • OCA less than 3 times MPG

    5 20.83%
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Thread: OCA or MPG Mk11

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  1. #1
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Default OCA or MPG Mk11

    Time for a new fun poll.
    In 2 years time will OCA be worth at least 3 times MPG shares or less ?

    Currently 1.8 times the price. Does one company face serious systemic headwinds and the other enjoy strong tailwinds to such an extent we will see a dramatic expansion of the price variance between the two or will the dog bounce back and start barking ?
    Last edited by Beagle; 19-11-2018 at 05:42 PM.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  2. #2
    …just try’n to manage expectations… Maverick's Avatar
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    C`mon Beagle , every dog has his day but that's just gloating.

  3. #3
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Maverick View Post
    C`mon Beagle , every dog has his day but that's just gloating.
    LOL Some things just have to be done mate, I've already voted...to me this is a no brainer but lets see what the consensus view is
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  4. #4
    …just try’n to manage expectations… Maverick's Avatar
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    Here's my simple maths for OCA being 3 x MPG on 19.11.2020
    $1.16 x 1.25 x 1.25 = $1.81 (of this I am confident)
    Therefore MPG has to be $1.81 /3 = .60 cents. (i have no idea but seems plausible.)
    I recon its a coin toss

  5. #5
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Maverick View Post
    Here's my simple maths for OCA being 3 x MPG on 19.11.2020
    $1.16 x 1.25 x 1.25 = $1.81 (of this I am confident)
    Therefore MPG has to be $1.81 /3 = .60 cents. (i have no idea but seems plausible.)
    I recon its a coin toss
    You need to go sailing more often mate. Much better progress, (velocity made good) with the spinnaker up and sailing along with a stiff following breeze than tacking your way fighting into the teeth of it
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  6. #6
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    It’s a bit sad isn’t it, when the best industry in NZ is building old folks homes.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    You need to go sailing more often mate. Much better progress, (velocity made good) with the spinnaker up and sailing along with a stiff following breeze than tacking your way fighting into the teeth of it
    All true, but hoisting the spinnaker in the face of the stiff breeze of rising government intervention (minimum wage increases among others) isn't the best way to reach the top mark either.

    It would take a lot (of alcohol) to get me to invest in MPG. OCA on the other hand ...

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    Quote Originally Posted by Maverick View Post
    ok, need a maths teacher guy to clarify this, being a competition and all we need to understand the rules.(plus being a maths based website , its good to be speaking the same language elsewhere too).
    im thinking 3 times more means $1.80 is 3 times more than $.60.
    i think W69 (sorry if I'm getting this wrong Matey) is suggesting $1.80 is 3 times more than $.45.
    Now, to me winners take is not 3x more , rather he is thinking 300 % more....
    According to my wife , I am actually not always right.
    Beagle, you started this, what say you?
    I think what winner is indicating is that OCA will be worth roughly $1.35 in two years nothing more........

  9. #9
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    as hilarious as this thread is, we should really be pitting OCA vs its industry peers (i.e. SUM or RYM) and MPG vs the likes of FBU or STU.
    at least make it comparable & a fair fight. in my mind, putting a high-growth stock up against ('what should be') a reasonable divi paying stock (in a currently beaten down segment) is not that useful. other interesting match-ups could be POT vs AIA, SML vs ATM, SEK vs SCL, etc
    would be great to get some punters thoughts on what might outperform when it is actually an equal footing.
    Last edited by Filthy; 20-11-2018 at 10:01 AM.

  10. #10
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    This thread is just meant to be a bit of fun and my way to help people think about the effect of strong headwinds v strong tailwinds.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

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