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  1. #21
    percy
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    I think it is best to have a "conviction" portfolio, where you would not mind the market being closed for 2 years, rather than 2 days.!!!...lol.
    Last edited by percy; 02-01-2019 at 04:29 PM.

  2. #22
    Senior Member
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    May 2017
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    Wellington
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    Hi all...it looks like we have 182 entries, although still waiting on a couple of confirmations.

    I did put the comp on a certain other forum also, and there was a desire to enter a "CASH" option (2 people did this from this forum, selecting all Cash).
    It is a share picks comp though...although some would argue this may not be a bad strategy this coming year!

    So what I'll do is show a "market" line (like I do with the NZX50), showing the impact of a cash return only, at the current BNZ term deposit rate of 3.4% per annum.
    Hope this is okay.

  3. #23
    Member
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    Mar 2013
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    NZ
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    Quote Originally Posted by SylvesterCat View Post
    Should have said earlier - Happy New Year everyone!!!
    And a Happy New Year to you SC!!!!!

  4. #24
    Member
    Join Date
    Jun 2015
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    69

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    Hi, is it possible to follow the competition if you have not entered? Just wondering if I can see what everyone has picked?

  5. #25
    Guru
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    Feb 2005
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    Auckland, , New Zealand.
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    2,625

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    Quote Originally Posted by Traderwannabe View Post
    Hi, is it possible to follow the competition if you have not entered? Just wondering if I can see what everyone has picked?
    Pity you didn't enter. Nothing like having skin in the game.

    SC will come up with a link at some stage and that will give you access.

    This is last years one.

    https://sites.google.com/view/sharet...ividual-result

  6. #26
    Member
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    Oct 2006
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    paraparaumu, , New Zealand.
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    448

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    Thanks SC for running the competition again.

  7. #27
    Handsome Member
    Join Date
    Jun 2015
    Posts
    751

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    SC, any update on when we will have this link for 2019?

  8. #28
    Senior Member
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    May 2017
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    Wellington
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    Sorry for delay all.
    Will get it up and running soon - certainly during this week.
    I've been playing with a new website format to make it easier for everyone to see the results...but at the very least, will get the old format up and running so you can see who has picked what!

  9. #29
    Member
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    Jan 2018
    Location
    Christchurch
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    Bugger, i missed this while I was away :X

  10. #30
    Senior Member
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    May 2017
    Location
    Wellington
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    511

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    madmat, send me a quick entry...via private message.

  11. #31
    Senior Member
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    May 2017
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    Wellington
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    Just to whet your appetite....
    - a total of 110 shares have been picked - with 3 clear favourites!
    - 195 entries (including 11 "trackers" - 8 brokers, NZX50, Cash and Sharetrader top 5)

    Will get a link to opening prices soon...

  12. #32
    Legend
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    Jan 2002
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    auckland, , New Zealand.
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    6,653

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    if its not too late mine was a day late due to holiday thx
    sylvester sent via enquiry form
    bull
    One step ahead of the herd

  13. #33
    Senior Member
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    May 2017
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    Wellington
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    if its not too late mine was a day late due to holiday thx
    sylvester sent via enquiry form
    bull...yours are definitely in there!

  14. #34
    Senior Member
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    May 2017
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    Wellington
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    RIGHT!!
    And we're off.

    Please see attached the link below for this years competition: https://sites.google.com/view/nzsharepicks/home.
    If I figure out a different way to do the website, it might change - but in the interests of speed thought that was worth publishing.

    Note that only 7 entries came in after trading opening, which I think we can live with.
    I say that because my first pick was PLX, but I made my entry in mid-December, just in case anyone is suspicious .

    Opening prices are also shown on the website - I am certain they are correct, but if anyone begs to differ then simply let me know.

    This graph is on the website, but is worth reflecting on here - 50% of the picks are in the following 17 companies....
    2019 Picks Pic.jpg

  15. #35
    Handsome Member
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    Jun 2015
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    751

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    Looks great so far. Thank again for your time in doing this

  16. #36
    percy
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    Oct 2009
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    christchurch
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    Agreed.Looks really good.
    And thanks too for organising and running the competition.
    Wonderful seeing The Wellington Bowlers included....lol.

  17. #37
    Advanced Member
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    Jan 2013
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    Different thinking
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    A BIG thanks to SCat for running this competition. Much appreciated.

    This time of the year is a great time to reflect on the past and plan for the future. I've been entering in this comp for 5 years and have learned heaps.

    2014
    Placed 4th equal with 99.76% return.

    2015
    Placed 18th (shared with Xerof) with 54.24% return.

    2016
    Placed 195th with a -25.7% my first negative return was due to WYN which went insolvent during the year (fortunately I dropped WYN from my actual portfolio well before its demise.)

    2017
    Finished 37th (out of over 200 entries) with a 72.8% return.

    2018
    52nd with a 5.9% return.

    Over this 5 years my actual share portfolio has performed ahead of my competition results primarily due to my being able to continually review and quit non performers during the year.

    2019 is going to be very interesting! Good luck all.
    Last edited by Left field; 14-01-2019 at 08:00 AM.

  18. #38
    One Fearsome Feline winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by percy View Post
    Agreed.Looks really good.
    And thanks too for organising and running the competition.
    Wonderful seeing The Wellington Bowlers included....lol.
    He said he had entered.

    I notice they picked stocks they currently hold (TRA and OCA), have held in the past (HLG and ATM) and one they are really keen on in ZEL

    Way they are talking I think they’ll be buying ZEL soon
    “Just consider that maybe the probability of you being wrong is higher than you think.”

  19. #39
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    He said he had entered.

    I notice they picked stocks they currently hold (TRA and OCA), have held in the past (HLG and ATM) and one they are really keen on in ZEL

    Way they are talking I think they’ll be buying ZEL soon
    You sitting on the fence for another year?

  20. #40
    One Fearsome Feline winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by percy View Post
    You sitting on the fence for another year?
    Entry in there somewhere

    Don’t enter as winner because too often in the past nasty horrible posters try to win arguments by saying ‘and by the way where are you placed in the competition you idiot’

    Pleased with my third last year though ...improvement on my top 10 ranking in 2017
    “Just consider that maybe the probability of you being wrong is higher than you think.”

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