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  1. #21
    l'Excuse greater fool's Avatar
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    Dec 2011

    Default When winner69 said this was the best book ever - I figured I should read it.

    The fourth turning : an American prophecy:
    What the cycles of history tell us about America's next rendezvous with destiny.

    Authors: William Strauss and Neil Howe

    Winter comes again --
    Part One : Seasons -- Seasons of time -- Seasons of life -- Cycles of history
    : Overview : seven cycles of generations and turnings -- Gray champions
    Part Two : Turnings -- First turning : American High (1946-1964) --
    Second turning: consciousness revolution (1964-1984) -- Third turning : culture wars (1984-2005?)
    - Fourth turnings in history -- Fourth turning prophecy
    Part Three : Preparations -- Preparing for the fourth turning -- Eternal return.

    Strauss and Howe will change the way you see the world - and your place in it. In The Fourth Turning,
    they apply their generational theories to the cycles of history and locate America in the middle of an
    unravelling period, on the brink of a crisis. How you prepare for this crisis - The Fourth Turning - is intimately
    connected to the mood and attitude of your particular generation. Are you one of the can-do "GI generation"
    who triumphed in the last crisis? Do you belong to the mediating "Silent Majority" who enjoyed the 1950s High?
    Do you fall into the "awakened" Boomer category of the 1970s and 1980s, or are you a Gen-Xer struggling
    to adapt to our splintering world? Whatever your stage of life, The Fourth Turning offers bold predictions about
    how all of us can prepare, individually and collectively, for America's next rendezvous with destiny.
    - Publisher notes back cover.

    ISBN 9780767900461
    "There is something wrong with a regime that requires a pyramid of corpses every few years." George Orwell.

  2. #22
    l'Excuse greater fool's Avatar
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    Dec 2011

    Default "The Fourth Turning" selected extracts...

    "The people are angry, the police are angry, and certainly the President is angry. All this months before the trial of Chauvin and his three fellow officers, which will once again raise temperatures and tempers on the streets.
    But we are all experiencing the increasing anger that grips Trump's America and not just during these most recent demonstrations. Journalists come in for special attention. Every one of us who has attended a Donald Trump rally has experienced the pure hatred that is shouted at us by his Make America Great Again supporters."

    Quote Originally Posted by blackcap View Post
    It does look like they want a civil war. Not sure why though, its the Repubs with the guns and military and food supplies so they will get obliterated.
    Now this morning we have a basketball team boycotting their game over some social issue.
    Quote Originally Posted by Paddles View Post
    It was only a couple of weeks ago the left was stating Trump won't leave IF he loses.
    Here you have Killery coming out a blatantly Biden shouldn't concede.
    These despicable people on the left are going to start a civil war....a war they will lose.

    This is page one of "The Fourth Turning"


    "One former Facebook executive, Tim Kendall, who was asked what worried him most, said: “In the shortest time horizon, I’m most worried about civil war.” Somewhat ironically, social media is awash with people saying they plan to delete their social media accounts after watching the show, with Facebook and Instagram appearing to be called out most frequently."
    “Everyone should watch The Social Dilemma documentary on Netflix and then make the necessary changes,” one Twitter user wrote. “Tonight I deleted Facebook and turned off notifications from Twitter, Instagram and LinkedIn. It’s time to take back control of our minds.”


    "The Fourth Turning" was published in 1997, and predicted that the period from 2005~2025 there would be crisis in America.


    The authors offered some scenarios for events to trigger the upheaval;


    Since then several of these predictions have manifested issues without triggering dramatic change in America;

    911 Twin Towers terrorism resulted in devastation in the Middle East. Americans agreed with the violence. (Unlike Vietnam)
    The 2007~2008 GFC. American corporates and elites saved themselves at the expense of everyone else. No worries.
    Russia has reclaimed Crimea. Nato can only whine, and America sanctions, again.
    America's fiscal debt has hit the ceiling while Washington fiddles and government shuts down, but no real backlash from voters.

    Quote Originally Posted by Donald J. Trump
    No one knows the system better than me, which is why I alone can fix it.
    So, current issues which individually, or in combination may trigger upheaval;

    Climate change?

    Protests ~ Riots?

    War in Asia?

    War in Persian Gulf?

    Disputed Election?
    "As President Donald Trump bellowed, blustered and shouted down both the moderator, Chris Wallace, and his opponent, former
    vice-president Joe Biden, and as Biden responded by calling Trump a "clown," many wondered if the chaos and tenor of the event
    said something more fundamental about the state of American democracy."
    "Taken together, it’s now clear the United States is pursuing a policy to sanction and contain China in an attempt to arrest its rise,
    leveraging its financial and – for now – technological superiority against the country.

    All of this points towards a US that has developed a fear of competing with others. Everyone is a threat, not a worthy competitor.
    Every competitor is accused of copyright infringements, of taking advantage of US technology, and of being a threat to national
    security. They are all eventually sanctioned in ways that only the US has the power to enforce. European and Japanese firms have
    experienced this as well, but China is the first real competitor to the US that is not part of its security framework and thus will not
    take these actions sitting down.Rather than compete on an equal footing, the US is resorting to sanctioning these potential
    competitors, and encouraging its allies like Britain to do the same. "

    Last edited by greater fool; 03-10-2020 at 12:50 PM. Reason: Adding links.........
    "There is something wrong with a regime that requires a pyramid of corpses every few years." George Orwell.

  3. #23
    l'Excuse greater fool's Avatar
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    Dec 2011


    Winners take all : the elite charade of changing the world
    Author: Anand Giridharada

    An insiders investigation of how the global elites efforts to "change the world" preserve the status quo and obscure
    their role in causing the problems they later seek to solve.
    The wealthy targets of growing popular scorn talk often of fixing society. They are quieter about their
    involvement in what's broken. In "Winners take All" former NY times columnist Giridharada, takes us into
    the inner sanctums of a new gilded age, where the rich and powerful fight for equality and justice any way
    they can -except ways that threaten the social order and their position atop it. Witness how the architects
    of our winner take all economy re-brand themselves as saviours of the poor; how elites lavishly reward "thought
    leaders" who redefine "change" in winner friendly ways; and how they constantly do more good, never less harm.
    - Publisher cover blurb.

    ISBN 9780241400722
    9780451493248 (paperback)
    Last edited by greater fool; 18-09-2020 at 10:22 AM.
    "There is something wrong with a regime that requires a pyramid of corpses every few years." George Orwell.

  4. #24
    l'Excuse greater fool's Avatar
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    Dec 2011

    Default Long wait for Woodward's Rage book about Trump --- read this .......

    Fear : Trump in the White House
    Author: Bob Woodward

    "With authoritative reporting honed through eight presidencies from Nixon to Obama, author Bob Woodward
    reveals in unprecedented detail the harrowing life inside President Donald Trump's White House and
    precisely how he makes decisions on major foreign and domestic policies. Woodward draws from hundreds
    of hours of interviews with firsthand sources, meeting notes, personal diaries, files and documents.
    The focus is on the explosive debates and the decision-making in the Oval Office, the Situation Room,
    Air Force One and the White House residence."

    ISBN 9781471181290 (hardback)
    "There is something wrong with a regime that requires a pyramid of corpses every few years." George Orwell.

  5. #25
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    Dec 2011


    Against All Enemies: Inside America's War on Terror.
    Author: Richard A Clarke

    Richard Clarke served seven Presidents and worked inside the White House for George H W Bush,
    Bill Clinton and George W Bush until he resigned in 2003.He knows better than anyone, the hidden
    successes and failures of the Clinton years. He knows btter than anyone, why we failed to prevent
    9/11. He knows how President Bush reacted to the attack, and what happened behind the scenes in the
    days that followed.
    Most disturbing of all are Clarke's revelations about the Bush administration's lack of interest in al
    Qaeda prior to September 11. -Publisher cover notes.

    ISBN 0-7432-6024-4

    ************************************************** **************************************************

    Surviving autocracy
    Author: Masha Gessen

    Since Trump's inauguration in 2016, a new mantra has taken hold: 'this isn't normal'. And in Trump's
    response to COVID-19, we have witnessed the extreme consequences of his presidency, and of a governmen
    at war with itself. In this searing analysis of the Trump administration, acclaimed New Yorker
    journalist and prizewinning author Masha Gessen provides an indispensible overview of the calamitous
    trajectory of the past few years, and proposes a new understanding of Trumpism and the way it has
    transformed and endangered American society. Drawing on two decades covering the resurgence of
    totalitarianism in Russia, Gessen links together seemingly disparate elements of Trump's regime
    to offer a roadmap to his approach, policies, and ultimate aims. Highlighting an inventory of ravages
    to liberal democracy, including the corrosion of the media, the justice system, and cultural norms,
    Gessen posits that America is in the throes of an autocratic takeover. As other world leaders queue
    up to take pages straight out of Trump's playbook, Gessen's penetrating analysis of his misdeeds
    explains why and how he is degrading our politics, our institutions, and our language, and what we,
    our political representatives, and our media can do to stop him - and those who seek to imitate him.
    -Publisher Notes

    ISBN 9781783786763 (hardback)
    "There is something wrong with a regime that requires a pyramid of corpses every few years." George Orwell.

  6. #26
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    Dec 2011


    Quote Originally Posted by LEMON View Post
    New to this thread out of interest I believe this is a great book to understand the direction of the world in the coming years.

    The New silk roads by Peter Frankopan

    Real Eye opener on why America is isolating itself, China is becoming an aggressor and why maybe Asia will possibly be the new west within time.

    The new silk roads : the present and future of the world
    Author: Peter Frankopan

    When The Silk Roads was published in 2015, it became an instant classic. A major reassessment of world history, it compelled us to look at the past
    from a different perspective. The New Silk Roads brings this story up to date, addressing the present and future of a world that is changing dramatically.
    Following the Silk Roads eastwards, from Europe through to China, by way of Russia and the Middle East, The New Silk Roads provides a timely
    reminder that we live in a world that is profoundly interconnected. In an age of Brexit and Trump, the themes of isolation and fragmentation permeating
    the Western world stand in sharp contrast to events along the Silk Roads since 2015, where ties have been strengthened and mutual cooperation
    established. With brilliant insight, Peter Frankopan takes a fresh look at the network of relationships being formed along the length and breadth of the
    Silk Roads today, assessing the global reverberations of these continual shifts in the centre of power - all too often absent from headlines in the West.
    This important - and ultimately hopeful - book asks us to re-read who we are and where we are in the world, illuminating the themes on which all our
    lives and livelihood depend. -Publisher Notes.

    ISBN 9781526607423 (hardback)
    "There is something wrong with a regime that requires a pyramid of corpses every few years." George Orwell.

  7. #27
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    Dec 2011


    At the Centre of the Storm: my years at the CIA.
    Author: George Tenet
    . (with Bill Harlow).

    Beginning with his appointment as Director of Central Intelligence in 1997, Tenet unfolds the momentous events
    that led to 9/11 as he saw and experienced them: his declaration of war on al-Qa'ida; the CIA's covert operations
    inside Afghanistan; the worldwide operational plan to fight terrorists; his warnings of imminent attacks against
    American interests to White House officials in the summer of 2001; and the plan for a co-ordinated and devastating
    counterattack against al-Qa'ida laid down just six days after the attacks. - Cover Notes.

    ISBN 978-0-06-114778-4
    "There is something wrong with a regime that requires a pyramid of corpses every few years." George Orwell.

  8. #28
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    Dec 2011


    Unquiet time : Aotearoa New Zealand in a fast changing world
    Author: Colin James

    In Unquiet Time, Colin James describes a world in disorder as it rebalances politically, economically and demographically; a technology that is
    changing the way we live and ‘work’ and globalising us in new ways; looming environmental limits, climate change and biosecurity and pandemic
    threats; a need for new thinking; and likely major shocks. This is habitat tiny Aotearoa/New Zealand must navigate as it goes into the 2020s.
    Much has changed since the last big social and policy upheaval in the 1980s, in the way this country conducts itself internationally, in its
    bicultural makeup turning multicultural, in its management and mismanagement of a unique but threatened natural environment, in its economy
    and in its now unequal society. There are many challenges but also many opportunities in this highly attractive place. Who will we be?
    Unquiet Time poses the questions and suggests some answers -- Cover Notes.

    9780994136015 (paperback)

    ************************************************** ************************************************** ************************************

    A nation unmade by war
    Author: Tom Engelhardt

    From the election from hell to the future according to Donald Trump, A Nation Unmade by War surveys American exceptionalism in the age of absurdity
    As Tom Engelhardt argues, despite having a more massive, technologically advanced, and better-funded military than any other power on the planet,
    in the last decade and a half of constant war across the Greater Middle East and parts of Africa, the United States has won nothing. Its unending
    wars, in fact, have only contributed to a world growing more chaotic by the second. From its founding, the United States has been a nation made
    by wars. Through incisive analysis and characteristic wit, Engelhardt ponders whether in this century, its citizenry and government will be unmade
    by them."--Cover Notes.

    9781608469017 (paperback)
    "There is something wrong with a regime that requires a pyramid of corpses every few years." George Orwell.

  9. #29
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    Dec 2011


    The perfect weapon : war, sabotage, and fear in the cyber age
    Author: David E. Sanger

    Behind the Russian cyberattacks that may have thrown the 2016 US election; behind the Sony hack; behind mysterious power outages around the
    world and the disappearance of thousands of personnel records from poorly guarded government servers are the traces of a new and powerful
    weapon, one that has the potential to remake global conflict like nothing since the invention of the atomic bomb. The Perfect Weapon is the
    riveting story of how, in less than a decade, cyberwarfare displaced terrorism and nuclear attacks as the greatest threat to American national
    security. Cheap to acquire, difficult to defend against, and designed to shield their user's identities so as to complicate retaliation,
    these weapons are capable of an unprecedented range of offensive tactics; they can take us just short of war, allowing for everything from
    disruption to theft to the cause of widespread damage of essential infrastructure systems. And the vulnerability of those systems has created
    a related but equally urgent conflict: American companies like Apple and Cisco must claim allegiance to no government in the name of selling
    secure products around the globe yet the US intelligence agencies want the help of such companies in defending against future cyberattacks.
    Reported and written with unprecedented access by New York Times chief Washington correspondent and bestselling author David Sanger.
    The Perfect Weapon takes readers inside war rooms and boardrooms, into the secret cyberdens of American and Chinese military, to give the
    deep-background story of the increasingly pitched battle between nations, their governments, their cyberwarriors, and their corporations.
    -Publisher Notes.

    ISBN 9781925713626 (paperback)

    ************************************************** ************************************************** ***************************

    In the shadows of the American century : the rise and decline of US global power
    Author: Alfred W. McCoy

    As the dust settled after World War II, America controlled half the world's manufacturing capacity. By the end of the Cold War it possessed
    nearly half the planet's military forces, spread across eight hundred bases, and much of its wealth. Beyond what was on display, the United
    States had also built a formidable diplomatic and clandestine apparatus. Indeed, more than anything else, it is this secretive tier of global
    surveillance and covert operations that distinguishes the US from the great empires of the past. But even as it has secured an unrivalled
    power network through satellites, drones and cyberwarfare, recent years have seen America's share of the global economy diminish, its
    diplomatic alliances falter and its claim to moral leadership abandoned. Meanwhile, China is emerging as the world's economic powerhouse,
    poised to integrate the ‘world island' stretching from Shanghai to Madrid and lay claim to the South China Sea. The nineteenth century
    belonged to Britain and the twentieth to America. Will China take the twenty-first?"-- Publisher description.

    ISBN 9781786074157 (hardback)
    "There is something wrong with a regime that requires a pyramid of corpses every few years." George Orwell.

  10. #30
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    Dec 2011


    Rethinking capitalism : economics and policy for sustainable and inclusive growth
    Edited by Michael Jacobs and Mariana Mazzucato

    In Rethinking Capitalism, leading economists challenge orthodox ideas about economic theory and policy and propose novel approaches
    to achieving a more just and sustainable economy. Details the reality of contemporary capitalism and the failure of current economic
    policies to encourage long-term growth, innovation and investment and an equitable distribution of income and wealth. Addresses topics
    such as fiscal and monetary policy, inequality, climate change, the financial system, innovation, government intervention, austerity,
    and more Combines theory and policy by offering alternative economic frameworks and practical policy reforms Brings together new ideas
    from world-leading economists, including editor Mariana Mazzucato, Joseph Stiglitz, Andrew Haldane, William Lazonick, Carlota Perez
    and Stephany Griffith-Jones. -Publisher Notes.

    ISBN 9781119120957 (pbk)

    ************************************************** ************************************************** ****************************

    The rise and fall of Australia : how a great nation lost its way
    Author: Nick Bryant

    Never before has Australia enjoyed such economic, commercial, diplomatic and cultural clout. Its recession-proof economy is the envy of
    the world. It's the planet's great lifestyle superpower. Its artistic exports win unprecedented acclaim. But never before has its
    politics been so brutal, narrow and facile, as well as being such a global laughing stock. A positive national story is at odds with a
    deeply unattractive Canberra story. The country should be enjoying The Australian Moment, so vividly described by the best-selling
    author George Megalogenis. But that description may turn out to be inadvertently precise. It could end up being just that: a fleeting
    moment. At present the country seems to be in speedy regression, with the nation's leaders, on both sides, mired in relatively small
    problems, such as the arrival of boat people, rather than mapping out a larger and more inspiring national future. Here, Nick Bryant
    offers an outsider's take on the great paradox of modern-day Australian life: of how the country has got richer at a time when its
    politics have become more impoverished. In this book, dealing with politics, racism, sexism, the country's place in the region and
    the world, culture and sport, the author argues that Australia needs to discard the out-dated language used to describe itself, to
    push back against Lucky Country thinking, to celebrate how the cultural creep has replaced the cultural cringe and to stop negatively
    typecasting itself. Rejecting most of the national stereotypes, Nick Bryant sets out to describe the new Australia rather than the
    mythic country so often misunderstood not just by foreigners but Australians themselves. -Publisher Notes.

    ISBN 9780857983787 (pbk)
    "There is something wrong with a regime that requires a pyramid of corpses every few years." George Orwell.


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