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22-10-2020, 02:56 AM
#1061
Big new study has death rates at much lower than previously thought.
The infection fatality rate is estimated to be 0.23% and in people under the age of 70 it is only 0.05%.
For those wanting to know more
https://youtu.be/ofGMSH5tjYk
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22-10-2020, 06:36 AM
#1062
 Originally Posted by ratkin
Big new study has death rates at much lower than previously thought.
The infection fatality rate is estimated to be 0.23% and in people under the age of 70 it is only 0.05%.
For those wanting to know more
https://youtu.be/ofGMSH5tjYk
Many scientists have been saying that for quite a while now.
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22-10-2020, 07:29 AM
#1063
 Originally Posted by ratkin
Big new study has death rates at much lower than previously thought.
The infection fatality rate is estimated to be 0.23% and in people under the age of 70 it is only 0.05%.
For those wanting to know more
https://youtu.be/ofGMSH5tjYk
Dr John Campbell is an ex-nurse. He is a Ph.D not a medical doctor. I did not look at all the video. Have you got a link to the "Big new study"?
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22-10-2020, 07:43 AM
#1064
 Originally Posted by Bjauck
Dr John Campbell is an ex-nurse. He is a Ph.D not a medical doctor. I did not look at all the video. Have you got a link to the "Big new study"?
Why not critiquing the contents of what he's presented (will review later today), his Ph.D was on the 'vivo pathogenesis of veterinary disease focusing to vivo immunology', which does transfer to human immunology. He doesn't need to be an MD to be qualified to talk on these topics.
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22-10-2020, 07:45 AM
#1065
 Originally Posted by Zaphod
Why not critiquing the contents of what he's presented (will review later today), his Ph.D was on the 'vivo pathogenesis of veterinary disease focusing to vivo immunology', which does transfer to human immunology. He doesn't need to be an MD to be qualified to talk on these topics.
When you have no good argument its easy to attack the messenger because you know you cannot attack the message. Oldest trick in the book.
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22-10-2020, 07:46 AM
#1066
 Originally Posted by ratkin
Big new study has death rates at much lower than previously thought.
The infection fatality rate is estimated to be 0.23% and in people under the age of 70 it is only 0.05%.
For those wanting to know more
https://youtu.be/ofGMSH5tjYk
Thanks for the interesting study.
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22-10-2020, 10:34 AM
#1067
 Originally Posted by blackcap
When you have no good argument its easy to attack the messenger because you know you cannot attack the message. Oldest trick in the book.
I have absolutely no qualifications to talk on the virus. So my opinions are derived from others' research and advice. So it means I need to find out the qualifications and authority of those who post videos on YouTube. Do you accept everything posted on YouTube, without any research on the background of the person speaking?
Here's the link to the study:
https://www.who.int/bulletin/online_....20.265892.pdf
(WHO -pdf file)
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22-10-2020, 02:35 PM
#1068
"Director general of health Dr Ashley Bloomfield said he liked to think of us being in "level 1 plus" with a stronger emphasis on using masks and the Covid Tracer app which would avoid the need for level 2."
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politi...B4JJPEZJUNATE/
We're back to mixed messaging again. Ashley Bloomfield says he "likes to think we're at level 1+" and that an emphasis should be placed on mask use, but the previous minister of health stated that he wasn't interested in point-something levels.
These sorts of off-hand comments really undermine their own authority. Either lift us to level 2 permanently, or mandate masks at level 1, or leave the situation as it is.
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22-10-2020, 04:38 PM
#1069
 Originally Posted by ratkin
Big new study has death rates at much lower than previously thought.
The infection fatality rate is estimated to be 0.23% and in people under the age of 70 it is only 0.05%.
For those wanting to know more
https://youtu.be/ofGMSH5tjYk
This may or may not be the case given the varying opinions and material being out out but in reality for NZ where we would struggle is the impact on a fragile health system that can’t cater for numerous ICU patients beyond the usual regime of what we face.
I think we have dodged a bullet and politics aside grateful to be in the position we are. This has some time to play out globally yet but thankfully we are where we are.
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22-10-2020, 08:40 PM
#1070
 Originally Posted by Bjauck
I have absolutely no qualifications to talk on the virus. So my opinions are derived from others' research and advice. So it means I need to find out the qualifications and authority of those who post videos on YouTube. Do you accept everything posted on YouTube, without any research on the background of the person speaking?
Here's the link to the study:
https://www.who.int/bulletin/online_....20.265892.pdf
(WHO -pdf file)
But you still comment on other topics though...
We should leave the expert advice to Doctor Ratkin...he is the leading authority in these matters...
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23-10-2020, 03:08 PM
#1071
Death rates nearly everywhere that has the virus have plummeted. No idea why, but it does not seem to be the same beast it was back in Feb March
It has either become weaker or there is better treatment now.
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23-10-2020, 03:13 PM
#1072
One thing for sure, now Labour have won the election they will not be so worried about protecting everyone from the virus.
So lockdowns much less likely
Last edited by ratkin; 23-10-2020 at 03:16 PM.
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23-10-2020, 03:53 PM
#1073
 Originally Posted by ratkin
Death rates nearly everywhere that has the virus have plummeted. No idea why, but it does not seem to be the same beast it was back in Feb March
It has either become weaker or there is better treatment now.
Perhaps the level and volume of testing has increased since then too - the number of infections being comparatively understated back then?
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23-10-2020, 04:05 PM
#1074
 Originally Posted by ratkin
One thing for sure, now Labour have won the election they will not be so worried about protecting everyone from the virus.
So lockdowns much less likely
I think they will follow best advice. Are right wingers urging for the continued use of lockdowns? Or is it taken for granted that right wingers don’t prioritise protecting the populace from the virus?
Who knows but at least they did not follow the Conservative government in the UK in going for herd immunity because it had almost five years to go in its term, and they may have considered the electorate would forget about any shambles that resulted? As it is now infections are soaring in the UK (and the death rate climbing)...
Last edited by Bjauck; 23-10-2020 at 04:10 PM.
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23-10-2020, 09:49 PM
#1075
 Originally Posted by ratkin
One thing for sure, now Labour have won the election they will not be so worried about protecting everyone from the virus.
So lockdowns much less likely
That’s a very cynical comment about the motivation of Labour which is not correct in my opinion and probably not correct for the red tsunami of people who voted for Labour mostly because of their handling of Covid.
There would be less public support for lockdowns, as we have become too complacent.
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29-10-2020, 09:52 AM
#1076
 Originally Posted by ratkin
One thing for sure, now Labour have won the election they will not be so worried about protecting everyone from the virus.
So lockdowns much less likely
You make it sound like a fact - it isn't sure at all!
Lockdowns are less likely because they can work out quickly where it comes from and get it under control.
So a success.
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09-11-2020, 03:32 PM
#1077
Zoonosis is a real worry
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-54842643
"Danish scientists are particularly concerned about one mink-related strain of the virus, found in 12 people, which they say is less sensitive to protective antibodies, raising concerns about vaccine development"
Meanwhile in US there is no mink culling?
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...om-coronavirus
& in Chinese Mink farms? Who knows?
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09-11-2020, 09:33 PM
#1078
 Originally Posted by kiora
Another zoonosis M bovis - Covid-19 is not the only infectious disease New Zealand wants to eliminate
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/health/coronavirus/300108190/coronavirus-covid19-is-not-the-only-infectious-disease-new-zealand-wants-to-eliminate
Genome sequencing – the mapping of the genetic sequences of an organism – has helped track the spread of Covid-19 cases in Auckland, but it also plays an important role in the control of other infectious diseases in New Zealand.
One example is Mycoplasma bovis, a global cattle disease New Zealand also hopes to eliminate.
It was first detected on a South Island dairy farm in July 2017 and has subsequently been found on 250 properties across the country. It remains active on one farm.
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09-11-2020, 11:32 PM
#1079
 Originally Posted by moka
Another zoonosis M bovis - Covid-19 is not the only infectious disease New Zealand wants to eliminate
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/health/coronavirus/300108190/coronavirus-covid19-is-not-the-only-infectious-disease-new-zealand-wants-to-eliminate
Genome sequencing – the mapping of the genetic sequences of an organism – has helped track the spread of Covid-19 cases in Auckland, but it also plays an important role in the control of other infectious diseases in New Zealand.
One example is Mycoplasma bovis, a global cattle disease New Zealand also hopes to eliminate.
It was first detected on a South Island dairy farm in July 2017 and has subsequently been found on 250 properties across the country. It remains active on one farm.
Zoonosis???
https://www.mpi.govt.nz/protection-a...o-food-safety/
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10-11-2020, 06:29 AM
#1080
Pfizer vaccine works.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...a-breakthrough
Based on a large double-blinded trial of a very safe vaccine(based on mRNA) .
In this trial ultra cold vaccine storage used and so far 94 participants have caught coronavirus infection with the vaccine showing 90% effectiveness at prevention(after 2 vaccinations)
This really looks like a game changer for next year.
The study is ongoing and many questions remain to be answered-but its happening and there is a very high chance it will be in mass use in a few months
Last edited by fish; 10-11-2020 at 06:35 AM.
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