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28-03-2020, 02:36 PM
#111
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28-03-2020, 02:41 PM
#112
It's potentially just as bad as the flu...
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.105...ured_secondary
On the basis of a case definition requiring a diagnosis of pneumonia, the currently reported case fatality rate is approximately 2%.4 In another article in the Journal, Guan et al.5 report mortality of 1.4% among 1099 patients with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19; these patients had a wide spectrum of disease severity. If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.2
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28-03-2020, 03:03 PM
#113
The reality is that we do not know the case fatality of influenza or covid-19.The good news as you point out is that they have reported on a mortality rate of confirmed cases at 1.4% whilst we do not know the number of asymptomatic plus mildly symptomatic cases.I fully agree this is likely to be many times the reported rate and it may turn out more akin to many influenza strains.
Bad news is more could die as we have no immunity or vaccines.
Once we have serology testing it should easily be possible to calculate the mortality rate.The Netherlands has started serology testing so in a few months we should have a better idea
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28-03-2020, 03:16 PM
#114
Originally Posted by fish
The reality is that we do not know the case fatality of influenza or covid-19.The good news as you point out is that they have reported on a mortality rate of confirmed cases at 1.4% whilst we do not know the number of asymptomatic plus mildly symptomatic cases.I fully agree this is likely to be many times the reported rate and it may turn out more akin to many influenza strains.
Bad news is more could die as we have no immunity or vaccines.
Once we have serology testing it should easily be possible to calculate the mortality rate.The Netherlands has started serology testing so in a few months we should have a better idea
Thanks fish, that makes sense. Hindsight is of course a wonderful thing.
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28-03-2020, 03:18 PM
#115
Perhaps this pandemic will further spur the move towards distributed manufacturing and an information/internet economy.
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28-03-2020, 08:20 PM
#116
Should be a lot more rentals available with the AirBnB apocalypse. This from the UK....
https://www.wired.co.uk/article/airbnb-coronavirus-london
Last edited by IAK; 28-03-2020 at 08:21 PM.
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28-03-2020, 09:34 PM
#117
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29-03-2020, 06:11 PM
#118
Originally Posted by fungus pudding
Thanks Fungus, posted via mobile phone.
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30-03-2020, 12:40 AM
#119
There's a great post by Jacinda Adern showing a factory in Wanganui now churning out 80,000 surgical masks per day, 7 days a week.
Once we have a few million for NZ, should be able to start exporting them.
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30-03-2020, 02:42 PM
#120
Originally Posted by Crypto Crude
Still got to think just how lucky we are to be in New Zealand...
With the lockdown we are looking at a softer landing on our Healthcare resources ... In New Zealand we have 550 Ventalitors... hopefully more are arriving....As of yesterday Christchurch Hospital still has no corona patients!... All going to plan in 10 days to 2 weeks we will see peak cases on the daily... last 3 days have seen declines in daily numbers of infections...
.^sc
New Device May Allow Up To 4 People To Share 1 Ventilator. Can be produded with a 3-D printer.
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/vespe...b6cb08a929e7eb
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