Geo Political Risk

[greater fool]

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/mili...olve-modernise

"the risks of naval confrontation between the two countries are increasing, because the ‘freedom of navigation’ appeal by the US is in essence to maintain its own hegemonic status and, in this sense, Washington is destined to clamp down on every Chinese move that will help the Chinese naval capability build up,”


https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/polit...it-record-high

https://www.stripes.com/news/pacific...a-sea-1.627890

https://thediplomat.com/2020/01/sout...ion-operation/

https://thediplomat.com/2020/07/us-c...s-in-spratlys/

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-a...-idUSKCN24H0D5

South China Sea - fear of the loss of hegemony.
Freedom of Navigation excercises were used in the Persian Gulf.
The USS Stark and USS Vincennes were able to "expose" National Security challenges.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Vincennes_(CG-49)
"dispatched to the Persian Gulf in 1988 in support of Operation Earnest Will during the Iran–Iraq War. Operating in this capacity the
cruiser shot down Iran Air Flight 655 over the Persian Gulf, killing 290 passengers and sparking an international incident between
Iran and the United States."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Stark_incident
"The USS Stark incident occurred during the Iran–Iraq War on 17 May 1987, when an Iraqi jet aircraft fired two Exocet missiles at
the American frigate USS Stark. A total of thirty-seven United States Navy personnel were killed or later died as a result of the attack,
and twenty-one were injured........................................... ..
Washington used the incident to pressure Iran, which it later blamed for the whole situation. President Reagan said "We've never
considered them [Iraq's military] hostile at all", and "the villain in the piece is Iran".[7][8][9]"

Freedom of Navigation exercises in South China Sea now risk a 'Gulf of Tonkin' incident.
https://www.britannica.com/event/Gul...onkin-incident

https://www.smh.com.au/national/echo...13-p55v4s.html

At the end of WWII America was at it's peak in warfaring. They tried to move on a weak China, weakened by its
civil war, by attacking through Korea. America got a bloody nose for their efforts.

https://koreanwarlegacy.org/chapters...he-yalu-river/

The USA play book is rather thin. Another replay of the Persian Gulf 'Operation Earnest Will"
coming up?

https://asiatimes.com/2020/09/pompeo...-persian-gulf/