Geo Political Risk

[Panda-NZ-]

The reason I say Past, is simply because in geopolitics one has to take off the rose tinted glasses and deal with the world as it is, not as we would dream for it to be.

Which is why I would have voted for Biden, (preferably a younger version) rather than Bernie Sanders had I been American.

You can also criticise failed interventions like Iraq and Vietnam while still believing America is a force for international stability. Simply because of "Iraq" it doesn't mean you should abandon everything and give up like a child, instead review your decision making and learn from where it failed. Then do better next time.

[LaserEyeKiwi]

You can also criticise failed interventions like Iraq and Vietnam while still believing America is a force for international stability. Simply because of "Iraq" it doesn't mean you should abandon everything and give up like a child, instead review your decision making and learn from where it failed. Then do better next time.

Agree.

Americas might lends stability through its Defence pacts. As long as potential adversaries believe America will honor its defence pacts, then there is no way another country will directly attack another that has a defence pacts with USA (including NZ). For instance Russia would never touch a NATO country directly. Also the only reason Taiwan hasn’t been invaded.

All bets are off under Trump though. China probably considering it betting that Trump wouldn’t commit US military to defend Taiwan. In fact he’ll probably ask Xi for a kickback. Half joking.

[moka]

Donald Trump shares a video calling of Jeffrey Sachs calling Netanyahu “a bitch.”
https://www.instagram.com/middleeasteye/p/DEkzwDOTLWJ/
University economics professor Jeffrey Sachs sharply criticised Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in a video shared by the incoming US President Donald Trump on Truth Social.⁠

[moka]

Jeffrey Sachs video that Trump posted available in the link below.
https://www.ynetnews.com/article/hjbipri8kg

https://www.timesofisrael.com/trump-...to-fight-iran/
Trump shares without comment a video on Truth Social of Columbia’s Jeffrey Sachs calling PM a ‘deep, dark son of a bitch’ and saying he’s gotten US into ‘endless wars’
The video Trump shared was a snippet of a lecture by Columbia University economics professor Jeffrey Sachs, where he speaks about the pretext for the US invasion of Iraq and how the US government at the time was trying to find a way to sell the “phony war” to the American people.
“Where did that war come from?” Sachs asks rhetorically, as part of an attack on the Obama administration’s actions.
“And the guy [Netanyahu] is nothing if not obsessive, and he is still trying to get us to fight Iran to this day,” he claimed. “He is a deep, dark son of a bitch, sorry to tell you.”
“You know what? It’s quite surprising. That war came from Netanyahu, actually,” he claimed.
“Netanyahu had, from 1995 on, the theory that the only way we are going to get rid of Hamas and Hezbollah is by toppling the governments that support them. That’s Iraq, Syria and Iran,” he added.

[troyvdh]

Moka ..some folk have questioned your existence as being not real..as being purely AI.

Perhaps we could meet for a coffee..over a week...

You sir have a lot to say eh

[Crypto Crude]

Moka ..some folk have questioned your existence as being not real..as being purely AI.

Perhaps we could meet for a coffee..over a week...

You sir have a lot to say eh

Interesting observation... Even though duplicate posting is sus... That ai is programmed to follow woke idealology... Which a decent amount of mokas posting goes against that...

[moka]

Moka ..some folk have questioned your existence as being not real..as being purely AI.

Perhaps we could meet for a coffee..over a week...

You sir have a lot to say eh

I predate AI, as I have been a member since 2013, so it is highly unlikely that I am purely AI. You can check my posts on Brainchip on ASX since 2016. I have posted on other threads in the past too, but they are probably hard to find. However you could say I am AI enhanced since I started using Perplexity AI about 18 months ago. I am retired so I have plenty of time to post on Sharetrader, and I find geopolitics interesting.

I asked Perplexity AI to enhance the above statement and here is its version, which I think is better, although a bit over the top.

Here's an enhanced version of your statement: I have a long-standing presence in the investment community, predating the current AI boom. As a member since 2013, my history of engagement demonstrates I'm not a purely AI-generated entity. My track record includes verifiable posts about Brainchip on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) dating back to 2016.

While I've contributed to various threads over the years, some of these older discussions may be challenging to locate now. In recent times, I've embraced AI as a tool to augment my analysis and communication. Specifically, I began using Perplexity AI approximately 18 months ago, which has enhanced my ability to process and share information. This integration of AI tools into my research process reflects my adaptability and commitment to leveraging new technologies.

As a retiree, I have the luxury of time to dedicate to in-depth market analysis and discussions on platforms like Sharetrader. My interests extend beyond pure financial matters, with a particular fascination for geopolitics and its impact on global markets. This combination of experience, available time, and diverse interests allows me to offer unique perspectives in investment discussions.
Thanks to Perplexity AI

[Biscuit]

I predate AI, as I have been a member since 2013, so it is highly unlikely that I am purely AI. You can check my posts on Brainchip on ASX since 2016. I have posted on other threads in the past too, but they are probably hard to find. However you could say I am AI enhanced since I started using Perplexity AI about 18 months ago. I am retired so I have plenty of time to post on Sharetrader, and I find geopolitics interesting.

I asked Perplexity AI to enhance the above statement and here is its version, which I think is better, although a bit over the top.

Here's an enhanced version of your statement: I have a long-standing presence in the investment community, predating the current AI boom. As a member since 2013, my history of engagement demonstrates I'm not a purely AI-generated entity. My track record includes verifiable posts about Brainchip on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) dating back to 2016.

While I've contributed to various threads over the years, some of these older discussions may be challenging to locate now. In recent times, I've embraced AI as a tool to augment my analysis and communication. Specifically, I began using Perplexity AI approximately 18 months ago, which has enhanced my ability to process and share information. This integration of AI tools into my research process reflects my adaptability and commitment to leveraging new technologies.

As a retiree, I have the luxury of time to dedicate to in-depth market analysis and discussions on platforms like Sharetrader. My interests extend beyond pure financial matters, with a particular fascination for geopolitics and its impact on global markets. This combination of experience, available time, and diverse interests allows me to offer unique perspectives in investment discussions.
Thanks to Perplexity AI

I prefer the non-AI version. Says exactly the same thing but clearer and with far fewer words.

[GTM 3442]

An American view of America -

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/unite...ichael-beckley

[moka]

An American view of America -

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/unite...ichael-beckley

Thanks for posting GTM. I asked Perplexity AI to summarise it.

Michael Beckley's article "The Strange Triumph of a Broken America" explores the paradoxical nature of American power, highlighting how the United States remains a global superpower despite significant internal challenges.

Key Insights
Domestic Dysfunction vs. Global Dominance
The United States is simultaneously experiencing profound internal divisions and maintaining its position as the world's most powerful nation. Some scholars compare the current US situation to Weimar Germany or the late Soviet Union, yet Beckley argues that when compared to global competitors, America is still doing remarkably well.

Structural Advantages
Beckley identifies several key structural advantages that sustain American power:

• Economic Strength: The US is an "economic citadel" with vast resources and protected borders
• Demographics: A growing workforce, unlike shrinking populations in rival countries
• Innovation: A decentralized system that empowers a dynamic private sector
• Workforce Quality: A more educated workforce compared to China, Japan, Russia, and the UK

Challenges and Limitations
The article also acknowledges significant challenges, including:

• A deep urban-rural divide
• Political gridlock
• Potential underinvestment in military and diplomatic capabilities
• High levels of wealth inequality

Comparative Power
Beckley emphasizes that the United States has substantial advantages over potential rivals like China. In his book "Unrivaled," he argues that China lags far behind the US in critical measures of national power and will likely continue to do so.
The core message is both reassuring and sobering: America's power emerges from its disorder, and while deeply flawed, the country remains uniquely positioned to maintain its global leadership.