There is a significant risk to the economy, apart from COVID which could occur in October or November. China may take a calculated risk and finally resolve its long standing claim on Taiwan and annex it . Should this occur, they may believe that, with the current inept leadership of Donald Trump that no meaningful response from the USA would be forthcoming. If this occurs trade with China, would come to a standstill. New Zealand exports would be severely impacted, the NZ dollar would plummet. The risk of this happening is, I believe, much higher than we may think