Geo Political Risk

[Panda-NZ-]

Apologising to South korea and the phillipines for ww2 crimes could help in the anti-china coalition.

[Animeart]

i'd not expect too much from the new PM if i were you...from the same privileged background like all his predecessors...and if he continues to visit the Yasukuni Shrine then forget about apologising for war time crimes. watched a secretly film video recently on YT on Yasukuni shrine, shocking that a large number of Japanese still believe the war was justified and inevitable.

[greater fool]

Japan's new PM is a breath of fresh air and rather modern for japan.

Calls for a more humane economy, good diplomacy along with keeping nuclear energy in place. I hope he lasts longer than the others.

https://asiatimes.com/2021/10/what-e...rn-from-seoul/

Kishida’s early plan to hike capital gains taxes is now off the table. Japan’s export giants are pushing back on change,
chaebol-style. So are policy changes to increase competitiveness and give corporate chieftains confidence to hike wages
and take new risks. The priority, already, has shifted to increased stimulus to boost growth, not supply-side upgrades.

Part of Kishida’s problem is he’s not his own man. He was chosen by the LDP for his lack of activism – the “safe” choice.
Former Prime Ministers Shinzo Abe and Taro Aso are calling the shots.

“Kishida’s faction is the fifth largest; the head of the fourth hates him,” says analyst Nicholas Smith at CLSA Japan.
“Kishida is wholly beholden to Abe and Aso, the heads of the top two by-far-largest factions, who put him in the job.
If they don’t want him to hike capital gains tax, and they don’t, he wouldn’t survive defying them.”

[GTM 3442]

Just for a change of scenery. . . .

https://thediplomat.com/2021/10/why-...ks-in-nigeria/


https://thediplomat.com/2020/08/how-china-lost-nigeria/

[Habits]

https://navellier.com/wp-content/upl...er-15-2021.m4a

Expecting stunning US earnings results next week, discusses the surprise big retail sales numbers

[Balance]

https://www.reuters.com/world/china-...ts-2021-10-17/

Good news.

Means the possibility of war breaking up between US & China abating.

[BlackPeter]

https://www.reuters.com/world/china-...ts-2021-10-17/

Good news.

Means the possibility of war breaking up between US & China abating.

Not quite sure I can follow your logic ... unless you are just trying to be facetious?

[Balance]

Not quite sure I can follow your logic ... unless you are just trying to be facetious?

Will cause US to pause its war mongering bully boy tactics knowing that its anti-missile defence system can be penetrated.

[BlackPeter]

Will cause US to pause its war mongering bully boy tactics knowing that its anti-missile defence system can be penetrated.

To be honest - not quite sure whom I would prefer to have at the moment the finger closer to the trigger - US or China? While the US clearly frequently misbehaved after WWII and brought war, destruction, dictatorship and death to many countries ... Xi and his China seem currently quite keen to grow into the role Hitler and Germany did play prior to and during WWII.

Internal detention and "reeducation" camps ... Hitler had his Jews and Xi has his Uygurs.
Brutal suppression of free speech and no free press in both countries
Both used to love Sable rattling (and applying them, too) and clear and open threats to attack neighboring countries in order to bring them "home" fit nicely into the picture.

China started (many decades ago) with occupying the independent Tibet with military force, killing millions and sending more into reeducation camps. China took recently Hongkong with force breaking international commitments and it is now openly threatening to attack Taiwan with military force.

Sure - all these areas used to be at some time or another in history part of some Chinese empire or kingdom, but then - both Czechia as well as parts of Poland used to be at some stage parts of some German country either before Hitler "took them back". German settlers used to be as well in parts of the Soviet union and most other East European countries Hitler used to attack.

Don't forget - the Maoris came from Taiwan - i.e. following the Chinese logic, NZ clearly must be Taiwanese. Given that Taiwan belongs to China this would mean - again following Chinese logic - that China could claim the "right" to occupy NZ next in order to bring us back into the land of the middle. Hey - the people whose country they say they have a right to occupy - have been here first!

Obviously - they might first take the Americas ... at the end of the day it was Chinese settlers who moved some 15,000 years ago across the the Bering street and invaded both North and later South America.

More and more sophisticated weapons in this scenario won't do anybody any good.

[Animeart]

I suspect China will not make a move to change the staus quo in the South China sea this year. Firstly, with the Olympic coming up in Feb 22 it would not risk Western countries boycotting the game. Secondly, as widely reported, China's own industry is heavily dependent on TSMC to to supply high end chips so it'd be silly to shoot itself in the foot by causing further disruption to the supply chain.