A good perspective on which key seats will determine who becomes the government come October 2023.

The Maori & Pacifica votes will continue to go to Labour whether they vote Green, Maori Party or Labour - that’s a given.

The professional, farming and business votes will continue to go to National, whether they vote ACT or National.

What will determine the outcome of this election will be the white middle class female votes. There’s no Ardern for them to embrace and vote for this time but there’s plenty of basic issues for them to vote against Labour :

Education crisis
Healthcare crisis
Law & order breakdown
Racial divisions
Cost of Living crisis
Plenty more

So will they decide enough is enough or have they given up and are happy to embrace the Aussie welcome hug for their & their children’s future?

It’s that simple imo.

https://www.stuff.co.nz/opinion/1323...ch-these-seats