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Both left and right votes will be split (lab v green, nat v act).. best chance ever for third party candidates to win without needing to get to the 5% threshold.
Last edited by Panda-NZ-; 19-06-2023 at 03:54 AM.
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Julie Anne Genter could possibly take Rongotai for the Greens. Rongotai has been forever been a Labour stronghold. So much so Nate don’t even ‘compete’
Whatever happens the people of Rongotai will have a useless MP …one even more useless than incumbent Paul Eagle
Probably sums up the current state of our parliament
Last edited by winner69; 19-06-2023 at 08:28 AM.
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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Act deputy leader - Brooke van Velden vying for Tamaki (including taking over the old Police Station in St Heliers as electorate HQ- should Simon O'Connor be worried?? Could this be another Epsom??
Last edited by Jay; 19-06-2023 at 11:56 AM.
Reason: pressed "go" too soon
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 Originally Posted by Jay
Act deputy leader - Brooke van Velden vying for Tamaki (including taking over the old Police Station in St Heliers as electorate HQ- should Simon O'Connor be worried?? Could this be another Epsom??
There's certainly momentum with her campaign. High visibility and she articulates ACT's common sense policies as well as the one New Zealand vision very well.
WE could be in for an election day upset in Tamaki - and I havew to say, good riddance to Simon O'Connor who is well past his used by date as an effective MP.
https://thespinoff.co.nz/politics/29...tc4u3ymV4ioI5M
But is Act dog whistling on race, I press? No, she says. “What I’m hearing on the ground and what you might be picking up is people feel frustrated. People don’t feel they have the right to express their opinions and they are shut down. What we are also hearing is a frustration from people that government policy makes them feel like they no longer have a place in society,” van Velden says.
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2.00 pm today and all will be revealed :
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politi...AHIGBUJUWCX5Q/
The 10 closest electorates in Election 2023
Te Atatū NICHOLAS, Angee (NAT) TWYFORD, Phil (LAB) 30
Nelson CAMERON, Blair (NAT) BOYACK, Rachel Elizabeth (LAB) 54
Banks Peninsula WEENINK, Vanessa (NAT) McLELLAN, Tracey (LAB) 83
Mt Albert WHITE, Helen (LAB) LEE, Melissa (NAT) 106
New Lynn GARCIA, Paulo (NAT) RUSSELL, Deborah (LAB) 483
Te Tai Tokerau DAVIS, Kelvin (LAB) KAPA-KINGI, Mariameno (TPMAO) 487
Tāmaki Makaurau HENARE, Peeni (LAB) KEMP, Takutai Tarsh (TPMAO) 495
Rongotai GENTER, Julie Anne (GP) FITZSIMONS, Fleur (LAB) 792
West Coast-Tasman PUGH, Maureen (NAT) O'CONNOR, Damien (LAB) 915
Hutt South BISHOP, Chris (NAT) ANDERSEN, Ginny (LAB) 1,094
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Originally Posted by Balance
2.00 pm today and all will be revealed :
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politi...AHIGBUJUWCX5Q/
The 10 closest electorates in Election 2023
Te Atatū NICHOLAS, Angee (NAT) TWYFORD, Phil (LAB) 30
Nelson CAMERON, Blair (NAT) BOYACK, Rachel Elizabeth (LAB) 54
Banks Peninsula WEENINK, Vanessa (NAT) McLELLAN, Tracey (LAB) 83
Mt Albert WHITE, Helen (LAB) LEE, Melissa (NAT) 106
New Lynn GARCIA, Paulo (NAT) RUSSELL, Deborah (LAB) 483
Te Tai Tokerau DAVIS, Kelvin (LAB) KAPA-KINGI, Mariameno (TPMAO) 487
Tāmaki Makaurau HENARE, Peeni (LAB) KEMP, Takutai Tarsh (TPMAO) 495
Rongotai GENTER, Julie Anne (GP) FITZSIMONS, Fleur (LAB) 792
West Coast-Tasman PUGH, Maureen (NAT) O'CONNOR, Damien (LAB) 915
Hutt South BISHOP, Chris (NAT) ANDERSEN, Ginny (LAB) 1,094
Plenty could change.....or it might not.
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Originally Posted by Sideshow Bob
Plenty could change.....or it might not.
Most interesting one to me is Mt Albert.
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Originally Posted by Balance
Most interesting one to me is Mt Albert.
Helen White ( I did so very well) hangs on by 20 votes.
Freaking heck - what a razor sharp margin for one of Labour’s safest seats! The electorate there sure sent Quitter Cindy a message!
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Originally Posted by Balance
Helen White ( I did so very well) hangs on by 20 votes.
Freaking heck - what a razor sharp margin for one of Labour’s safest seats! The electorate there sure sent Quitter Cindy a message!
A number of close seats - which must invite a recount - look at Nelson, Tāmaki Makaurau, Te Atatu
You're right - Mt Albert must have sent a spine chilling reminder out to Labour HQ ..
"Did well to axe Labour's majority by 19,980 down to a mere 20" probably better describes things..
Labour's last bastion, Mt Albert from 20,000 majority to 20
and only if not challenged, and then survives possible recount
Last edited by nztx; 03-11-2023 at 05:50 PM.
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