ELECTION POLL: 1 week till the election!

[justakiwi]

Final poll - please add your vote for the last time.

[Baa_Baa]

Results to the beginning of the final week before election.

Attachment 14775

	5weeks	4weeks	5->4 +/-	3weeks	5->3 +/-	2weeks	5->2 +/-
National	21.43%	25.64%	4.21%	20.00%	-1.43%	19.51%	-1.92%
Labour	4.76%	2.56%	-2.20%	5.77%	1.01%	4.88%	0.12%
ACT	40.48%	35.90%	-4.58%	42.86%	2.38%	43.90%	3.42%
Greens	2.30%	7.69%	5.39%	0.00%	-2.30%	0.00%	-2.30%
Maori	9.52%	2.56%	-6.96%	2.86%	-6.66%	2.44%	-7.08%
NZF	0.00%	2.56%	2.56%	11.43%	11.43%	12.20%	12.20%
TOP	11.90%	15.38%	3.48%	14.29%	2.39%	14.63%	2.73%
Other	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Undecided	4.76%	5.13%	0.37%	0.00%	-4.76%	0.00%	-4.76%
Not voting	4.76%	2.56%	-2.20%	2.86%	-1.90%	1.00%	-3.76%
Voters	42	39		35		41

[justakiwi]

Interesting to see a higher vote for NZF than I anticipated (percentage wise). But also, no "undecided" votes so far.

[justakiwi]

And now TOP has overtaken NZF. Yes, I know this is a “meaningless” poll which is not representative of the general population, but who knows - maybe it will be.

[BlackPeter]

Results to the beginning of the final week before election.

Attachment 14775

	5weeks	4weeks	5->4 +/-	3weeks	5->3 +/-	2weeks	5->2 +/-
National	21.43%	25.64%	4.21%	20.00%	-1.43%	19.51%	-1.92%
Labour	4.76%	2.56%	-2.20%	5.77%	1.01%	4.88%	0.12%
ACT	40.48%	35.90%	-4.58%	42.86%	2.38%	43.90%	3.42%
Greens	2.30%	7.69%	5.39%	0.00%	-2.30%	0.00%	-2.30%
Maori	9.52%	2.56%	-6.96%	2.86%	-6.66%	2.44%	-7.08%
NZF	0.00%	2.56%	2.56%	11.43%	11.43%	12.20%	12.20%
TOP	11.90%	15.38%	3.48%	14.29%	2.39%	14.63%	2.73%
Other	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Undecided	4.76%	5.13%	0.37%	0.00%	-4.76%	0.00%	-4.76%
Not voting	4.76%	2.56%	-2.20%	2.86%	-1.90%	1.00%	-3.76%
Voters	42	39		35		41

TOP the third strongest party after ACT and National! I can live with that ;

[winner69]

Seems that ACT guy standing in Port Waikato dying will result in a bye-election after the election is call over

And we’ll end up with 121 MPs after that bye-election

[BlackPeter]

Seems that ACT guy standing in Port Waikato dying will result in a bye-election after the election is call over

And we’ll end up with 121 MPs after that bye-election

I assume its a by-election, not a bye-elections, but nevertheless - quite funny rules.

But obviously - first my condolences to his family, it sounds like he was a good guy.

It sounds however funny to have a by election for a candidate who anyway wouldn't have made it. As a minimum they should count the electorate votes - and only have a by-election if the winner of the FPP election died.

Otherwise it appears to be an unfair advantage for whoever supplies the winning candidate in an electorate - they get two MP's instead of one. How can this be right?

[moka]

https://thespinoff.co.nz/live-updates/09-10-2023/how-the-voting-tally-looks-after-a-week-of-advance-voting

After a week of advance voting and less than a week left until election day, 607,255 people have cast their ballots.
82,524 people voted on Sunday.
Advance voting numbers for this election are still trailing 2020 numbers. After nine days of advance voting in 2020, 1,157,209 votes had been cast as of October 8, 2020.
The orange line shows how early voting compares with recent elections.

[Baa_Baa]

https://thespinoff.co.nz/live-updates/09-10-2023/how-the-voting-tally-looks-after-a-week-of-advance-voting

After a week of advance voting and less than a week left until election day, 607,255 people have cast their ballots.
82,524 people voted on Sunday.
Advance voting numbers for this election are still trailing 2020 numbers. After nine days of advance voting in 2020, 1,157,209 votes had been cast as of October 8, 2020.
The orange line shows how early voting compares with recent elections.

I wonder if it is because Labour had a landslide, first time in the history of MMP, majority win in 2020, so stands to reason a lot of people voted early. This time we're back to the uncertainty of a fine balance and possibly another king maker election (who's over that?, MMP sucks), people are less certain so not voting early, or maybe we might have the lowest election turnout, early or on the day, ever for an election as people are just over this. Still, early voting is ahead of 2017.

[Balance]

2020 early voting numbers were boosted by voters concerned that there would be more lockdowns so people voted early to get their votes in.