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  1. #11926
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    Not quite. It was (exacly) one year ago $8.20. But yes, forgive me for having been slightly inaccurate - I should have said "in a downwards channel for the last 10.3 months". Here is the channel I am talking about:

    Attachment 10230

    In case you are not quite clear - I printed the channel walls nice, fat and red for you ;
    Its amazing how much you can make on this share in a downtrend, it's a milky gift that just keeps on giving unless you bought and held at the top end.

  2. #11927
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    BP ....pretty dismal eh

    But channel might look different if you used ln(price) data (as the spotted one would suggest)
    Log wouldn't make much difference given the quite limited span. But feel free to check it out ...
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    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  3. #11928
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    Log wouldn't make much difference given the quite limited span. But feel free to check it out ...
    Not a log scale but plotting ln(price). I got told off by the spotted one once for doing what you did.
    “In a roaring bull market, knowledge is superfluous and experience is a handicap.”

    –Benjamin Graham”

  4. #11929
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    Not quite. It was (exacly) one year ago $8.20. But yes, forgive me for having been slightly inaccurate - I should have said "in a downwards channel for the last 10.3 months". Here is the channel I am talking about:

    Attachment 10230

    In case you are not quite clear - I printed the channel walls nice, fat and red for you ;
    If you plot the trend from beginning of 2017?

    Looks like the uptrend is still intact.

    Meanwhile, there are still 50m shares (a cool $500m) still short!

  5. #11930
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    Quote Originally Posted by Balance View Post
    If you plot the trend from beginning of 2017?

    Looks like the uptrend is still intact.

    Meanwhile, there are still 50m shares (a cool $500m) still short!
    Yep over 6% shorts yet they dont seem to be doing much to the price overall of late, I wonder how many are going to hang around right up till the Feb result and risk being incinerated as they were last Feb.

  6. #11931
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    Those Bollinger Bands are starting to get closer together. Let's hope that the price shoots up near delivery day of their results as I think it will.

  7. #11932
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    Quote Originally Posted by Balance View Post
    If you plot the trend from beginning of 2017?

    Looks like the uptrend is still intact.

    Meanwhile, there are still 50m shares (a cool $500m) still short!
    Absolutely - as usual there are trends in trends in trends .... it all depends on your time window and your tolerance to suffering ...
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  8. #11933
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    Absolutely - as usual there are trends in trends in trends .... it all depends on your time window and your tolerance to suffering ...
    Suffering?

    You mean enjoying, right? Depending on the time frame of course!

    Do a longer term chart, you will see what some happy holders mean.

  9. #11934
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    Quote Originally Posted by Balance View Post
    Suffering?

    You mean enjoying, right? Depending on the time frame of course!

    Do a longer term chart, you will see what some happy holders mean.
    Well, it probably depends on your sense of enjoyment. Personally I do enjoy a drop of more than 30% from its peak (no matter at what point I started) much more if I am either short or on the sidelines. But yes, you are right - it is exciting to watch, and very happy for any holders who like the ride ... that's what markets are for.

    Just a personal preferance - I don't like roller coaster rides either.
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  10. #11935
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    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/...ectid=12177036
    Please excuse if this has been posted before. Bryan Gaynor not impressed with Herdlicka's conduct.
    Last edited by Beagle; 05-01-2019 at 11:37 AM.
    No butts, hold no mutts, (unless they're the furry variety).

  11. #11936
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/...ectid=12177036
    Please excuse if this has been posted before. Bryan Gaynor not impressed with Herdlicka's conduct.
    Bryan Gaynor also suggested that "The second best performing company was Kathmandu under CEO Xavier Simonet"
    I am in doubt after the latest KMD trading update.

  12. #11937
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44wishlists View Post
    Bryan Gaynor also suggested that "The second best performing company was Kathmandu under CEO Xavier Simonet"
    I am in doubt after the latest KMD trading update.
    Esp when he quoted Xavier - Simonet told the recent annual meeting: "We expect first half profits to be strongly above last year."

    Our Jayne got lambasted in same article for lowering a revenue forecast
    “In a roaring bull market, knowledge is superfluous and experience is a handicap.”

    –Benjamin Graham”

  13. #11938
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Esp when he quoted Xavier - Simonet told the recent annual meeting: "We expect first half profits to be strongly above last year."

    Our Jayne got lambasted in same article for lowering a revenue forecast
    Same Brian Gaynor who thought the sun shone out of Mark Welson's arse?

    Until it all turned to custard when the light was shone on the mess left behind by said saviour of the NZX, Weldon?

    Same Brian Gaynor of Milford who badmouthed Diligent (surprise, surprise!) after selling out and then, was rumoured to be buying back when the sp crashed down to under $4?

  14. #11939
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44wishlists View Post
    Bryan Gaynor also suggested that "The second best performing company was Kathmandu under CEO Xavier Simonet"
    I am in doubt after the latest KMD trading update.
    Article was written 15 December 2018 and represents performance for 2018. Market shocker update was 3 January 2019.

    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Esp when he quoted Xavier - Simonet told the recent annual meeting: "We expect first half profits to be strongly above last year."

    Our Jayne got lambasted in same article for lowering a revenue forecast
    One would hope in the future he would be far more conservative with his choice of words but I won't hang around to find out because that was one of the biggest clangers I can recall in recent times. The word "strongly" above turning to eps negative really shocking. $2.00 coming as market confidence has been so badly eroded ?
    No butts, hold no mutts, (unless they're the furry variety).

  15. #11940
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    [QUOTE=Beagle;742987]Article was written 15 December 2018 and represents performance for 2018. Market shocker update was 3 January 2019.

    If Gaynor was referring to KMD's FY18 performance, he might had a point. But definitely not the case if he was referring to the 1H of FY19, nor 2H of calendar year of 2018. A piece of writing by Gaynor, plus featuring in NZHerald, I better go and read the story book of "Bark, George"

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