sharetrader
Page 1027 of 1063 FirstFirst ... 2752792797710171023102410251026102710281029103010311037 ... LastLast
Results 15,391 to 15,405 of 15937
  1. #15391
    Member
    Join Date
    Sep 2016
    Posts
    69

    Default

    Thanks for that bull. Interesting read re market segmentation. Confirms my belief that A2 marketing effort must be targeted at maintaining their premium positioning in the huge Chinese IF market. No other market comes close including the US initiative - merely a distraction. Projected 5% further increase in market share by 2023 of the high end segment by local suppliers is a telling statistic. Await the Feb update from A2 with much interest on their performance in China. Disclose: holder.
    Last edited by whome; 17-01-2020 at 07:32 AM. Reason: Add by 2023

  2. #15392
    Advanced Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2012
    Posts
    1,624

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by whome View Post
    Thanks for that bull. Interesting read re market segmentation. Confirms my belief that A2 marketing effort must be targeted at maintaining their premium positioning in the huge Chinese IF market. No other market comes close including the US initiative - merely a distraction. Projected 5% further increase in market share by 2023 of the high end segment by local suppliers is a telling statistic. Await the Feb update from A2 with much interest on their performance in China. Disclose: holder.
    Are we talking a1 or a2 high end market? And are the Chinese making high end melamine flavoured a2 yet, or is it still in the pipe line? I would think Chinese buyers going out to buy a2 IF will be buying in the high and low end market and anywhere else they can get their hands on "A2" IF and not the high end a1.

  3. #15393
    Advanced Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2012
    Posts
    1,624

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    Should just get with the program and get 40,000 shares... a dead easy $2.50 per share to be made in the next month or two, fast, really easy and a certain $100,000 profit my mates tell me...this investing stuff is so easy...what could possibly go wrong...
    Been there done that. A2 had a low of $12.19c on 7/11/19. A2 rocketing away again today. $15 here we come..opps...$16 here we come. Hope I haven't opened my big mouth and put a jinx on it. Still plenty of time to get on board before it hits $18.
    Last edited by see weed; 17-01-2020 at 01:11 PM.

  4. #15394
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2015
    Location
    Napier
    Posts
    1,038

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Ggcc View Post
    This is the start of the rise to $17+.... Slow but steady will be sufficient for me. Or fast lol. Not a certainty, just a gut feeling
    I maybe correct with my gut instinct

  5. #15395
    Advanced Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2012
    Posts
    1,624

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Ggcc View Post
    I maybe correct with my gut instinct
    Yes you may. And that could be $18+. I thought Aussi was going to hit that before NZ, on their close tonight. Somebody out there knows something. Maybe a half year result leak.

  6. #15396
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2015
    Location
    Napier
    Posts
    1,038

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by see weed View Post
    Yes you may. And that could be $18+. I thought Aussi was going to hit that before NZ, on their close tonight. Somebody out there knows something. Maybe a half year result leak.
    I think so and a pull back in outgoings due to a reduction in marketing in US with new CEO

  7. #15397
    Trying to get outta here
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    7,196

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by see weed View Post
    Yes you may. And that could be $18+. I thought Aussi was going to hit that before NZ, on their close tonight. Somebody out there knows something. Maybe a half year result leak.
    Just trade deal buzz I reckon, 2 steps forward and 1 back is just fine with me until the report. PS-Expecting a step backward at some stage next week, market running hot always has colder days mixed in and especially this stock.

  8. #15398
    Member
    Join Date
    Jun 2016
    Posts
    342

    Default

    I hope these kind of reports does not impact the uptrend gathering momentum...

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-51145251

  9. #15399
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2015
    Location
    Napier
    Posts
    1,038

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by carrom74 View Post
    I hope these kind of reports does not impact the uptrend gathering momentum...

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-51145251
    A2 is a premium brand and should not have as much impact.

  10. #15400
    Trying to get outta here
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    7,196

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by carrom74 View Post
    I hope these kind of reports does not impact the uptrend gathering momentum...

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-51145251
    Will have almost zilch impact as A2 is still gaining market share of a reduced market which is still massive by any measure.

  11. #15401
    Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2015
    Posts
    186

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by couta1 View Post
    Will have almost zilch impact as A2 is still gaining market share of a reduced market which is still massive by any measure.
    Plus the premium IF market is still growing, less babies = more money to spend on
    the even more precious babies.

  12. #15402
    Guru
    Join Date
    Jul 2002
    Location
    New Zealand.
    Posts
    2,968

    Default

    Article in todays N Z Herald, most of what I call a beat up but Monday's trading will be interesting, hmmm !

  13. #15403
    Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2019
    Posts
    209

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by whatsup View Post
    Article in todays N Z Herald, most of what I call a beat up but Monday's trading will be interesting, hmmm !
    have you realize that everytime when A2 SP pushed about 2%/day up, then there is an article on NZ herald trying to depress it , IGNORE IT MATE.
    All they do are trying to repeat things which everyone already knew over and over and over and over....again....
    Last edited by tomm; 18-01-2020 at 11:49 AM.

  14. #15404
    Membaa
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Location
    Paradise
    Posts
    2,869

    Default Would a simple MA crossover trade strategy work?

    Just for fun, would a simple Moving Average crossover trading strategy work? Using the 9 day and 22 day MA's, buy or sell 1000 shares at the closing price on the first day of a clear MA crossover.

    Let's start with an arbitrary date that gives no obvious advantage, 21/2/2018 when the price spiked big time and buy the closing price of $11.75 (initial $11,750 trade). (we would've missed ~$2.50 gain from the previous day). What would happen by following this mechanical MA crossover trading strategy over the subsequent two years to-date?

    https://invst.ly/pjifl here's the chart, price bars are not shown, only the MA's and closing buy / sell prices. ATM share price can 'gap up' or down, so the price at the MA crossover trigger can be a long way from the actual trade price.

    Nevertheless, on 9 trades it would be 5 winners, 3 flat, 1 loser for a total +$6,120 gain. We'd currently be out waiting for another buy signal.


    ATM Moving Average Crossover Trading Strategy




    MA 9/22 - Buy or Sell the CLOSING price on the first day of a clear gap.















    1,000
    Shares traded


    Date
    Buy
    Sell
    P&L

    Buy
    Sell
    Trade P&L
    Cumulative P&L
    21-02-18
    $ 11.75



    $ 11,750



    05-04-18

    $ 12.88
    $1.13


    $ 12,880
    $1,130
    $1,130
    10-05-18
    $ 13.01



    $ 13,010



    21-05-18

    $ 11.04
    ($1.97)


    $ 11,040
    ($1,970)
    ($840)
    14-06-18
    $ 11.50



    $ 11,500



    06-07-18

    $ 11.50
    $0.00


    $ 11,500
    $0
    ($840)
    17-08-18
    $ 10.85



    $ 10,850



    18-09-18

    $ 12.14
    $1.29


    $ 12,140
    $1,290
    $450
    05-11-18
    $ 10.15



    $ 10,150



    26-11-18

    $ 10.20
    $0.05


    $ 10,200
    $50
    $500
    29-11-18
    $ 10.90



    $ 10,900



    19-03-19

    $ 13.70
    $2.80


    $ 13,700
    $2,800
    $3,300
    05-04-19
    $ 14.55



    $ 14,550



    16-05-19

    $ 16.27
    $1.72


    $ 16,270
    $1,720
    $5,020
    04-07-19
    $ 14.95



    $ 14,950



    12-08-19

    $ 16.04
    $1.09


    $ 16,040
    $1,090
    $6,110
    20-11-19
    $ 14.67



    $ 14,670



    07-01-20

    $ 14.68
    $0.01


    $ 14,680
    $10
    $6,120

    Definitely not advice, this is purely an exercise just for fun.

  15. #15405
    Reincarnated Panthera Snow Leopard's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2004
    Location
    Kuching & ROW
    Posts
    532

    Default

    Have you factored in $30+ for each buy and each sell and taxation (for trading) and how does that compare with more sophisticated strategies such as buy & hold?
    om mani peme hum

Tags for this Thread

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •