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  1. #15731
    Outside thinking.
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    Prof Woodward on Coronavirus effects FYI. A Black Swan event? See it here.

  2. #15732
    Outside thinking.
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    Nice day for holders..... (just saying) Come over to ATM and leave all the HLG gloom behind.

  3. #15733
    Banned
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    Quote Originally Posted by Left field View Post
    Nice day for holders..... (just saying) Come over to ATM and leave all the HLG gloom behind.
    Haha no gloom for me with either as they are the only listed stocks I hold and both are just lovely. PS-Have been furiously dispatching milk bottles today as I never like to take a gift horse for granted.
    Last edited by couta1; 17-02-2020 at 02:25 PM.

  4. #15734
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    ATM could go back over $17 this week.

    Gone days of it breaking below $14.06
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  5. #15735
    Guru
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    Quote Originally Posted by Left field View Post
    Nice day for holders..... (just saying) Come over to ATM and leave all the HLG gloom behind.
    Lots of milky goodness today. Not far away from the first post-Jayne update......

  6. #15736
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Clearly less exciting than the next ATM results, but I thought I include ATM / A2M in my wee analysis about the goodness of the forecasts of our stockmarket analysts.

    Here is the overview of all forecasts checked so far (yes, this is still early days):
    https://www.sharetrader.co.nz/showth...arket-analysts


    Stock: A2M (sorry, I use the Australian variant in my spreadsheet - ie.e all data in A$)
    Prediction month: January 2019
    Forecast month: January 2020

    Share price (peak) in January 2019 A$12.65
    Consensus forecast for January 2020 $12.40
    actual shareprice (peak) in January 2020 $15.59 Share price did rise 25,7% above target, while analysts predicted the shareprice would flat line. I call that a failed forecast
    consensus recommendation in January 2019 outperform (7,5/10)
    actual 12 month growth vs NZX50 ATM underperformed NZX50 by 7.5% PREDICTION FAIL

    Rating of the analysts so far:

    7 stocks checked (checking for each consensus and buy recommendation);
    Consensus shareprice forecasts correct: 1/7; analyst hitrate: 14%
    Consensus recommendation vs NZX50 correct: 2/7; analyst hitrate: 28%
    Last edited by BlackPeter; 17-02-2020 at 04:36 PM.
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  7. #15737
    Senior Member
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    Nice with "YOUR PREDICTION"
    I wish you luck.

  8. #15738
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tomm View Post
    Nice with "YOUR PREDICTION"
    I wish you luck.
    I think you need to read the main thread (https://www.sharetrader.co.nz/showth...arket-analysts). I don't predict anything with this post. I just checked the predictions the stockmarket analysts made in Januar 2019 about A2M - and (in this and in various other cases) the proved to be woefully wrong.

    But anyway - always nice to have somebody wishing you (I hope good) luck. Cheers mate ...
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  9. #15739
    Membaa
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    Who are the 'analysts' that you're citing? Is it a range of NZ/AUS broker or fund analysts and/or some unknown internet analysts?

    TIA.

  10. #15740
    Senior Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    I think you need to read the main thread (https://www.sharetrader.co.nz/showth...arket-analysts). I don't predict anything with this post. I just checked the predictions the stockmarket analysts made in Januar 2019 about A2M - and (in this and in various other cases) the proved to be woefully wrong.

    But anyway - always nice to have somebody wishing you (I hope good) luck. Cheers mate ...
    Thanks for putting that up anyway. I am not sure to whom but to me , these are just bell and whistles.

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