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10-05-2021, 09:46 AM
#21451
Back in 2017 I sold an awful lot of shares at $2.65 to fund the purchase of my first home. I fear we'll get back to this price in the near future.
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10-05-2021, 09:48 AM
#21452
Member
Specifically, it is estimated that if the one-off charges and sales reductions to reduce inventory in the trade were backed out for this year, the business would record annual revenues in the order of $1.3 billion with an EBITDA margin percent in the low to mid-twenties.
No need to panic, growth will resume as soon as COVID is under control, and we are at the edge of that, along with resumption of international students/travel. The demand for foreign brand in China remains strong ( Look at Tesla's sales ) .
This whole thing is just new CEO kitchen sinking expectation, so they can easily beat it later, time to scoop up the shares today!!
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10-05-2021, 09:49 AM
#21453
China label market share in the mother and baby stores stable at 2.4% No growth a bit scary. That marketing spend will need to be big to lift that. Diagou channel is stuffed. CBEC channel sales declining due to inventory wind-down. What a shambles. Bad downgrade.
What's a company worth that will do $90m NPAT FY21 and $195m NPAT FY22 (based on $1,347m revenue and 22% ebitda margin).
Give a 15 P/E on FY22 $195m NPAT (Rawz est) and you get a share price of $3.95. Scary
Way overvalued right now
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10-05-2021, 09:49 AM
#21454
Originally Posted by silu
Back in 2017 I sold an awful lot of shares at $2.65 to fund the purchase of my first home. I fear we'll get back to this price in the near future.
You have probably just answered the question, shares or property. Well done kicking out the LL and getting your own home btw
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10-05-2021, 09:49 AM
#21455
been down hill ever since hearn removed jane
one step ahead of the herd
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10-05-2021, 09:51 AM
#21456
Originally Posted by Habits
You have probably just answered the question, shares or property. Well done kicking out the LL and getting your own home btw
Haha but guess how often I dreamed about what my parcel would have been worth when it hit $20.00. But then owning a home is just so much better than renting. I never questioned that move.
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10-05-2021, 09:56 AM
#21457
Originally Posted by silu
Haha but guess how often I dreamed about what my parcel would have been worth when it hit $20.00. But then owning a home is just so much better than renting. I never questioned that move.
Silu I share your pain - 150,000@ 7 cents
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10-05-2021, 09:57 AM
#21458
Member
I have a small holding in A2M with 11k NZD worth purchased, which is now down 38% and more to come after this is posted I am sure.
I'll continue to hold, but mostly because this is only a small % of my portfolio. I'll personally look at buying some more shares in the future, but it's looking very bleak.
Anyone in here still holding or have most sold out by now?
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10-05-2021, 09:58 AM
#21459
Originally Posted by bull....
been down hill ever since hearn removed jane
Wonder if jayne is smiling this morning ...... probably is
What was the caretakers name now?
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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10-05-2021, 10:00 AM
#21460
Originally Posted by Frostwind
Specifically, it is estimated that if the one-off charges and sales reductions to reduce inventory in the trade were backed out for this year, the business would record annual revenues in the order of $1.3 billion with an EBITDA margin percent in the low to mid-twenties.
No need to panic, growth will resume as soon as COVID is under control, and we are at the edge of that, along with resumption of international students/travel. The demand for foreign brand in China remains strong ( Look at Tesla's sales ) .
This whole thing is just new CEO kitchen sinking expectation, so they can easily beat it later, time to scoop up the shares today!!
The last year has been a massive boon for listed food companies - covid has been a tailwind, not a headwind (for almost every other food company at least).
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