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  1. #11
    Gold Member SEC's Avatar
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    Nickel down about 15% in a week and could fall even lower as traders panic and sell. My guess is USD14000/tonne but the fundamentals still look good as stocks are still tight and the 5 year uptrend remains intact. In the meantime I'm waiting for JBM to fall back to below 600 and MCR below 60.

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  2. #12
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    Hi Sec

    Yes a big drop in the nickel price, with inventories staying the same, does not make sense .....

    IGO about the only nickel stock going up yesterday with reasonable turn over.
    Just like to point out - Chris Bonwick (CEO) said he would like to get production up to 15,000 tons and if you read closely to what he said in his last brief and were to match it to the last nickel find.

    The Equation is a match

    Also they pulled workers of harvesting to open up this new leg.
    Also they advertised in the Kalgoorlie Miner for new staff in three different positions.

    And this does not take into account the new find they will get when they finish the new decline.

    Also IGO, as far as I am aware is the lowest cost nickel producer in OZ.

    Mincor cheap at 63c yesterday, a bargin if you got in.
    60 c would be a steal but I do not think it will go that low.

    Tectonic Resources TTR, look good and have got excellent exposure to gold..(TTR went up 5.1% yesterday)

    From [B)][}], who is really a cot case now, guess what, now live in Kalgoorlie and works at a nickel mine. [:o)][:o)]





  3. #13
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    I am with you both on JBM exited at $6.10 - can't believe it went to $7. A bit of waiting and seeing. Will jump back in if goes back to below $5.75 odd.

  4. #14
    FEAR n GREED JBmurc's Avatar
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    TTR looking very undervalued at 19c P/E-2.28
    -Major shareholder-civic trans services increase holdings from 9.48% to 11.19%-[?]start of the month -Sanpoint pty ltd- buys up more than 8million shares 5.30% -Directors hold 8.55%-
    STRONG BALANCE SHEET

    Capital Structure ($ 000s)
    Total Debt 244 Interest: 112
    Long Term Debt 147 ( 1% of capital )
    Preferred Stock --
    Shareholders Equity 22,533 ( 99% of capital )

    Current Position ($ 000s)
    2002 2003 2004
    Cash Assets 743 1,645 11,572
    Receivables 3,430 4,234 5,818
    Inventory 161 474 313
    Others 98 18 24
    Total Current Assets 4,432 6,370 17,727

    Accounts Payable 2,428 3,120 3,848
    Debt Due 11 210 98
    Others 960 598 2,646
    Total Current Liabilities 3,398 3,927 6,592


    Per Share Statistics
    06/95 06/96 06/97 06/98 06/99 06/00 06/01 06/02 06/03 06/04
    Sales ($) 0.29 0.26 0.27 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.14 0.13 0.26
    Cashflow (cents) 2.6 -2.7 2.2 -0.7 -0.7 -0.6 6.0 9.7 2.6 10.3
    Earnings (cents) -4.3 0.2 1.1 0.2 -0.7 -0.6 -1.4 -0.2 1.7 8.8
    Dividends (cents) -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- 2.0
    Franking (%) -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 100
    Capital Spending (cents) -1.2 -0.5 -0.2 -4.5 -0.3 -3.8 -9.9 -3.5 -2.0 -2.3
    Book Value ($) 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.14
    Shares Outstanding (m) 71 71 71 126 126 126 138 138 138 159
    Avg P/E Ratio -- 81.9 10.3 95.0 -- -- -- -- 4.1 2.8
    Relative P/E (%) -- 644.3 70.9 660.2 -- -- -- -- 30.9 19.7
    Total Return (%) -- 6.7 -43.7 22.2 -50.0 0.0 -20.7 -49.6 53.4 241.1
    Return Relative to Market (%) -- -6.7 -71.5 19.6 -64.1 0.0 -30.9 -44.8 55.5 219.7
    Return Relative to Sector (%) -- -5.9 -22.7 45.8 -50.5 0.0 -44.2 -129.8 -- --


    Historical Financials
    06/95 06/96 06/97 06/98 06/99 06/00 06/01 06/02 06/03 06/04
    Revenues ($million) 21 18 19 2 0 0 32 20 18 37
    Operating Margin (%) 28 19 29 -33 -2,973 -292 63 32 22 44
    Depreciation ($million) -2 -0 -0 0 0 0 -4 -2 -1 -1
    Amortisation ($million) -8 -3 -4 0 0 0 -15 -5 -1 0
    Nt Profit Bef. Abnormals ($million) -3 0 1 0 -1 -1 -2 -0 2 12
    Net Profit ($million) -10 -0 1 -3 -3 -1 -5 2 2 12
    Income Tax Rate (%) 7 156 44 26 0 0 0 0 0 20
    Net Profit Margin (%) -15 1 4 10 -3,252 -374 -6 -1 13 33
    Employees (thousands) -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 0 0 0
    Long Term debt ($million) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -- 0
    S/holders equity ($million) 7 7 8 10 7 6 3 5 8 23
    Return on capital (%) -43 2 10 2 -12 -11 -31 -2 31 54
    Return on equity (%) -45 2 10 2 -12 -12 -56 -6 31 54
    Payout Ratio (%) -- -- -- -- -- 0 -- -- -- 23


    mining studies on NOA 2 deposit have already suggested total cash costs of less than $385 per ounce and low capital costs of about $1.5 million before generating postive cash flow-from resource stocks

    TTR-now has a gold inventory of 850,750 ounces,
    TTR-also have 64t copper,8.5moz silver,90,000t of lead,60,000t zinc
    principally in two key deposits called Kundip and Trilogy.


    JBMURC -now holds TTR




    "With a good perspective on history, we can have a better understanding of the past and present, and thus a clear vision of the future." — Carlos Slim Helu

  5. #15
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    Yes TTR looking great JBmurc, but alas I can't have everything, but if gold was to go off, so say some people, TTR would explode.[][]
    So if you believe in gold believe in TTR!

    Nickel price stable.Inventories falling again which is great, lets hope they keep falling and price goes up again.

    MCR great buying at 62.5c, IGO being well supported, same as SMY, WSA more great news, JBM going for it again.

    Cheers [B)][}]

  6. #16
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    IGO been in demand over the last few days

    Often had troble getting through 1.40

    Will be interesting if it can break out of this range


  7. #17
    FEAR n GREED JBmurc's Avatar
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    -AGM-Tollhurst has just released a note on AGM valuing at 19c+

    AGM-trucked ore thru the Hellyer mill during June. Another trial is planned for July and August and they plan to use the mill for commercial production shortly afterwards

    -great way to pay for the new mill at avebury

    great for shareholders, my pick 18-20c by years end

    JBMURC-holds AGM

    "With a good perspective on history, we can have a better understanding of the past and present, and thus a clear vision of the future." — Carlos Slim Helu

  8. #18
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    Hi JB

    Good little nickel stock AGM...not holding but i wish them all the best particularly as I own Intec shares...which of course owns the Hellyer mill

    Cdchi1


  9. #19
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    Hi folks

    Yes AGM is interesting, worth a go.

    I will stick with IGO and MCR. Expect to get reasonable dividend from both of these for 2005 year end.
    And heaps of upside.!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!.

    Can IGO break out of it's $1.40 David Hardman, we will see very shortly, is all I will say.
    Expect IGO to announce on MRX very soon.

    JBmurc did you buy into TTR, as you say it looks a great company, but the gold price scares me, but things can change fast. If gold goes up it will be a steal!

    JBM, WSA look at them go, imm! Can't have them all.[][]

    Cheers [B)][}]

  10. #20
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    Well, AMP has done it again, thought so, dumped MCR shares. Crashed the price from 72c down to 62c virtually overnight.

    3rd time this has happened

    To me, this represented great buying opportunity, brings the fear and greed out in a player!
    I wonder if they will buy them back again when the yearly wrap up is done, around 25th August, after they announce a solid 5c a share dividend[?][?]on a 69c share.
    With even better to follow next year[][]

    Time will tell and sooner than later! Great little company and a great future and no debt!

    Regards[B)][}]

    P.S The cheque will be going into paying of property - do not keep all your eggs in the one basket.

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