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  1. #171
    Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2009
    Posts
    101

    Default FY11 result

    OK result but FRE still carrying a fair amount of debt. Multiples look a bit on the high side IMO.

    From today's FY11 result:

    EBITDA = $66m
    NPAT = $31m (excluding $1m in non-recurring earthquake costs)
    Net debt = $154m
    FY dividend = 14.5c
    # shares = 153.6m
    Current share price = $3.21

    1. PE = $3.21 / ($31m/153.6m) = 16.0x

    2. EV/EBITDA = (153.6m x $3.21 + $154m) / $66m = 9.8x

    3. Gross dividend yield = 14.5c / 321 / 70% = 6.5% (75% payout ratio)

  2. #172
    Member
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Posts
    400

    Default

    is mainfreight as better pick?

  3. #173
    percy
    Join Date
    Oct 2009
    Location
    christchurch
    Posts
    17,239

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by voltage View Post
    is mainfreight as better pick?
    I am a trustee of an estate which holds FRE,while one of the benificieries works at Mainfreight.We looked at selling FRE and buying Mainfreight,but decided to hang onto FRE as we felt a lot of future growth was built into MFT's shareprice.Should MFT not deliver the SP will suffer.FRE has a lot better yield and as they were purchased at float,the yield on purchase price is very good.With internet sales growing the prospects for FRE are sound.

  4. #174
    Share Collector
    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Porirua
    Posts
    3,509

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by percy View Post
    With internet sales growing the prospects for FRE are sound.
    NZ Post dying because they have less mail because of the internet... FRE flying because they have more parcels because of the internet...

  5. #175
    percy
    Join Date
    Oct 2009
    Location
    christchurch
    Posts
    17,239

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Lizard View Post
    NZ Post dying because they have less mail because of the internet... FRE flying because they have more parcels because of the internet...
    Not so many people writing letters to each other is the real reason.I pay my accounts by internet so even less mail.
    What I was really trying to say but didn't;, FRE deliver the things you buy on the internet,where as MFT handle larger freight.

  6. #176
    Member
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Posts
    400

    Default

    thanks, sounds like owning both is a good idea

  7. #177
    percy
    Join Date
    Oct 2009
    Location
    christchurch
    Posts
    17,239

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by voltage View Post
    thanks, sounds like owning both is a good idea
    Yes ,that may be the right way to go.Both companies are very well managed.

  8. #178
    Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    , , .
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    Default

    I don't actually see that FRE and MFT are all that similar really - just go to their websites and read the about us pages they have quite different aims and aspirations. Yes, they both shift freight, but they do it in quite different ways and for different reasons. In MFT's case they have designs on being a global logistics operator - a lofty aim but they are certainly making steps in the right direction. In FRE's case they are about express freight in NZ.

    I hold MFT and are considering FRE, I think both make sense for their own reasons.

  9. #179
    Reincarnated Panthera Snow Leopard's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2004
    Location
    Private Universe
    Posts
    5,860

    Angry What goes up, comes down, goes sideways and generally staggers around a lot

    And then down over 2% to $4.02.

    I own this in the ShareTrader competition but not in real life.
    However it is in my buy category at the moment (where Mainfreight is not)

    best wishes
    Paper Tiger
    om mani peme hum

  10. #180
    Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Auckland
    Posts
    464

    Default

    Have i missed something here? From $4.20ish last week or so, down to $3.75.

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