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  1. #6861
    Guru Xerof's Avatar
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    Robbo, I've been suffering deja vu again too

    I await the large crossing at, say 85 to 90, then the rally, in a repeat of the price action from late last year perhaps

    i feel sorry for the distressed seller, just as I did for that fund who gave it away at 47

    btw, the very recent new entrant to the register I mentioned earlier, has a richlister as one of the two shareholders. They are usually pretty tight with their own money.

  2. #6862
    The Wolf of Sharetrader
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    Moosie, DIL's growth was slowing, PEB's is just beginning.

  3. #6863
    The Wolf of Sharetrader
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    Quote Originally Posted by moosie_900 View Post

    "She'll be right", "good things take time", "it can't stay down long, it's a great company".
    Finally you're making some sense Moosie.

    Quote Originally Posted by moosie_900 View Post

    After 5 months of beating myself silly
    Probably the wrong forum/website Moosie.

  4. #6864
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hancocks View Post
    Oh god, there are some major cracks showing; not in Pacific Edge Limited, but those AR$E#OLES that are gloating in their colleagues suffering a dip in share price; and, those that post the state the bloody obvious with the benefit of hind sight, what a clever person I am advice.

    I feel sorry for both; those that have suffered the dip, and those of such weak character that this is their pleasure. However, those with shares will rise again, for the others, your burden will continue.
    Interesting that this would bother you so much to comment on it? If you believe in the company is it not better that the share price declines so that you can pick up more at a bargain price? Ie right now PEB are having a 25% sale (from last month) and if we are lucky that may become a 40% sale soon enough if the charts are to be believed.

  5. #6865
    The Wolf of Sharetrader
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    Moosie, for the benefit of us all, please seek professional help.



    Anywho, enough clogging the thread.

  6. #6866
    The Wolf of Sharetrader
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    Anybody brave enough to predict what's going to happen to the PEB shareprice tomorrow?

  7. #6867
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    Quote Originally Posted by nextbigthing View Post
    Anybody brave enough to predict what's going to happen to the PEB shareprice tomorrow?
    It’s just a hunch but,

    The NBI pennant will break, the lab rats will suddenly and inspirationally realise that zero sales and reverse roll out progress has been absurdly and incorrectly priced in, that the SP is 83% off its highs, 90% below fundamental valuation and 68% below the previous HY14 reporting point.

    Said lab rats will panic, many will miss out on a perfectly perfect entry point and spend the next 12 months on the side lines as bitter and twisted stock knockers with residual timing anxiety, others will chase the share price all the way to $2 dollars and still not catch it by Xmas.

    Hancock's and the smart investors will just sit back and continue to do what they always do, watch and smile as others play the traders game.

  8. #6868
    Senior Member Whipmoney's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by MAC View Post
    It’s just a hunch but,

    The NBI pennant will break, the lab rats will suddenly and inspirationally realise that zero sales and reverse roll out progress has been absurdly and incorrectly priced in, that the SP is 83% off its highs, 90% below fundamental valuation and 68% below the previous HY14 reporting point.

    Said lab rats will panic, many will miss out on a perfectly perfect entry point and spend the next 12 months on the side lines as bitter and twisted stock knockers with residual timing anxiety, others will chase the share price all the way to $2 dollars and still not catch it by Xmas.

    Hancock's and the smart investors will just sit back and continue to do what they always do, watch and smile as others play the traders game.
    MAC I do love you work. That being said..

    1) Theres no way this stock is worth a $1.70 (fundamentally) as it currently stands. I don't think any rationale 'value' investor (at least from the graham/dodd/buffet school) would pay half a billion for a company with no demonstrated sales record, particularly where there is significant commercialisation risk. Obviously its value will be clearer/re-defined on the 30th.

    2) being 83% off its highs is meaningless in terms of defining its fundamental value, particularly where irrational exuberance is concerned.

    3) Whilst you're probably right about the traders being burned/outperformed by the long-term holders in the long-run, holders could have saved themselves a fair bit of pain by selling when this thing was way overvalued. I appreciate this is easier said than done as there was some likelihood than further announcements would pump this thing up but then again they didn't exactly amount to instant sales/cash-flow which at the end of the day is what really matters.

    All I think that has happened is that the stock got too carried away and has undergone a severe correction through the absence of any additional information. Hopefully on the 30th well get some positive news and see a return to 1.20 - 1.30.

    Despite all the chicken little posts I think that is a fairly probably outcome but then again if I'm right it will probably overshoot somewhat and the process will repeat.
    Last edited by Whipmoney; 22-05-2014 at 11:44 PM.

  9. #6869
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    Quote Originally Posted by MAC View Post
    It’s just a hunch but,

    The NBI pennant will break, the lab rats will suddenly and inspirationally realise that zero sales and reverse roll out progress has been absurdly and incorrectly priced in, that the SP is 83% off its highs, 90% below fundamental valuation and 68% below the previous HY14 reporting point.

    Said lab rats will panic, many will miss out on a perfectly perfect entry point and spend the next 12 months on the side lines as bitter and twisted stock knockers with residual timing anxiety, others will chase the share price all the way to $2 dollars and still not catch it by Xmas.

    Hancock's and the smart investors will just sit back and continue to do what they always do, watch and smile as others play the traders game.
    Postscript:

    Either that or Mr Pharma with a four year pile of accumulated greenbacks looking for a good home will say to Misses Pharma, how about we have that one, it’s a perfectly good very prospective young company and the locals have kindly trashed the share price on no news.

    Mr Phama thus will scribble out a cheque for $3 a share over breakfast and Misses Pharma will happily complete the transaction at the bank by midday knowing that the kid’s prosperity just took another leap and that a nice bright yellow VW beetle should be on the cards for Xmas.

  10. #6870
    Reincarnated Panthera Snow Leopard's Avatar
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    Thumbs up Monaco Grand Prix this weekend - if you need alternative excitment

    The psychological perspectives of this thread are currently absolutely fascinating.
    No wonder it gets so many views.

    Best Wishes
    Paper Tiger

    Disc: McLaren fan.
    om mani peme hum

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