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27-05-2014, 05:15 PM
#7041
Still the same modus operandi....
I see two scenarios:
A genuine seller, using a broker with an ego, who likes to crush on the close to ensure it closes at the low of the day. He can then skite to his client that "gee, it was tough going, but once again I got you a great vwap today, just look where it closed.
or
it's an accumulator - read Michael Lewis's Flashboys for the sordid details
I suppose I could add in a third - more sellers than buyers
Last edited by Xerof; 27-05-2014 at 05:17 PM.
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27-05-2014, 05:16 PM
#7042
Possibly a $0.25 stock ($50M cap) in 6 months if sales evaporate. Should be an interesting watch
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27-05-2014, 05:19 PM
#7043
Originally Posted by Schrodinger
Possibly a $0.25 stock ($50M cap) in 6 months if sales evaporate. Should be an interesting watch
Possibly a $2.50 stock ($500M cap) in 16 months if sales crystallise. Should be an interesting watch
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27-05-2014, 05:20 PM
#7044
Originally Posted by Xerof
... ... ... I suppose I could add in a third - more sellers than buyers
That one seems the weirdest though given the 'tell all' is only a matter of days away,
why wouldn't you wait to see how its doing..?!?!
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27-05-2014, 05:52 PM
#7045
Member
Originally Posted by moosie_900
Not very good at Maths were we Xerof...
He multiplied 0.25/50m by 10 to get 2.50/500m. Seems good math to me; perhaps shroedinger provided some bad figures^
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27-05-2014, 05:58 PM
#7046
Originally Posted by klid
He multiplied 0.25/50m by 10 to get 2.50/500m. Seems good math to me; perhaps shroedinger provided some bad figures^
Correct on all four counts
Last edited by Xerof; 27-05-2014 at 06:00 PM.
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27-05-2014, 06:12 PM
#7047
Originally Posted by Mista_Trix
That one seems the weirdest though given the 'tell all' is only a matter of days away,
why wouldn't you wait to see how its doing..?!?!
Cos u wanna git out be4 the plummet.Or in English,"I think it might down so better sell today"
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27-05-2014, 07:25 PM
#7048
Originally Posted by moosie_900
Total shares (undiluted): 318,615,921
X .25 = $79.6M
X .50 = $159.3M
X 1.00 = $318.6M
X 2.50 = $796.5M
X 3.14 = $1B
Better be a good result!!!
Very remiss of you moose - you left the important number out
X 1.70 = $541M
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27-05-2014, 08:51 PM
#7049
Small potential small value, big potential big value.
A company that may very well achieve 100M in revenues in just five short years, possibly more IMO, is an extraordinary thing, not something often contemplated on the NZX.
Larger estimated forward revenues, allow for larger forward cashflows, allow for a larger NPV valuation and a larger market cap in assessing and pricing that forward potential.
Most FA’s reading your posts probably smile a little when you try to use P/S ratios to value a company like this and at this stage, but a DCF assessment will offer you a sensible result and a confident outcome if you have the patience to spend a few hours on one.
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27-05-2014, 11:14 PM
#7050
Member
Originally Posted by moosie_900
Funny that number, because most high growth/high margin companies work on revenue multiples of around 5.5x forward earnings (pretty sure DIL is still hovering there, while Serko is listing at that price as well!). Wee bit ahead of ourselves eh?
What about biotech sector?
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