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  1. #5091
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Say EBITDA going to be $56m

    Allowing for the $2m impact of change in accounting guidance in line with what they said previously

    https://announcements.nzx.com/detail/375948
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  2. #5092
    Legend Balance's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Say EBITDA going to be $56m

    Allowing for the $2m impact of change in accounting guidance in line with what they said previously

    https://announcements.nzx.com/detail/375948
    Market consensus by the few analysts covering the stock was $46m. Shows how far out of touch the market is with this stock.

    Looking forward to yet another nice dividend comes Sept.

    Meanwhile, the agribusiness sector is on very good heart when it comes to farm profitability, protests against government interference notwithstanding.

  3. #5093
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    in the Herald this morning

    Analysts at Forsyth Bar expect seven companies to make a loss: Auckland Airport, Air New Zealand and Tourism Holdings as well as A2 Milk, Refining NZ, PGG Wrightson and Synlait Milk.

    Can't be right .....can it

    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/...YOK5EE5BJ2ZPY/
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  4. #5094
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    Seems unlikely given the announcement only a couple of weeks ago.

  5. #5095
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    in the Herald this morning

    Analysts at Forsyth Bar expect seven companies to make a loss: Auckland Airport, Air New Zealand and Tourism Holdings as well as A2 Milk, Refining NZ, PGG Wrightson and Synlait Milk.

    Can't be right .....can it

    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/...YOK5EE5BJ2ZPY/
    Jeez not a list of companies you want to be associated with eh? Defamation...

  6. #5096
    Legend Balance's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    in the Herald this morning

    Analysts at Forsyth Bar expect seven companies to make a loss: Auckland Airport, Air New Zealand and Tourism Holdings as well as A2 Milk, Refining NZ, PGG Wrightson and Synlait Milk.

    Can't be right .....can it

    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/...YOK5EE5BJ2ZPY/
    From the broking firm which brought to the NZX:

    Credit Sails, Intueri, CBL, Feltex, Wynyard but to name 5,

    Forsyth ‘catch flies with honey’ Barr must be right.

  7. #5097
    Reincarnated Panthera Snow Leopard's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    in the Herald this morning

    Analysts at Forsyth Bar expect seven companies to make a loss: Auckland Airport, Air New Zealand and Tourism Holdings as well as A2 Milk, Refining NZ, PGG Wrightson and Synlait Milk.

    Can't be right .....can it

    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/...YOK5EE5BJ2ZPY/
    I expect them to make a loss for the second half taking the HY $18m NPAT down to $16m at FY.
    om mani peme hum

  8. #5098
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snow Leopard View Post
    I expect them to make a loss for the second half taking the HY $18m NPAT down to $16m at FY.
    Hi, do you mind if I ask why? I can't think of a division that won't be doing well, what am I missing?

  9. #5099
    Legend Balance's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mike2020 View Post
    Hi, do you mind if I ask why? I can't think of a division that won't be doing well, what am I missing?
    Quote Originally Posted by Snow Leopard View Post
    I expect them to make a loss for the second half taking the HY $18m NPAT down to $16m at FY.
    Half year results to 31 Dec 2020 :

     Operating EBITDA** of $42.1 million (up $7.4 million or 21%)
     Net Profit after Tax (“NPAT”) of $18.0 million (up 41%)

    Guidance provided on 21 July :

     Wrightson Limited* (PGW) today announced that following strong trading over the second half of the fiscal year it expects its full year to 30 June 2021 Operating EBITDA** to be around $56 million.

    So Snow Leopard is expecting an EBITDA of $13.9m in the second half to produce a loss of $2m NPAT?

    Let's wait for his reply - will be very insightful!
    Last edited by Balance; 10-08-2021 at 10:22 AM.

  10. #5100
    Reincarnated Panthera Snow Leopard's Avatar
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    From that 2H EBITDA of $14m subtract the DA & the I and see what you get, add back a little T

    My working were based on 2020FY & 2021HY accounts and the then forecast $57m.

    Would be more than happy to be proved overly negative.
    om mani peme hum

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