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Thread: Nzd.usd

  1. #61
    action-reaction
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    Xerof

    Nice divergence on the ocsillator and that little run
    North appears to just have been a test of polarity reversal.
    (Positive becomes negative).

    The top on NZD has also met the Cup and Handle target.

    arco


  2. #62
    Kanga ru Xerof's Avatar
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    excellent - so are you short now Arco?

  3. #63
    Kanga ru Xerof's Avatar
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    stopped on a bulls**t run on stops above 73 to 7330 - lasted all of 1 minute before back below 73. Will reassess Monday.


    Xerof

  4. #64
    Kanga ru Xerof's Avatar
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    resold at .7319, will add at .7335, .7355 and S/L on the lot above .7380

  5. #65
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    interesting to see what will happen come thurs

    just might join u there xerof...

  6. #66
    action-reaction
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    Good Morning Xerof

    Apologies for the delay in replying which was
    due to being away over the holiday weekend.

    Re NZD. No have not shorted yet, - will revue all
    pairs this morning for opportunities.

    GBP short position was left on over the w/e with
    wide stop and is +45 currently.

    arco



  7. #67
    Kanga ru Xerof's Avatar
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    Got another unit of Kiwi out at .7335 Monday night (lucky I suspect, as was high bid on Saxo platform)

    Need a break below 7260 to add confidence - hearing stops under 7260[][], but also buy stops above 7340[xx(][xx(]

    Xerof

  8. #68
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    Xerof

    All appears to be going well now.......are
    you planning to hold these for the long term?

    arco




  9. #69
    Kanga ru Xerof's Avatar
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    If it can get through tomorrows event risk without too much of a bounce, will be trying to extract maximum value from this trade.

    Would like to see AUD clearly break below 7770 as a backup to a general commodity bloc move. USD/CAD is looking supportive already, and a clear break below 7180 will confirm target of circa 67 cents IMO

    Also shorted AUD at 7793 (missed your ideal resistance)

    But early days...

    cheers

    Xerof

  10. #70
    Kanga ru Xerof's Avatar
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    RBNZ delivered slightly more hawkish statement than expected, but bounce so far has been limited to the 7245 resistance area.

    IMO a break above resistance at 7250 would lead to retest of last weeks highs, so have lowered stop on shorts to .7260 for today.

    Elsewhere the USD is looking quite bid - note reaction to poor durable goods data saw kneejerk selloff, followed quickly by a turnaround, back to predata levels.

    So Kiwi should take next direction from USD/majors from here, once the MPS impact moves into the background.

    If we see another retest of the rising trendline off 7015 (currently at last nights low of 7195), then it should break through for a decent downside run

    Xerof

  11. #71
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    Morning Xerof

    7202 was an expected support level which
    still needs to be broken.

    Oscillator still above the zero.

    Looking for circa 7263 to contain any upward move.

    arco




  12. #72
    Kanga ru Xerof's Avatar
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    Arco, have deferred to your excellent fine tuning skills and adjusted stop to 7265 !!

    cheers

    Xerof

  13. #73
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    Xerof

    That figure is a minor Gann calc which fits in
    nicely with the support area from 22nd April.
    (i.e - Support can become resistance).

    Are you managing the trade with a hard stop
    or a mental stop ?

    arco





  14. #74
    Kanga ru Xerof's Avatar
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    Hard stop - discipline - cash management - live to sell again...etc etc

    Xerof

  15. #75
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    ah i c whats wrong with the programe

    on 17th march 2005, the highest price was 1.3480
    thats why my graph looks weird wheneva i use a long term graph..

    xerof/acro, does ur NZD/USD chart also have that price on 17th march?!
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