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Thread: AUD.USD

  1. #221
    Member Pumice's Avatar
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    Thanks DA, the NAV is certainly looking a lot healthier these days.
    Oddly my TRY/JPY trade is doing really well, I thought this would have pulled back a lot stronger than it has.
    Are you trading anything else other than the Aussie?

  2. #222
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    I have my usual aud usd x 2 short , nzd usd short , short light crude , short gold , long usd

    If you are trading it closely i will post a chart on the aud direction, if it drops straight to 10450 then

    care must be exercised as price may bounce , if it breaks 10375 then top is confirmed and i will

    short the bejesus out of the aud.

  3. #223
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    A bit of a rally going on at the moment.
    seems a bit odd, given the Greek debt swap vote is coming up in the next 24 hours.

    A chart would be appreciated DA.

  4. #224
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    hey pumice, i am still expecting a significant downtrend in the aud to take the currency to below 90 against the usd in the medium term.

    fundamentals will eventually weigh against the aud , this week we have had a benign RBA, GDP about half of expectations, pretty poor employment data ,weakening china GDP etc

    yet the aud holds up but this highlights only that the aud is fuelled by risk appetite rather than than economic realities but for how long.

    there is a possibilty the top is in and we would have to see 1.0380 taken out to confirm this, i am currently holding my double short position from 1.0720 and 10750 stop at 1.0710 with target at 1.0460 .

    interesting divergence on friday between the usd and equity market

    i have taken a heavy short on SP500 at close on friday as the risk reward on this trade is fantastic.

    should be an interesting week.

    still my preferred count is for a final run to 1.10 but positioned to be wrong if the top is already in.


  5. #225
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    Quote Originally Posted by dumbass View Post
    I have my usual aud usd x 2 short , nzd usd short , short light crude , short gold , long usd

    If you are trading it closely i will post a chart on the aud direction, if it drops straight to 10450 then

    care must be exercised as price may bounce , if it breaks 10375 then top is confirmed and i will

    short the bejesus out of the aud.
    All targets fired for bumper pips on the above trades,the only one i got stopped on was a short on sp500 but the risk was very low.

    i would expect some consolidation from this level on the aud , if it is to rally it will be from around this level, will explore from the long side if price bottoms in the next few days.

  6. #226
    Member Pumice's Avatar
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    Playing out nicely DA.
    Hopefully this is the start of a long term downtrend in the AUD and NZD.

  7. #227
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    it's on the way to 0.90

  8. #228
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    According to following links AUD can go down further. Suddenly some analysts including bank economists also have become bearish on AUD. AUD dollar has entered a multi-year bear cycle and the dollar(USD) has entered a multi-year bull cycle. However there can be dead cat bounce for AUD time to time. Intermediate trend for AUD is down now.

    http://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/no-respite-for-the-aussie-dollar-20130614-2o7uw.html

    No respite for the Aussie dollar

    http://www.thebull.com.au/premium/a/...ie-dollar.html

    4 Reasons To Bet On A Lower Aussie Dollar

    http://www.businessspectator.com.au/...94c-late-trade

    Australian dollar slides under US94c in late trade

    My ideas are not a recommendation to either buy or sell any security orcurrency. Please do your own research prior to making any investment decisions.Please note that I do not endorse or take responsibility for material in theabove hyper-linked sites.

  9. #229
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    http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013...r-33-month-low

    Australian dollar hits 33-month low


    The local currency is being sold heavily as the US central bank prepares to wind down its stimulus program

  10. #230
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    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/busi...-1226673721252

    Australian dollar hits Sept 2010 low on talk of more RBA rate cuts

  11. #231
    Senior Member Valuegrowth's Avatar
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    I consider both NZD and AUD two of the extremely overvalue currencies in the world. Still I maintain my bearish on these two currencies. On the other hand USD is undervalued now. They may depreciate at least 40% against USD during next two years.

    Please see following links on AUD.

    http://www.bloomberg.com/video/look-...1efq_IVYQ.html

    Look to `Short' Aussie for 2014: FXPrimus

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-1...fed-taper.html

    Aussie Dollar Set for Biggest Yearly Drop Since ’08 on Fed Taper

    http://www.bloomberg.com/video/austr...iMYf19Osg.html

    Australian Dollar Long-Term Trend Clearly Downwards

    My ideas are not a recommendation to either buy or sell any security, commodity or currency. Please do your own research prior to making any investment decisions. Please note that I do not endorse or take responsibility for material in the above hyper-linked sites.

  12. #232
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    http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-n...9-6b78f5f22791

    Plenty of risk for AUD/USD today - Westpac


  13. #233
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    I think AUD could go below 60 cents.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-09-1...-cents/5756598

    Australian dollar could fall to 73 US cents: analysts

    My ideas are not a recommendation to either buy or sell any security, commodity or currency. Please do your own research prior to making any investment decisions. Please note that I do not endorse or take responsibility for material in the above hyper-linked site.

  14. #234
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    http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2015/0...rs-huge-level/

    Australian dollar slumps in late trading, nears huge level
    Last edited by Valuegrowth; 03-01-2015 at 02:53 PM.

  15. #235
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    http://www.smh.com.au/business/marke...16-12rryo.html

    Australian dollar could fall through US70: Blackrock


  16. #236
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    Quote Originally Posted by MARKETWINNER View Post
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/marke...16-12rryo.html

    Australian dollar could fall through US70: Blackrock
    70c by mid year! wow.
    I hope no traders out there got killed by the CHF cap being removed.
    I see the NZ broker Global Brokers NZ Ltd, which operates excel markets has gone under amongst a few other international brokers.

  17. #237
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    http://www.theguardian.com/business/...mic-turbulence

    Australiandollar falls to new six-year low amid economic turbulence


  18. #238
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    http://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2016...g-to-40-cents/

    BT: Australian dollar going to 40 cents

  19. #239
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    https://www.fxstreet.com/news/aud-us...b-201611111049

    AUD/USD bearish below 0.7550 – UOB

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