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29-09-2021, 08:48 AM
#1781
Originally Posted by Shareguy
Man, that's some upgrade..
"Rakon now expects to achieve Underlying EBITDA in the range of $39 million-$44 million in FY2022. This is higher than the guidance provided on 1 April 2021 of $27 million-$32 million"
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29-09-2021, 08:56 AM
#1782
Yes it’s only the start. $2 here we come.
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29-09-2021, 09:28 AM
#1783
Junior Member
Originally Posted by sb9
Man, that's some upgrade..
"Rakon now expects to achieve Underlying EBITDA in the range of $39 million-$44 million in FY2022. This is higher than the guidance provided on 1 April 2021 of $27 million-$32 million"
This is remarkable. FY21 EBITDA of $23.5m delivered NPAT of $9.6m - 41% margin. Assuming a similar margin, the mid-point of the upgraded guidance would deliver NPAT of $17m, a current forward P/e of just 15
If we assume the 'IDA' of EBITDA remains the same as last year FY22 NPAT would be $22m, a forward P/e of just 11.
a P/e of 25 would give $2.50, easily achievable for a company that grew EBITDA 59% last year and forecasting 75% growth this year. The growth is backed by substantial tailwinds in multiple sectors they sell products into with Space/satellite and communications/5G receiving huge investment
Last edited by Neophyte; 29-09-2021 at 07:04 PM.
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29-09-2021, 10:33 AM
#1784
Member
Yes, large EBITDA upgrade....bodes well for them after a significant period of under-achievement! Transforming what was a reasonable loss for me last year to a good gain now at today's prices.
Discl: long term holder (over a decade!)
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29-09-2021, 11:22 AM
#1785
Originally Posted by Mel
Yes, large EBITDA upgrade....bodes well for them after a significant period of under-achievement! Transforming what was a reasonable loss for me last year to a good gain now at today's prices.
Discl: long term holder (over a decade!)
Wow a decade. You definitely deserve this run up in the SP. Very patient holder
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29-09-2021, 11:55 AM
#1786
Impressive!
Good to see international reporting of a shortage of microchips benefitting a local company!
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29-09-2021, 12:06 PM
#1787
Originally Posted by Mel
Yes, large EBITDA upgrade....bodes well for them after a significant period of under-achievement! Transforming what was a reasonable loss for me last year to a good gain now at today's prices.
Discl: long term holder (over a decade!)
with decade long shareholdings at least you shouldn't have an argument with the taxman on if you are a capital account or revenue account holder. Good on you.
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29-09-2021, 01:24 PM
#1788
Glad that I was reading the notice earlier as otherwise my sell order on half of my holding sitting there for more than a week now would have been taken at just 125. Just the right time to think about this Lazarus of stock that has finally risen
disc: holder since IPO
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29-09-2021, 01:45 PM
#1789
Originally Posted by RGR367
Glad that I was reading the notice earlier as otherwise my sell order on half of my holding sitting there for more than a week now would have been taken at just 125. Just the right time to think about this Lazarus of stock that has finally risen
disc: holder since IPO
Wow! Holding since IPO?! Wasn't the SP over $5 at some stage?
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29-09-2021, 02:22 PM
#1790
Originally Posted by Neophyte
This is remarkable. FY21 EBITDA of $23.5m delivered NPAT of $9.6m - 41% margin. Assuming a similar margin, the mid-point of the upgraded guidance would deliver NPAT of $17m, a current forward P/e of just 13
If we assume the 'IDA' of EBITDA remains the same as last year FY22 NPAT would be $22m, a forward P/e of just 10.
a P/e of 25 would give $2.50, easily achievable for a company that grew EBITDA 59% last year and forecasting 75% growth this year. The growth is backed by substantial tailwinds in multiple sectors they sell products into with Space/satellite and communications/5G receiving huge investment
Nicely summed up. Was hoping that it'll pull back this arvo, so that I could another top up opportunity, but so far seem to be holding strong in an otherwise weak market overall.
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