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Thread: EUR.USD

  1. #261
    Senior Member slam's Avatar
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    Well that just ruined my day[B)]
    Hope no one got burnt too much

    Miner may have made the best call a few days ago

    "Touch 219ish first maybe?."

  2. #262
    Legend peat's Avatar
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    yes I went home at lunch and reduced long exposure at 1.2270 but still



    account wont last too much longer of this....
    perhaps forex isnt for me , even with Max's assistance







  3. #263
    Legend peat's Avatar
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    quote:Originally posted by arco


    A very sudden and unexpected move south....whats
    happened in Europe?

    EUR/JPY Japan Trust Bank Sales Seen Catalyst For EUR/USD Break

    IFR newswire

  4. #264
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    Peat did you ever try doing your own thing?(talked about it a while ago) as if you want a job done properly do it yourself etc,no one is going to make money for you.

    Please don't take the above the wrong way as last thing am trying to do is rub your loss in.

    Tea leafs have said south for days,but then I only read ST now and then so clear mind etc,hope it turns north for you.

    First thought usd/chf test 748ish and as this goes opp way test around 150ish?,or I just made the worst call in FX history[:0][B)].

    Cheers
    Miner

  5. #265
    action-reaction arco's Avatar
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    Hi Peat

    Yes, its not an easy business.

    If this is any help -

    FX trading is not at all like share trading. The
    same techniques do not necessarily work.

    So, one of the 'must do' rules IMO is this....

    Always take some profits off the table when they are there.

    Be happy with any profit, - there is always tommorrow
    to take another trade, and you can always jump back on
    a trend.

    Every one has discovered its possible to go to bed with a very
    large profit on paper only to wake up in the morning
    to find the account decimated.

    Therefore. If you have scored 50-100 pips....sell at least half
    of your position and then put a 50 pips trailing stop
    on the balance. A profit is a profit. You will not go broke
    with this policy.

    arco














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  6. #266
    Legend peat's Avatar
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    thanks guys , and certainly I take nothing the wrong way miner....
    i was trying my own thing for a while but that wasnt working either so hence the subscription thing with TCL

    arco truth be told there have not been any 50 pip positives for a while now.... so havent really had that luxury... last night was getting close for a while... but confidence that it had turned kept me in.

    oh well its only money....
    I dedicated this account to giving it a good shot and I have a few more trades left before I blow.

    Was reading aboout the GANN charts and Three Point Break charts last nite ..... arco do use those ?





  7. #267
    action-reaction arco's Avatar
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    Peat

    Three Point Break charts are I think similar to Renko,
    Kagi, P@F. I'm not sure if they work well on FX. It
    would be slow going.

    The most simple things that work well on FX are

    Candlestick Patterns - see Nisons first book, or
    check out on the web - heaps of info.
    You will be able make money using just the main
    few patterns.


    Patterns like Gartley/Butterfly (see books by Pesavento)
    are good but you really need to know Fibonacci, EW, etc
    to use them well. A little Gann can also help but
    its very complicated.

    Suggest you try the Candles first, and shoot for say
    20 pips initially. Then increase this gradually as
    your confidence grows. Experiment on a demo account.
    Use EOD if possible, but you can watch 4 hour charts
    for spotting patterns and gaining knowledge.

    Let me know if I can help you further.

    arco





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  8. #268
    Legend peat's Avatar
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    yeh i have read about candlesticks of course
    i mean I have done a lot of work on this over the year I been at it now..... but hmmm maybe not the right mental attitude
    but yeh going back to demo is a good suggestion

    tho I know what will happen - I will get rich with play money hahah

  9. #269
    action-reaction arco's Avatar
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    Peat

    The Gann 2207 level remains possible support for the
    short term with resistance above at Gann 2695.

    Todays candle at the moment could be forming a
    Hammer/Harami on the up-trend line which if
    followed by a long green candle tomorrow may
    create a Morning Star Pattern (Bullish)

    In this case you could get out unscathed, but
    you may want to consider bailing out if that
    Gann support fails decisively.

    I also have Gartley projections that target the high
    area, although these signals are not by any means
    guarantees of a north bound passage.

    arco











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  10. #270
    Legend peat's Avatar
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    thanks arco
    I think I will put a stops in at graduated levels starting below 1.2190

    <my policy of variable entry/exits is an attempt to mitigate my poor timing in general>

    Its hard for me to believe that a reversal wont take place soon... so many down days consecutively isnt that common

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