https://www.afr.com/companies/media-...0210923-p58u01
You would not be completely insane to think that they might at least test the waters with Sky.
Foxtel probably worth 6-7x Sky TV given the size of the market they operate in (and therefore bigger upside potential). But then they have $650M in debt whereas Sky has a clean balance sheet.
So probably not quite as straight forward as saying each company is valued at 'x' times EBITDA...but not too much more complicated than that.
I think it would be better than doing a deal with NZME.
Both Sky and Foxtel have avoided becoming fully fledged telcos - they each seem to have wholesale broadband deals. So their thinking around the "do we need to become a telco?" question is probably aligned.
The new company would have a potential audience of 30M across Australia and NZ, both growing their streaming audience while still serving up content via satellite distribution. The combined entity would have a much stronger negotiating hand with rights owners, and it would also mean that losing a contract (like NZR) would be less of a big deal. They would just take the $80M/year savings and invest in other content or growth opportunities without anybody expecting the loss of a single contract to mean the end of the business.
Foxtel have launched a sexy new STB and we are going to do the same within the next few months.
Of all the possibilities that have been put out there by myself and others, the most obvious one (Foxtel) has been staring at us the whole time.
So it will be interesting to see what happens. Unless and until then, the most pressing need for Sky is to wrap up the property sale and lock in a good price for the campus.
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