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  1. #4651
    An Awesome Cool Cat winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    Is this statement based on the SP cracking the MA30 and staying above that line for already one full day without material volume?

    I remember times when a confirmed rise over the MA100 was considered an early indicator for a trend change, but the MA30? and without any supporting fundamental changes?

    Sure - trends can change anytime, but calling this at this moment "past bottom" appears to be a brave call to me ...

    As baa_baa said earlier - TA is discretionary, one can use it rigidly or ignore it when it suits. IMHO the former is a more reliable approach.

    Whatever - the trend change happened with that capitulation a week or so ago when several punters finally lost faith


    Patently clear even to a blind punter we'll never see 214 again .....and even from today its onwards and upwards

    That lack of 'material volume' a problem for the keen buyers - don't want to push the price up too fast - but soon the elastic will break

    Love times of capitulation - always a good time buying under 220
    “Imagination is more important than knowledge.”

  2. #4652
    Gnawing on Bones Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    Is this statement based on the SP cracking the MA30 and staying above that line for already one full day without material volume?

    I remember times when a confirmed rise over the MA100 was considered an early indicator for a trend change, but the MA30? and without any supporting fundamental changes?

    Sure - trends can change anytime, but calling this at this moment "past bottom" appears to be a brave call to me ...
    It looked like it was going to break the 30 day MA and subsequently has. Just a small very low conviction "punt"
    Buying proper volume against the technical's is something I do very rarely and only if I have 100% confidence in the management and board and the FA case supporting the buy is compelling (AIR)
    No butts, hold no mutts, (unless they're the furry variety).

  3. #4653
    Reincarnated Panthera Snow Leopard's Avatar
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    Life has hit rock bottom for me in that I am sitting drinking coffee in a *STARBUCKS*. But I have an hour to wait for the ferry, the backpacks are heavy and the armchairs are confortable.

    Many on this forum, myself included, quote some TA gibberish when it supports our fundamental or emotional or irrational beliefs about our company.

    So, you think it is worth-buying? You use the 37 minute & 40 second average or some bell-curve pattern.

    Don't like it? Then either it is not above the 200 day, or no golden cross, or the volume is not quite good enough in the latter part of the afternoon.

    Now my totally unbiased software says we passed from the red-zone (definitely avoid) to the orange-zone (down trend break) yesterday.

    But it is just giving meaning to the randomness of share prices.


    Disc: TRA is the smallest (of 10) holdings in my NZX buy, hold & pray it goes up lomg term portfolio.
    om mani peme hum

  4. #4654
    An Awesome Cool Cat winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snow Leopard View Post
    Life has hit rock bottom for me in that I am sitting drinking coffee in a *STARBUCKS*. But I have an hour to wait for the ferry, the backpacks are heavy and the armchairs are confortable.

    Many on this forum, myself included, quote some TA gibberish when it supports our fundamental or emotional or irrational beliefs about our company.

    So, you think it is worth-buying? You use the 37 minute & 40 second average or some bell-curve pattern.

    Don't like it? Then either it is not above the 200 day, or no golden cross, or the volume is not quite good enough in the latter part of the afternoon.

    Now my totally unbiased software says we passed from the red-zone (definitely avoid) to the orange-zone (down trend break) yesterday.

    But it is just giving meaning to the randomness of share prices.


    Disc: TRA is the smallest (of 10) holdings in my NZX buy, hold & pray it goes up lomg term portfolio.
    I love your bell curve patterns mate ....sure it will play out with Turners
    “Imagination is more important than knowledge.”

  5. #4655
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snow Leopard View Post
    Life has hit rock bottom for me...
    Many on this forum, myself included, quote some TA gibberish when it supports our fundamental or emotional or irrational beliefs about our company.

    So, you think it is worth-buying? You use the 37 minute & 40 second average or some bell-curve pattern.


    Disc: TRA is the smallest (of 10) holdings in my NZX buy, hold & pray it goes up lomg term portfolio.
    There is always someone worse off than you. At least you didn't have to put one of your dogs to sleep today to stop his pain from cancer.
    Also my smallest holding on the NZX and bought back in on not much more than a wing and a prayer...hoping it might cover some of my vet bills.
    Last edited by Beagle; 13-03-2019 at 02:06 PM.
    No butts, hold no mutts, (unless they're the furry variety).

  6. #4656
    An Awesome Cool Cat winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    There is always someone worse off than you. At least you didn't have to put one of your dogs to sleep today to stop his pain from cancer.
    Also my smallest holding on the NZX and bought back in on not much more than a wing and a prayer...hoping it might cover some of my vet bills.
    Hey that’s very sad about the dog. My condolences

    Take care
    “Imagination is more important than knowledge.”

  7. #4657
    Gnawing on Bones Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Hey that’s very sad about the dog. My condolences

    Take care
    Thanks mate, much appreciated. I know you lost two pets late last year...its a pretty tough gig when the time comes isn't it !
    No butts, hold no mutts, (unless they're the furry variety).

  8. #4658
    Reincarnated Panthera Snow Leopard's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    There is always someone worse off than you. At least you didn't have to put one of your dogs to sleep today to stop his pain from cancer.
    Also my smallest holding on the NZX and bought back in on not much more than a wing and a prayer...hoping it might cover some of my vet bills.
    You have my deepest sympathy.
    Parted company with many a friend over the years, but still have their paw-prints on my heart.

    Not particularly a dog person myself but a few days ago we were adopted by one as we went for our morning walk. Found ourselves worrying whether he was going to get in physical strife with the monkey troops and other dogs but it was all teeth bareing and barking from a safe distance, luckily.
    om mani peme hum

  9. #4659
    Aspiring to be an Awesome Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    There is always someone worse off than you. At least you didn't have to put one of your dogs to sleep today to stop his pain from cancer.
    Also my smallest holding on the NZX and bought back in on not much more than a wing and a prayer...hoping it might cover some of my vet bills.
    Aww sorry to hear that Mr Beagle. My sympathy to you and your family. Its a tuff call to have to make but its an act of love and kindness to end their suffering. Treasure your happy memories. Take care

  10. #4660
    Gnawing on Bones Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snow Leopard View Post
    You have my deepest sympathy.
    Parted company with many a friend over the years, but still have their paw-prints on my heart.

    Not particularly a dog person myself but a few days ago we were adopted by one as we went for our morning walk. Found ourselves worrying whether he was going to get in physical strife with the monkey troops and other dogs but it was all teeth bareing and barking from a safe distance, luckily.
    Much like on this forum sometimes lol
    Quote Originally Posted by RupertBear View Post
    Aww sorry to hear that Mr Beagle. My sympathy to you and your family. Its a tuff call to have to make but its an act of love and kindness to end their suffering. Treasure your happy memories. Take care
    Thanks guys. We still have one remaining Sydney Silky Terrier from the 3 boys we bought nearly 13 years ago. Basil is happy to pull triple duties on the patting and cuddling stakes as he's always been the most cuddly of the 3 dogs by miles. I know you're not supposed to play favourites but I count it a blessing the one I feel the very closest bond with is still with us. Might get a Beagle puppy again in due course when the time is right
    Next divvy from TRA will come in handy...hope it arrives before my next credit card bill containing all the vet bills does !
    Last edited by Beagle; 13-03-2019 at 03:06 PM.
    No butts, hold no mutts, (unless they're the furry variety).

  11. #4661
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    There is always someone worse off than you. At least you didn't have to put one of your dogs to sleep today to stop his pain from cancer.
    Also my smallest holding on the NZX and bought back in on not much more than a wing and a prayer...hoping it might cover some of my vet bills.
    Sorry to hear .Sad day for you and your wife.
    Trust today's TRA posts have brought a smile to your face.
    Bell Curves,
    Bottom Pickers' champion is Couta1..
    37 sec moving average cossing the 40 minute one.
    What next?
    Last edited by percy; 13-03-2019 at 03:07 PM.

  12. #4662
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    Quote Originally Posted by percy View Post
    Sorry to hear .Sad day for you and your wife.
    Trust today's TRA posts have brought a smile to your face.
    Bell Curves,
    Bottom Pickers' champion is Couta1..
    37 sec moving average cossing the 40 minute one.
    What next?
    Thanks Percy. $2.50 ?
    No butts, hold no mutts, (unless they're the furry variety).

  13. #4663
    percy
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    Best to check with Couta1.............................,Well he has been spot on of late with his calls.

  14. #4664
    Gnawing on Bones Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by percy View Post
    Best to check with Couta1.............................,Well he has been spot on of late with his calls.
    Wish I could...he's on his way to South Africa for a few weeks, probably there now. Will email him this evening and get his new target price but I think he'll probably stick with his $3.80 relativity theory !
    No butts, hold no mutts, (unless they're the furry variety).

  15. #4665
    percy
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    I think he is right.
    May take a year or two.

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