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  1. #3791
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    At least it didn’t go below 243 today ...that’s a positive sign
    Maybe.
    Maybe not.

  2. #3792
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by percy View Post
    Turners have stated they are sourcing more cars within NZ.
    Maybe that's why there are fewer imports.?
    could be or could be all importers have reduced imports to run down current stock levels?
    one step ahead of the herd

  3. #3793
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    could be or could be all importers have reduced imports to run down current stock levels?
    Could be.......................
    But I found it interesting that Turners stated they were sourcing more cars from within NZ.
    Last edited by percy; 05-12-2018 at 06:07 PM.

  4. #3794
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    At least it didn’t go below 243 today ...that’s a positive sign
    No SSH notices from managed funds reducing their holdings either.

  5. #3795
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by alex f View Post
    No SSH notices from managed funds reducing their holdings either.
    Looks like Milford and Salt remain in love .....and believers
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  6. #3796
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    The last set of accounts for Dorchester before they became a car company (did have 20% of Turners at the time) showed finance Receivables of $38m with debt of only $18m

    Numbers are much higher these days but debt is higher than Finance Receivables ....increasing leverage to the limit?
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  7. #3797
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Looks like Milford and Salt remain in love .....and believers
    As do I, directors and management.

    ps.Next full moon is on the 23rd December for those who can not decide if it is true love or not.
    Be a nice Christmas for them if they were in love.[again]
    Peace on earth ,goodness and kindness to fellow posters etc...
    Last edited by percy; 05-12-2018 at 08:05 PM.

  8. #3798
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    The last set of accounts for Dorchester before they became a car company (did have 20% of Turners at the time) showed finance Receivables of $38m with debt of only $18m

    Numbers are much higher these days but debt is higher than Finance Receivables ....increasing leverage to the limit?
    Did it ever cross your mind that their other (not finance) business might need to take on some debt as well (as any other business)? Their car dealer business might not finance all the stock with cash at hand (which would be a quite crazy), but with credit ... and even their "real estate business" might need some loans to buy another piece of free hold land in good position which they sell off after some years with a good gain.

    As long as their liabilities are covered by the value of their receivables plus the value of their stock plus the value of their property plus a sensible safety margin (currently still more than 30%) would I not see where the issue is ... obviously only, as long as stock valuations and property valuations make sense.
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  9. #3799
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    Did it ever cross your mind that their other (not finance) business might need to take on some debt as well (as any other business)? Their car dealer business might not finance all the stock with cash at hand (which would be a quite crazy), but with credit ... and even their "real estate business" might need some loans to buy another piece of free hold land in good position which they sell off after some years with a good gain.

    As long as their liabilities are covered by the value of their receivables plus the value of their stock plus the value of their property plus a sensible safety margin (currently still more than 30%) would I not see where the issue is ... obviously only, as long as stock valuations and property valuations make sense.
    Agree ...the car business needs financing as well. It never ‘crossed by mind’ it didn’t.

    that bit of yours in red - have you actually done that calculation?
    Last edited by winner69; 06-12-2018 at 08:19 AM.
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  10. #3800
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Agree ...the car business needs financing as well. It never ‘crossed by mind’ it didn’t.

    that bit of yours in red - have you actually done that calculation?
    Don't think they published yet their full HY report, but if you look at the balance sheet in the HY presentation:

    total Assets $658 m (admittedly including $171 m "intangibles" which no question do have value, but its hard to say how much)

    total Liabilities $441 m

    That's a "safety buffer" of at best $217 m (33%) or at worst (intangibles worthless - unlikely) $46 m (7%).

    OK - worst case admittedly does not look that flash (though much better than with many other companies I can think of), but honestly - I don't think that Turners intangibles are that excessively overvalued ...
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

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