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  1. #6421
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    First half npbt 18m full year projection 31m therefore approx 13m for 2nd half... i would have thought that summer months would be far more profitable for them

  2. #6422
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    Top end of year end guidance at $31m before tax, assuming full tax is paid at 28% = $22.32m = 26 cps. Forward PE at $2.82 = 10.8
    SO around $3 for a no growth company is about right

    NPBT last 4 years - 31.1m / 29.0m / 29.1m /say 30.0m in F21 (Turners preferred profit figure)

    Seems to me that TRA is a stock just for the dividend (even more so if one buys at the lows of the cycle) and trading the inevitable swings in the share price according to market sentiment of the day

    What gets me is that the hype over the last few years never seems to impact the bottome line -- lots of hype --> flat bottome line
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  3. #6423
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    Quote Originally Posted by Habits View Post
    First half npbt 18m full year projection 31m therefore approx 13m for 2nd half... i would have thought that summer months would be far more profitable for them

    That says H2 NPBT will be about $12.3m (at $31.0m) which is 14% DOWN on pcp

    Doesn't seem to make sense

    Think I have used the correct NPBT numbers - they have so many variants eh
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  4. #6424
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    That says H2 NPBT will be about $12.3m (at $31.0m) which is 14% DOWN on pcp

    Doesn't seem to make sense

    Think I have used the correct NPBT numbers - they have so many variants eh
    Don't overanalyse winner, its all about yield for a foreseeable future
    Last edited by sb9; 25-11-2020 at 10:31 AM.

  5. #6425
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    Quote Originally Posted by sb9 View Post
    Don't overanalyse winner, its all bout yield for a foreseeable future

    Yep I know

    Want a 5% gross yield ...punters could pay close to 5 bucks for that
    Last edited by winner69; 25-11-2020 at 10:49 AM.

  6. #6426
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Yep I know

    A 5% gross yield ...punters could pay close to 5 bucks for that
    Guidance is 17c dividend - so 6% gross yield...?

  7. #6427
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    Webinar done and dusted via ZOOM. Punters seem very happy overall as not many questions except from one guy who had bunch of questions, not difficult ones.

  8. #6428
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    17 cps fully imputed = 17 / 0.72 =23.61 cps gross. 23.61 / 290 = 8.1% Gross Yield

    Disc: I topped up a few more this morning. I am very pleased to see them stripping $4m+ from overhead costs. Augers extremely well for the future and I think its highly likely that yield is sustainable going forward.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  9. #6429
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    17 cps fully imputed = 17 / 0.72 =23.61 cps gross. 23.61 / 290 = 8.1% Gross Yield

    Disc: I topped up a few more this morning. I am very pleased to see them stripping $4m+ from overhead costs. Augers extremely well for the future and I think its highly likely that yield is sustainable going forward.
    Not just sustainable .....but as the slide in their presentation shows A GROWING DIVIDEND
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    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  10. #6430
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    Yes I think that's fair comment. Stripping $4m+ from overhead from FY22 onwards along with the trading outlook provides solid encouragement for profit growth in FY22 and beyond.
    I see they are digitizing their loan application processes. I haven't had time to read the whole presentation yet. Have they mentioned the fintech buzzword in there somewhere
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

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