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  1. #2211
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeremyALD View Post
    Less than two years ago they posted a profit of 13.6m so it wasn't that long ago
    and they still paid 30 cps in dividends that year fully imputed = gross 41.67 cps.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.”
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  2. #2212
    Dilettante
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    and they still paid 30 cps in dividends that year fully imputed = gross 41.67 cps.
    And that was my point. Even in the "bad years", they still manage to pay a decent dividend because they have no debt and turnover stock very quickly. I see no reason to sell this reliable dividend payer.

  3. #2213
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    Quote Originally Posted by iceman View Post
    And that was my point. Even in the "bad years", they still manage to pay a decent dividend
    which is a great if you can hold, but bad if you need your capital back in that particular year

  4. #2214
    Legend peat's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Filthy View Post
    which is a great if you can hold, but bad if you need your capital back in that particular year
    in which case you're not obeying the 5-10 year time frame principle for equity investments.
    For clarity, nothing I say is advice....

  5. #2215
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by peat View Post
    in which case you're not obeying the 5-10 year time frame principle for equity investments.
    5 to 10 year time frames quite a spread

    HLG profits and share price seem to peak every 6 years or so ......and now could be one of those 6 year peaks.

    But this time is different because Glassons are growing so fast and profitably in Australia
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  6. #2216
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    Quote Originally Posted by iceman View Post
    And that was my point. Even in the "bad years", they still manage to pay a decent dividend because they have no debt and turnover stock very quickly. I see no reason to sell this reliable dividend payer.
    Let me be clear that I really like HLG and the management but the scenraio where they go back to $3 or so is quite easy - its called the NZDUSD rate falls to 63-65c over the next 6 months compressing their gross margin and if the economy is a bit softer and the weather doesn't behave how there buyers predict etc then you could have them only making $14-15m npat in FY19.

    I'm not saying thats my base case - I hope the NZD hangs in there near enough to 70c and the Aussie business keeps performing and we might see $6 by Xmas if they update positive at the AGM.

  7. #2217
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    Hey winner, there's about 62k shares wanted at between $4.50-$4.51, you might as well flick yours off now and get a cent or two more than selling under $4.50. PS-Finished up 5c on 100 shares.
    Last edited by couta1; 11-05-2018 at 04:03 PM.

  8. #2218
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    Quote Originally Posted by couta1 View Post
    Fear not young Bear, winner was calling for $6 not long ago and if I remember rightly BP only held very small cup full of these beauties.PS-If you look back you will see I cautioned those keen to pay $5 to get the divvy that they would get some for $4.50 if they waited(Post # 2085)
    I was one of those you cautioned, ended up having a bob each way- bought some at $5.03 and got the divvy, picked up some more at $4.62 a couple of weeks later. I may yet pop back in for another feed if I can find some spare coin, although I am overseas on holiday at the moment so not really paying much attention to the market.

  9. #2219
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    Quote Originally Posted by couta1 View Post
    Hey winner, there's about 62k shares wanted at between $4.50-$4.51, you might as well flick yours off now and get a cent or two more than selling under $4.50. PS-Finished up 5c on 100 shares.
    Quick now winner, that pile has just started to be eaten into. PS-Im happy to take your shares off your hands for $4.40.

  10. #2220
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by couta1 View Post
    Quick now winner, that pile has just started to be eaten into. PS-Im happy to take your shares off your hands for $4.40.
    Is that you down at $3.11 ha ha

    If it gets bad hope there’s heaps of buyers not showing their hand yet else I could be in deep strife or a remaining a reluctant holder
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

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