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  1. #6491
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    Latest GDP report for December quarter is out. Key quote for HLG:

    On an annual basis, retail was up by 2.5 percent

  2. #6492
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by LaserEyeKiwi View Post
    Latest GDP report for December quarter is out. Key quote for HLG:

    On an annual basis, retail was up by 2.5 percent
    Retail down in December quarter though

    Better idea of where things might be heading
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  3. #6493
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    .....Try ordering a new boat, European car or motorhome ......!
    hmmmm, out of touch much?

  4. #6494
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Retail down in December quarter though

    Better idea of where things might be heading
    How do you mean? Retail was up 2.5% year-on-year.

  5. #6495
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by LaserEyeKiwi View Post
    How do you mean? Retail was up 2.5% year-on-year.
    But down on September quarter they said - maybe by as much as 5% from the narrative

    That's how things were going in Dec qtr and a reflection of where things might be heading ....wonder what Mar quarter will produce
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  6. #6496
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    LaserEyeKiwi , it doesn't really matter what GDP data said - HLG have reported double digit sales growth over that period

    Pretty good when GDP declined 2.9 percent over the year to December 2020, the largest annual fall ever in GDP for New Zealand.

    World in turmoil, NZ in recession, OZ not any better .... and GDP down a record amount ....but HLG just keeps pumping
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  7. #6497
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    LaserEyeKiwi , it doesn't really matter what GDP data said - HLG have reported double digit sales growth over that period

    Pretty good when GDP declined 2.9 percent over the year to December 2020, the largest annual fall ever in GDP for New Zealand.

    World in turmoil, NZ in recession, OZ not any better .... and GDP down a record amount ....but HLG just keeps pumping
    Don't forget - markets are forward looking. While HLG might have had amazing growth rates looking back, who will maintain these outstanding growth rates in the future if their customers have in future less money in their pockets (this is what a falling GDP means)?
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  8. #6498
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    deleted the usual duplicate thanks to dismal server performance ...
    Last edited by BlackPeter; 19-03-2021 at 10:38 AM.
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  9. #6499
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    Don't forget - markets are forward looking. While HLG might have had amazing growth rates looking back, who will maintain these outstanding growth rates in the future if their customers have in future less money in their pockets (this is what a falling GDP means)?
    Read somewhere today that the so called wealth effect isn't in play at the moment -- rocketing property prices not really driving consumer spend it said

    And somewhere else more and more cash ending up in the bank -- maybe for a rainy day
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  10. #6500
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    Don't forget - markets are forward looking. While HLG might have had amazing growth rates looking back, who will maintain these outstanding growth rates in the future if their customers have in future less money in their pockets (this is what a falling GDP means)?
    I think you're making FAR too much of a meal of a very modest decline in Dec quarter GDP after a whopping thirteen percent increase the previous quarter.
    All the retailers, Briscoes, Michael Hill, Warehouse and Hallensteins have reported very strong sales in recent stock exchange news releases that encompass the December 2020 quarter and HLG have an excellent multi year track record of strong growth with Glassons Australia. 40 years experience as an accountant tells me the best guide to the future is the recent past.

    Disc: I backed up the truck on WHS this week and already have a boatload of HLG so I am putting my money where my mouth is believe me !
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

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