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  1. #6891
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    The 50MA trending down and 200MA still trending up ........but not too far away from when cross ......DEATH CROSS i'm told when that happens
    If information is power and time is money, then I'm curious why chartists and technical analysts don't use a 48/49 MA and a 190/195 day MA to detect a "death cross" so that they can take action a day or two before everyone else....?

  2. #6892
    On the doghouse
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ferg View Post
    If information is power and time is money, then I'm curious why chartists and technical analysts don't use a 48/49 MA and a 190/195 day MA to detect a "death cross" so that they can take action a day or two before everyone else....?
    Aaaarrrgh you have spilled the beans on my TA technique to get one up on everyone else! Now I will have to use the 46/47 day MA and the 185/189 day MA to stay ahead of the crowd. But this time I will have to make sure this new information doesn't leak out. - Pauses for thought - Aaaaaarrrgh!

    SNOOPY
    Watch out for the most persistent and dangerous version of Covid-19: B.S.24/7

  3. #6893
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snoopy View Post
    Aaaarrrgh you have spilled the beans on my TA technique to get one up on everyone else! Now I will have to use the 46/47 day MA and the 185/189 day MA to stay ahead of the crowd. But this time I will have to make sure this new information doesn't leak out. - Pauses for thought - Aaaaaarrrgh!

    SNOOPY
    Haha, my thoughts exactly....trying to detect a "death cross" becomes a "death spiral" as people use shorter and shorter measures....!
    Last edited by Ferg; 13-07-2021 at 10:12 PM. Reason: typo

  4. #6894
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snoopy View Post
    Aaaarrrgh you have spilled the beans on my TA technique to get one up on everyone else! Now I will have to use the 46/47 day MA and the 185/189 day MA to stay ahead of the crowd. But this time I will have to make sure this new information doesn't leak out. - Pauses for thought - Aaaaaarrrgh!

    SNOOPY

    Ha! Aha! but I have a plan, a plan so cunning you could pin a tail on it and call it a weasel. But I'm not spilling the beans...

  5. #6895
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    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuit View Post
    Ha! Aha! but I have a plan, a plan so cunning you could pin a tail on it and call it a weasel. But I'm not spilling the beans...
    I have a spare truck .. but I'm not spilling any beans too

  6. #6896
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  7. #6897
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    a pounce on ice ... frozen ground .. ball will be deflected ..

  8. #6898
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    what was all that about cunning plans ?

  9. #6899
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ferg View Post
    If information is power and time is money, then I'm curious why chartists and technical analysts don't use a 48/49 MA and a 190/195 day MA to detect a "death cross" so that they can take action a day or two before everyone else....?
    Death cross is a lagging indicator - and I don't think that there are a lot of successful investors waiting for it to make their disinvestment decisions. It is just a nice (well, not so nice) confirmation of what everybody thought is going to happen anyway.

    Lots of investors use lots of different MA (or EMA) combinations and most investors working with TA will look at a lot of other parameters (volume, momentum, RSI, ....) as well. Looking at the MA's - there is no better or worse combination - it is just, they are either slower but have less false signals or they are faster and have more false signals.

    But I am sure you knew that anyway, didn't you?
    Last edited by BlackPeter; 14-07-2021 at 10:14 AM.
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  10. #6900
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ferg View Post
    If information is power and time is money, then I'm curious why chartists and technical analysts don't use a 48/49 MA and a 190/195 day MA to detect a "death cross" so that they can take action a day or two before everyone else....?
    Not on topic for HLG but....
    there is the Tunnel Method , well defined on this link if you are really interested.

    http://dl.fxf1.com/files/books/engli...L%20METHOD.pdf

    Tunnel Method.JPG
    For clarity, nothing I say is advice....

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