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16-04-2022, 10:00 PM
#8281
Interesting post FM, thanks for sharing!
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16-04-2022, 10:05 PM
#8282
Originally Posted by nztx
but is finished inwards product shipped direct from manufacturer into Aussie & NZ separately ?
To ship here then sort out what goes over yonder would be pretty costly & inefficient with
transhipping .. yonks ago shipping across the tasman was pretty expensive & problematic
& cheapest option to send direct to NZ and Aussie from manufacturer. I wouldn't think that situation has changed much
It may be that Aussie markets are able sustain higher achieved markups & GP than NZ, which
if the case means only recoveries of some expenditure apportioned between retail divisions on either side
of the ditch are possible ?
Yes finished products no doubt are shipped directly to end location wherever possible (doubling handling is avoided at all costs in apparel) and yes appropriate policies can be implemented for that, as it is the norm. I've seen these sort of policies reviewed by both IRD, ATO, and other jurisdictions.
Its hard to know looking from the outside based on segment notes in stat accounts what is happening. I'd wager HLG have a deminimus level transfer pricing going on, with that not captured in COGS but in the implied 'other expenses' within segment stat accounts. But with both companies having nearly the same PBT % margins, I don't think HLG is charging Glassons Pty enough for the services rendered. And whatever the case actually is (as I am just speculating based off some segment notes), if HLG really were content to just be a 'steady as she goes divy stock' for kiwis, they should centralise more staff in NZ from AU, charge for it, and maximise the level of IC's available to new zealand shareholders.
But I prefer the focused V2 'go hard AU' gameplan as a way to maximising total shareholder returns even if dividend yields are diminished for NZ shareholders. I follow a number of aussie comps that trade in very similar segments to glassons I'll post about later. Some of which may interest you in your own right, depending on your appetite for apparel/retail in current environment.
Last edited by Muse; 16-04-2022 at 10:21 PM.
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17-04-2022, 11:22 AM
#8283
Love the fine logistic talk.
Yet we must remember where the stock came for the online sales when the Aussie stores were closed because of Covid.
Yes you have guessed correctly....From the closed stores...
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17-04-2022, 02:55 PM
#8284
Although not pertinent to public companies recent polling of SME showing now confidence is low might give a hint to how the wider consuming public is also thinking.
SME confidence down sharply as outlined in a stuff article in its business section.
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18-04-2022, 11:31 AM
#8285
Great post FM and I agree 100% with your suggestion of faster store rollout of Glassons Au but HLG is a very traditional company, as you would expect being N.Z's oldest listed company, and run very conservatively.
Its hard to estimate to what extent future dividends will be imputed because to do that you need to make a call on N.Z profitability of Hallensteins and Glassons N.Z. v the group but the trend down is clear and the most recent level of imputation, (about 47%) exceeded the relative percentage of N.Z. store profitability so they used up some existing ICA account credits with that most recent dividend and its safe to say they imputed it as much as possible this time. That said N.Z. store profitability might have reached a cyclical low in the most recent half so maybe somewhere between a 25-40% level of imputation is a reasonable estimate of what's possible going forward.
What's crystal clear is that the good old days of full imputation credits are nothing but a fond memory now.
Last edited by Beagle; 18-04-2022 at 11:35 AM.
Ecclesiastes 11:2: Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine
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19-04-2022, 12:40 PM
#8286
Hallensteins CEO given the boot. Performance not good enough. (Says it in more politically correct words than that but that's the gist of it I reckon).
Possibly, in my opinion anyway, a good example of the "Peter Principle" promoting someone and keeping promoting them until they get to a position where they're not really up to the task. https://www.nzx.com/announcements/390714
Last edited by Beagle; 19-04-2022 at 12:46 PM.
Ecclesiastes 11:2: Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine
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19-04-2022, 12:59 PM
#8287
Originally Posted by Beagle
Hallensteins CEO given the boot. Performance not good enough. (Says it in more politically correct words than that but that's the gist of it I reckon).
Possibly, in my opinion anyway, a good example of the "Peter Principle" promoting someone and keeping promoting them until they get to a position where they're not really up to the task. https://www.nzx.com/announcements/390714
Said the group needed to reduce head count as wage bill was spiralling out of control
like Oceania lol
Quite a few more heads need to go I reckon
And maybe some stores to close
Grow profits my cutting expenses
.not always sustainable
At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.
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19-04-2022, 03:57 PM
#8288
Originally Posted by Beagle
Hallensteins CEO given the boot. Performance not good enough. (Says it in more politically correct words than that but that's the gist of it I reckon)........
Then again Jason might have thought hard and long about Hallensteins future prospects and decided that it is really a dog without any real prospects of ever being successful ..... no growth over many years and declining profits
Probably thinks putting his 'energy into other opportunities' will be quite rewarding for him..... that's what this 'Great Resignation' trend results in
Last edited by winner69; 19-04-2022 at 03:58 PM.
At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.
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19-04-2022, 04:23 PM
#8289
11 days notice of a CEO resigning. Obviously much more to that story.
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19-04-2022, 04:58 PM
#8290
"Resignations?"
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