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Thread: NZR

  1. #16
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    Hello the Happy Holders!!
    What a glorious day... Currently buyer at $24, and lowest seller is $35. I must say that the buyer wont be getting any of mine either. Wonder how I'll feel when the buyer is bidding $35.

  2. #17
    Member Ripping's Avatar
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    $24 been and gone.. buyers at 24.51, next seller at $26.. dayum.. !!

  3. #18
    Felonius
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    Well done Craic,
    Try widdling on your weeds and you'll have even more money in the bank !
    Felonius

  4. #19
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    On the SCT Chart thread, K1w1 asked about trend following indicators for the current NZR uptrend.
    K1w1, I have plotted the 20% Trailing Stop that you mentioned - you can see that it is way too far from the current price action to be useful. A 10% Trailing Stop is much better, as is a 12x ATR Trailing Stop. Another suitable indicator here would be a 100 day Simple Moving Average (plotted in red). A tentative trendline is plotted in light green. Prices falling below any of these 4 indicators would be logical Sell signals for this stock.
    The situation here is similar to that of MHI. A confirmed trendline (dark green) was rendered obsolete by the acceleration of the stock's uptrend, so a new steeper trendline closer to the price action was required. This new trendline is unconfirmed as yet.
    There are of course plenty of other good trend indicators. The chart shows just a few of the simpler ones.


  5. #20
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    Thanks Phaedrus for explaining . That share price is in such a steep climb that I am getting nosebleeds just looking at the graph!

  6. #21
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    This TV special addresses the state of the oil industry, an incessantly
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    issues facing the oil trade and its diminishing resources.

    http://www.pbs.org/wnet/extremeoil/


  7. #22
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    Phaedrus, I note that you haven't adjusted your chart for the $1.00 (plus full imps) dividend in september. Any reason for this?

    PS: welcome back!
    Death will be reality, Life is just an illusion.

  8. #23
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    Yes. Oversight. NZR looks even better when adjusted. I won't post the chart again though - I don't want to exacerbate K1w1's epistaxis!

  9. #24
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    NZR
    11/10/2004
    GENERAL

    REL: 0828 HRS The New Zealand Refining Company Limited

    GENERAL: NZR: High margins continue for NZRC

    Throughput for the two month period ending August 2004 was 6,561,000 barrels
    (same period 2003 6,660,000). The lower throughput was due to lower volumes
    of blendstock being received and constraints resulting from the introduction
    of new fuel specifications. These constraints will not be overcome until the
    start-up of the Future Fuels Project in 2005.

    The margin achieved for the period of USD6.55 (2003 USD3.05) was the highest
    for the year. Noting that the margin reported for the two month period ending
    June was adversely affected by the shutdown.

    refer www.nzrc.co.nz for the last three years Throughput and Margin
    information

    A copy of this release can be requested from lcr@nzx.com.
    End CA:00106315 For:NZR Type:GENERAL Time:2004-10-11:08:28:26


  10. #25
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    And now the price is 2700cps. How high can you fly?

  11. #26
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    I notice that this recent upward action in the shareprice has happened since I announced that my analysis a week or so ago that I valued NZR around $30[^]

    Should I give up my night job?[?]

    lol
    Death will be reality, Life is just an illusion.

  12. #27
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    Certainl not because you are WAAAAAAAAAAAAy below the mark

  13. #28
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    Yes, I do remember those days gone by when NZR was above $40. Then again, I also remember when NZR was $1.50...
    Death will be reality, Life is just an illusion.

  14. #29
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    Yet again the SP in a NZX company jumps for no good reason. Then a positive announcement is made "to keep the market fully informed". Clearly some were fully informed prior to others.

  15. #30
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    quote:Originally posted by k1w1

    Yet again the SP in a NZX company jumps for no good reason. Then a positive announcement is made "to keep the market fully informed". Clearly some were fully informed prior to others.
    K1w1, my opinion is that there is a good reason why the shareprice jumped. NZR is fundamentally under-valued and has been for quite a while, a fact IMHO which investors are begining to wake-up to given the current econimic climate. The positive announcement released today in not really that unexpected, especially given the previous few production figures released...
    Death will be reality, Life is just an illusion.

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