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  1. #9221
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    The dog is calling it. R.I.P Coutts relativity theorem. In my opinion it will soon be relegated to the dustbin of history as the best sticking theory on price relativity that never had any factual basis behind it. In the long run the market is a weighing machine, not a voting machine and earnings do matter.
    That saying In the long run the market is a weighing machine, not a voting machine may have meant something last century but this century it’s just a hackneyed meaningless saying.

    Insofar as ‘value investing’ goes the last decade has been devastating, and even value investing legends have lost their mojo.

    These days the weighing machine / voting machine thing is only used by those (generally the mature old fashioned types) who want to justify their not so good investments and and use it as an excuse to hang in there in the hope that things will come right ....one day
    Last edited by winner69; 29-10-2020 at 08:58 AM.
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  2. #9222
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Earnings matter mate. The dot.com bubble taught us that 20 years ago. Every generation along come a new bunch of investors who think earnings don't matter...quite a few of them in the US think they have all new and more correct ways to value tech companies now, many of whom weren't around to learn the lesson of 2000 - 2001 when the Nasdaq lost 90% of its value...this new generation...they'll get their lesson soon enough.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  3. #9223
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Back on thread topic then

    Summerset’s earnings are pretty good ....and if you believe that voting / weighing hogwash probably its weight is about right at the moment .....but maybe should watch it’s diet
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  4. #9224
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Yeah I think it is about right at the moment for a booming real estate market. Forward underlying earnings of about 21 seems to be a fair weight to me.
    I don't like paying fair value for stocks though...always hunting for GARP stocks. (Growth at a reasonable price) I suppose you could make the case SUM is a GARP stock though seeing as the average PE of the market must be at least 30.
    Last edited by Beagle; 29-10-2020 at 09:44 AM.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  5. #9225
    Veteran novice
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    Yeah I think it is about right at the moment for a booming real estate market. Forward underlying earnings of about 21 seems to be a fair weight to me.
    I don't like paying fair value for stocks though...always hunting for GARP stocks. (Growth at a reasonable price) I suppose you could make the case SUM is a GARP stock though seeing as the average PE of the market must be at least 30.
    "Growth at a reasonable price" sounds like "paying fair value" - for certain stocks, to me. All in the stock selection?

  6. #9226
    Legend peat's Avatar
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    Cook going

    well done, leaving on a high.
    For clarity, nothing I say is advice....

  7. #9227
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Julian the $2.1 billion man retiring

    Well deserved

    Summerset will still be in good hands though with Scott in control

    http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...826/334521.pdf
    Last edited by winner69; 09-11-2020 at 08:39 AM.
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  8. #9228
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    Quote Originally Posted by peat View Post
    Cook going

    well done, leaving on a high.
    I'm feeling so sad, not.

  9. #9229
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Julian Cook ran a very tight ship when it came to costs that's for sure. I thought he was a likeable rogue and if I become a shareholder again I will miss chatting to him at the annual meeting. I wish him well for the future. If I remember correctly Rob Campbell is not standing for reelection at the next annual meeting so its a real changing of the guard at Summerset.

    Scott strikes me as a very good strategic thinker. I think the company is in good hands with him.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  10. #9230
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by peat View Post
    Cook going

    well done, leaving on a high.
    Leaving on a high ........no, just after the first stage of Summerset becoming great
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

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