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  1. #9521
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    looks like 1100 is holding today

    Down trend still in play ....lower low etc

    break below that and sub 1000 beckons
    We dont know where it will stop ...but we know it will go over this sooner then latter ...so time to step up and start adding to already good position in this great company ...

  2. #9522
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    Looking at the 2012 Annual report they did 6.96 cents per share and last year 238.18 for a CAGR of over 42% for 10 years.

    Using total comprehensive income for both periods comes out to 44%

    Using the 2011 numbers and a 11 year CAGR comes out over 50%

    If these are accurate numbers and comparisons then this is truly world class.

  3. #9523
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SailorRob View Post
    Looking at the 2012 Annual report they did 6.96 cents per share and last year 238.18 for a CAGR of over 42% for 10 years.

    Using total comprehensive income for both periods comes out to 44%

    Using the 2011 numbers and a 11 year CAGR comes out over 50%

    If these are accurate numbers and comparisons then this is truly world class.
    I think the 33% CAGR SUM stated was based on realised underlying earnings but no matter which way you measure earnings there's no question about the class of this company. If you had to pick one company in this sector and were compelled to own it for 10 years choosing this one is an absolute no brainer.

    In the short run however the trend in the whole sector is sharply down and that trend may have quite some time to run. I believe that some people may be switching from Kiwisaver growth funds to conservative or cash funds in these uncertain times and as this one is a favorite with institutions chasing growth you may see them being forced to keep selling this as people keep switching kiwisaver funds.

    Maybe wait until there's a break back up through the 100 day moving average in due course and consider that as a good time to initiate a new position.
    Last edited by Beagle; 08-05-2022 at 09:05 PM.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  4. #9524
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    summerset breaking down from its consolidation which has been in play since feb ..... timber
    one step ahead of the herd

  5. #9525
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    crushed today at the moment
    one step ahead of the herd

  6. #9526
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    only down 2 and something, OCA (pronounced OKA) down 1.9 ..

    crushed would be more like an 8 handle?

    8.50 being MR B target buy price...

    come to think of it where is the Beagle....
    Last edited by Waltzing; 08-06-2022 at 07:36 PM.

  7. #9527
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Should hear what Q2 sales are this week

    Hopefully a number over 300 and a pick up in resale numbers which have been down v pcp the last 3 quarters

    If not just another sign sector under pressure ..... and no doubt the market will send out another message not a good sector to be in for a year or so
    Last edited by winner69; 04-07-2022 at 04:07 PM.
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  8. #9528
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    June quarter sales number a bit of a disaster - down 3% on last year

    Won't bring love to the sector ..... the multi year secular bear will continue with share prices remaining under pressure
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  9. #9529
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Well, yes - but then - this quarter is still one of the 5 best sales quarters SUM ever had ... hey, this must count for something, doesn't it ;
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  10. #9530
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    Also seem to have a lot of building going on. I thought it was quite good considering the turbulent times. Sp opens up a bit ...

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