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  1. #7401
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    Its simply not happening Balance. Have a look at some of the regional prices like Nelson as just one example that's on fire. The national average house price in N.Z. is up 2.5% year on year March 2018 to March 2019. That is a statistical FACT. Real estate agents opinion are quite frankly in my opinion worth a dime a dozen.
    Friend of mine just sold a house in Christchurch for $90000.00 Less than it was valued a year earlier

  2. #7402
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    Craigs reckon $106 mill underlying profit for 2019.
    I make that a PE of 11.9

  3. #7403
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    Lol, so much scaremongering going on on here, this is not just a property company it's a needs based business with strong tailwinds for many years to come.

  4. #7404
    Legend Balance's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by couta1 View Post
    Lol, so much scaremongering going on on here, this is not just a property company it's a needs based business with strong tailwinds for many years to come.
    Opinions, Couta.

    When you use the term 'scaremongering', you reveal yourself I reckon as a class A ramper then?

  5. #7405
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Okay I am bored with this now Balance. You think by way of example that the dynamics of the Auckland market might be different to say Napier or Nelson or to illustrate my point even more pointedly, Invercargill ? All I will reiterate is that in the Auckland market it is incredibly easy to get myopic vision that this somehow represents an accurate proxy for the rest of the country. Normally I have a lot of respect for your posts...let's just agree to disagree regarding opinions on the future movement of the national average real estate price. The FACTS on the real estate market for the year to March have been reported in the media and this trumps anyone's future opinion at this stage anyway.
    Last edited by Beagle; 09-04-2019 at 03:54 PM.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  6. #7406
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    Quote Originally Posted by tuaman View Post
    But, that is only one (or two) transactions while I am talking about overall data.
    Everybody knows Auckland's weak market for sellers but other areas hit all time high!
    Auckland is always first area in NZ to go up. First to go down.

  7. #7407
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    Quote Originally Posted by Balance View Post
    Opinions, Couta.

    When you use the term 'scaremongering', you reveal yourself I reckon as a class A ramper then?
    Not at all, but overplaying the property card is scaremongering, okay then let's call it downramping.

  8. #7408
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mcdongle View Post
    Friend of mine just sold a house in Christchurch for $90000.00 Less than it was valued a year earlier
    I don't want to be rude but honestly I couldn't care less about individual anecdotal evidence. National average is all that's relevant and is up 2.5% year on year.

    Quote Originally Posted by freddagg View Post
    Craigs reckon $106 mill underlying profit for 2019.
    I make that a PE of 11.9
    That's still profit growth and they are probably the most bearish of the brokers given their recent bizarre call.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  9. #7409
    Legend Balance's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    I don't want to be rude but honestly I couldn't care less about individual anecdotal evidence. National average is all that's relevant and is up 2.5% year on year.



    That's still profit growth and they are probably the most bearish of the brokers given their recent bizarre call.
    Good. That's why the sharemarket is such a wonderful place - a market where different perceptions of value and expectations differ.

    Sp was $7.50+ in October 2018 when data of Auckland's struggling property market started emerging - discounted at that time by the real estate industry of course!

    Those who took heed vs those who believe it's just temporary.
    Last edited by Balance; 09-04-2019 at 04:19 PM.

  10. #7410
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    Quote Originally Posted by mcdongle View Post
    Friend of mine just sold a house in Christchurch for $90000.00 Less than it was valued a year earlier
    This may provide a broader picture from homes.co.nz

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