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  1. #6611
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    Quote Originally Posted by Timesurfer View Post
    That was rather a large red cliff to end the week on - I do hope none of the residents wandered off it in their fairie walking.
    Napier has an eight year waiting list for a Summerset unit (very sad) I have been told by a neighbour enquiring. I don’t know if that includes the new Summerset..As many said a tsunami of elderly needing accommodation in this part of the country....... Longterm you cannot lose in these sort of businesses. I would not worry about the lows on this share unless you need your money in a hurry.

  2. #6612
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Default On Track to build 450 Units this year

    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  3. #6613
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    Sounds good, doesn't it? Though on track to sell 450 (new) units would sound still better :
    Last edited by BlackPeter; 07-08-2018 at 09:38 AM.
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  4. #6614
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    Sounds good, doesn't it? Though on track to sell 450 (new) units would sound still better :
    Build it and they will come
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  5. #6615
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    I see that Boulcott still gets a mention as a "greenfields site". I wonder what the current state of play is there?

  6. #6616
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    HY results coming soon, I have a few questions on this one at the moment in terms of buying more of a position. I already have a large position. It went from being very undervalued late last year to now perhaps having a 'fair' valuation for the history of its own company bordering on over valued.

    The sales/resale numbers are very weak and infact down on last year so far so I'm assuming development margins are staying strong or getting stronger. On a forward PE basis based on the low end on the guidance normalised for the whole year (21% growth in underlying earnings), its looking at about an 18. I know historically, the 2H results are weighed higher but being conservative we revert back to this range imo forward PE of 16-18 which is still very good buying. Is it better buying than OCA though?

    I also wonder what Ryman has done to warrant such a high PE vs the rest of the market. Will we see SUM over the next few years because valued on such a high regard? From what I know RYM is a darling with the insto's.

  7. #6617
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by value_investor View Post
    HY results coming soon, I have a few questions on this one at the moment in terms of buying more of a position. I already have a large position. It went from being very undervalued late last year to now perhaps having a 'fair' valuation for the history of its own company bordering on over valued.

    The sales/resale numbers are very weak and infact down on last year so far so I'm assuming development margins are staying strong or getting stronger. On a forward PE basis based on the low end on the guidance normalised for the whole year (21% growth in underlying earnings), its looking at about an 18. I know historically, the 2H results are weighed higher but being conservative we revert back to this range imo forward PE of 16-18 which is still very good buying. Is it better buying than OCA though?

    I also wonder what Ryman has done to warrant such a high PE vs the rest of the market. Will we see SUM over the next few years because valued on such a high regard? From what I know RYM is a darling with the insto's.
    Value - I think you answered you own questions
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  8. #6618
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Value - I think you answered you own questions
    I think either of those 3 long term will do well, just the one that will end up being top % gain wise will be interesting in 10 years time

  9. #6619
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    Quote Originally Posted by value_investor View Post
    I think either of those 3 long term will do well, just the one that will end up being top % gain wise will be interesting in 10 years time
    And that's why Ryman is rated comparatively higher - it has the longterm success on the board!

  10. #6620
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    Quote Originally Posted by macduffy View Post
    And that's why Ryman is rated comparatively higher - it has the longterm success on the board!
    Peaked early in the boomer bubble - leaving room for SUM underdogs to come through and take the cake?

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