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  1. #7631
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Just as well the Auckland well to do don’t sell up and move into retirement villages

    Maybe couldn’t afford some of those expensive Summerset apartments

    https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/112...ute-data-shows
    Some did win, some did lose. Median sales price per month is as well not terribly significant - sometimes its the more expensive houses which sell, and sometimes the less expensive. Sounds like though the people in Takapuna have plenty of additional money to spend.

    Makes no difference to Summerset or any other retirement village from which suburb the well-off buyers come - and I guess not everybody is after the 200 sqm unit with beachfront anyway. Most units would be priced well below the average Auckland house price.

    Just one of the hyped up property market articles - no wonder journalists are not paid well, they get what they deserve.
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  2. #7632
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Just as well the Auckland well to do don’t sell up and move into retirement villages

    Maybe couldn’t afford some of those expensive Summerset apartments

    https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/112...ute-data-shows
    Damn, pretty surprised by that

    Prices were down...
    Mt Albert: 31.2 per cent
    Royal Oak: 25.4 per cent
    Long Bay: 24.8 per cent
    Westmere: 22.5 per cent
    Kohimarama: 21 per cent
    Parnell: 20.8 per cent
    Albany: 20.5 per cent
    Mt Eden: 20.1 per cent
    Herne Bay: 17.2 per cent
    Freemans Bay: 17 per cent

    Was looking at the 2 bed villas at Summerset Ellerslie, asking 980k

  3. #7633
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tipsy View Post
    Damn, pretty surprised by that

    Prices were down...
    Mt Albert: 31.2 per cent
    Royal Oak: 25.4 per cent
    Long Bay: 24.8 per cent
    Westmere: 22.5 per cent
    Kohimarama: 21 per cent
    Parnell: 20.8 per cent
    Albany: 20.5 per cent
    Mt Eden: 20.1 per cent
    Herne Bay: 17.2 per cent
    Freemans Bay: 17 per cent

    Was looking at the 2 bed villas at Summerset Ellerslie, asking 980k
    That’s one heck of a price for a villa mate

    If you live in any of those suburbs listed you might think twice about it - was that what you are saying.
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  4. #7634
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    That’s one heck of a price for a villa mate

    If you live in any of those suburbs listed you might think twice about it - was that what you are saying.
    Definitely, but that's just me. Does look a very nice development though. I'd probably just grab one of the small apartments if I really needed the facilities.

    I have however bought back a small parcel in the 5.50's after selling out near the top. House price weakness doesn't really concern me all that much and any major drop in share price will see me topping up. As always these retirement stocks are long term plays.

  5. #7635
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tipsy View Post
    Definitely, but that's just me. Does look a very nice development though. I'd probably just grab one of the small apartments if I really needed the facilities.

    I have however bought back a small parcel in the 5.50's after selling out near the top. House price weakness doesn't really concern me all that much and any major drop in share price will see me topping up. As always these retirement stocks are long term plays.
    Good on you tipsy

    There’s always somebody else who’ll pay the $870k for that villa

    Good margin in that for Summerset ...maybe $300k odd
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  6. #7636
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    failure to rise back above $6 this week will confirm the breakdown thru support in my analysis. watching for the CGT release soon this could have a big downside risk for these stocks
    that rejection of price over $6 is savage
    one step ahead of the herd

  7. #7637
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    that rejection of price over $6 is savage
    AGM next week ..might be some grumpy share holders present if share price falls any further.

    I’ve voted against the Directors getting a pay rise. Essentially voted NO as i’d just read an article about how careworkers had been given a decent pay rise but the companies were asking them to work shorter hours and take on additional tasks ...like doing heaps more a little more.
    Last edited by winner69; 26-04-2019 at 11:02 AM.
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  8. #7638
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    that rejection of price over $6 is savage
    Your focus on short term jitter is truely amazing ...

    Always follow the thick red dotted line:

    SUMlongtermtrend.jpg

    I'd say they are nicely on track ;
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    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  9. #7639
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    Your focus on short term jitter is truely amazing ...

    Always follow the thick red dotted line:

    SUMlongtermtrend.jpg

    I'd say they are nicely on track ;
    You are not using ln(price) .....might look slightly different

    Thats what snowy would say
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  10. #7640
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    You are not using ln(price) .....might look slightly different

    Thats what snowy would say
    I know ... and you are right - it (obviously) does look slightly different:

    SUMlog.jpg

    Still pointing upwards, but the (linear) support line gone (well, less clear support ; Maybe more analysts using linear scale than log? Lets not forget that we are here not talking laws of nature, but just self full filling prophecies created by fallible human beings.
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

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