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  1. #31
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigBob View Post
    Hi Phaedrus, Isn't NZO strictly speaking still in a long term up trend...? .. or maybe that's just far too simple a view....?
    Absolutely right BB. That's why (amongst other things) it is on the chart of 16 "potential buying opportunities" on the 'Market Perspective' thread.

    Just because it is in a long-term uptrend doesn't necessarily mean that it is best to simply "Buy and Hold" though. While, overall, NZO has been an out-performing stock, it has also gone nowhere for years at a time on the way up. The idea is to be in when it is going up and out when it is going sideways or down. They call it "active investing".

  2. #32
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    Quote Originally Posted by Toddy View Post
    The options have held up extremely well.
    Punters still picking a 60% increase in the NZO share price by the end of June.

    Thats what I call confidence.
    Well, that is almost 10 months away. 6 odd weeks ago head shares were $1.30+ and so options looked much healthier.
    There hasn't been any real fundamental change - a couple speculative drills were dusters - not unexpected, but TUI is flowing, and more than expected.
    June is a long time away..

  3. #33
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    Add 15% more oil in Tui, FX change around +12%, Oil still high. When currrent panic over & "year to date" trading announced around time of AGM, & usual kupe hoopla $1.50 will look cheap!!

    good to hear how much money you have made MacDrunk also

  4. #34
    Senior Member Nitaa's Avatar
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    Default get over it

    duncan. you are taking nzo personally. stocks for short term purposes are like a one night stand. just because you had a good or bad time when the show is over its time to say goodbye.....let is go. you have left nzo becuase nzo stood you up. it happenes all the time so get over it already and move on.

  5. #35
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    Quote Originally Posted by Phaedrus View Post
    Just because it is in a long-term uptrend doesn't necessarily mean that it is best to simply "Buy and Hold" though. While, overall, NZO has been an out-performing stock, it has also gone nowhere for years at a time on the way up. The idea is to be in when it is going up and out when it is going sideways or down. They call it "active investing".
    Fair call - but for a less active investor (like myself) maybe it could be argued that it is prudent to hold at least till the up trend is broken...

  6. #36
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    Now that all the drills in this series are completed [sadly all failures] the SP will now move on existing fundamentals and not on speculation.In fact the drills have had a negative effect on the SP as there was always a chance that they would be unsuccesful.That negative effect was greater than it should have been and now that the drills are out of the way the SP can now move forward on fundamentals.Or put it another way the SP will now be decided by investers and not speculators. Or again another way the SP would be higher today if NZO had never taken part in a drilling series.It seems to me that the only negative effect of drilling a dud well should be limited to your % cost of the unsuccessful drill. With NZO the negative effect is much greater that just thoses costs.

  7. #37
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    any one see mention on NZO in ASB securities August market update ? also Dsurf dont forget PRC it might be a big dissapointment so far but it will start producing before options are excised so watch this space
    Time is a great teacher, but unfortunately it kills all its pupils

  8. #38
    SRV is a God STRAT's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nita View Post
    duncan. you are taking nzo personally. .
    Recon not Some just like a good debate. Amongst other things, isnt that what these forums are all about??

  9. #39
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nita View Post
    duncan. you are taking nzo personally. stocks for short term purposes are like a one night stand. just because you had a good or bad time when the show is over its time to say goodbye.....let is go. you have left nzo becuase nzo stood you up. it happenes all the time so get over it already and move on.
    NITA, Life is not all bang bang thank u maam. At least that is better than being stuck forever and a day with something as dull and lifeless as NZO. On a more serious note how is this for an idea?.
    NZO buy shares with their substantial profits at market price all the way up to conversion date, Lets face it look at the money they will miss out on if the options are not taken up.
    That would save pass the parcel embarrassment with the options when they are worth nothing. They would raise the price of their shares add a new pile of shares with the options being worth something then drip feed it back to the punters at a profit. Macdunk

  10. #40
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    true macdunk im sure they would rather get funds off optionholders to finance development rather than other avenues as would send a very negative view to market if ODs dont get in the money
    Time is a great teacher, but unfortunately it kills all its pupils

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