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  1. #1451
    Senior Member moimoi's Avatar
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    Great result for the Banks and Bond holders. They get made whole while equity holders get to carry what looks to be a very heavy can down a rather long road...

  2. #1452
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    Quote Originally Posted by moimoi View Post
    Great result for the Banks and Bond holders. They get made whole while equity holders get to carry what looks to be a very heavy can down a rather long road...
    Tend to agree with that. Might be time to go short AIA if the price is right.

  3. #1453
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    Quote Originally Posted by Balance View Post
    Underwritten so they will get the money.
    I was somewhat surprised at the cap raise, and even more so the rather large size of it (and dilution it will create), and talk of impairment not idea either.. but I suppose at the end of the day, $4.50 is attractive for a monopolistic company with substantial exposure to freight and commercial property - areas which will only grow over time.
    While it might not get back to nearly $10 anytime fast, I would think we'd be back into the $6's (a rise of 33% from $4.50...) fairly fast, hence as a holder, (who brought in at $4.50 fairly recently), I'll be more than happy to participate at or below my recent entry price.
    Last edited by trader_jackson; 06-04-2020 at 11:33 AM.

  4. #1454
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    I wanted it at $4.

  5. #1455
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    I for one do not want my ratepayer money, (or future ratepayer money if the Auckland Council borrow to fund this rights issue) going into this sector. I agree Peat, it will be many years before AIA are earning an acceptable return on investment again.
    I would suggest Auckland Council can print up as much as they like if they want to participate in a capital raise. Probably at exceptionally low rates too.
    https://www.msn.com/en-nz/money/news...cid=spartanntp

  6. #1456
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    I do not get this. 20% more equity , no real revenue for 2 or so years , and a price of 4.66. I have not seen any projections to go with the issue. I have shares , not certain if we will take up the SPP. Probably won't.

  7. #1457
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    Quote Originally Posted by horus1 View Post
    I do not get this. 20% more equity , no real revenue for 2 or so years , and a price of 4.66. I have not seen any projections to go with the issue. I have shares , not certain if we will take up the SPP. Probably won't.
    2 years? I think you way out there.

  8. #1458
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    Quote Originally Posted by ratkin View Post
    2 years? I think you way out there.
    How long do you think? I think that it may take perhaps 5 years to get back up the passenger volumes prior to the epidemic and the resulting recession. That is not to say that AIA will not remain a lynchpin of the NZ economy.
    Last edited by Bjauck; 07-04-2020 at 10:11 AM.

  9. #1459
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    Quote Originally Posted by ratkin View Post
    2 years? I think you way out there.
    Depends what you define as "real", but I certainly wouldn't say it is anything near 2 years of "no real revenue", probably not even half a year of "no real revenue".

    Insto placement all done and dusted at $4.66 AFR reporting.

    I would think SPP is going to be bigly oversubscribed.

  10. #1460
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    Quote Originally Posted by trader_jackson View Post
    Depends what you define as "real", but I certainly wouldn't say it is anything near 2 years of "no real revenue", probably not even half a year of "no real revenue".

    Insto placement all done and dusted at $4.66 AFR reporting.

    I would think SPP is going to be bigly oversubscribed.
    And Auckland Council decided to pass - getting diluted to 18% and missing on any upside of the placement shares.

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